The critical political
struggle of the 2016 presidential election may well be the redistribution
of wealth. How that issue plays out is likely to depend on whether it is cast
in terms of economic growth or income inequality.
If the Republicans
successfully push the growth agenda, then the Democrats will be on the
defensive. If the Democrats drive home the theme of income inequality, then the
Republicans will squirm. This is a contest that the Republicans should win if
they play their cards correctly.
Let’s start with this fundamental observation: It is possible to reduce
income inequality in one of two ways: lower the income at the top or raise it
at the bottom. Indeed, it is possible, but only by extreme measures, to
eliminate all inequality by spreading the wealth of the richest individuals
around so that everyone has the same income. Yet none of the critics of income
inequality will go that far, because they realize that that strategy will
depress the income of the poor as well as the rich. So instead these critics
moderate their demands: they are willing to sacrifice some measure of overall
social welfare to obtain greater benefits at the bottom. Their theoretical
position is that the substantial gains in utility for the poor will override
the relatively small losses in personal satisfaction and living standards that
the top income earners will experience as a result of redistribution.
Pity is, they have no idea how to steer this middle course. Politics is a
very imperfect science to say the least, so that it is all too easy for these
progressive policies to overshoot the mark, as it is much easier to lower
levels of wealth than it is to raise them. Put simply, it is an intellectual
fantasy to think that it is possible to address questions of inequality without
taking into account any productivity losses that these proposals may take.
Those difficulties do not arise if the first emphasis is placed instead upon
the creation of wealth. Indeed it is altogether possible to improve the
position of the worst off in society by a set of productive measures that widen
the income gap between rich and poor.
Assume that we have just two groups in society, one of whose members all
have wealth at the level of 10 and the second, far smaller, have wealth at the
level of 1,000. A change in legal position that increases the wealth of the
bottom group from 10 to 15 and the top group from 1,000 to 1,200 will increase
absolute inequality even as it improves the position of the people at the
bottom. Ironically, it will also give larger percentage increases to those at
the bottom. Indeed, many social changes do produce gains across the board. But
it is typically beyond the capacity of any social planner to steer productive
activity in ways that ensure that whatever growth does take place will result
in a reduction of any income gap by any system of state taxation and
regulation.
This line of reasoning has not, of course, stopped the champions of income
equality in the Democratic Party from pushing its front-running candidate,
Hillary Clinton, into putting the inequality issue front and center during the
current campaign. Unfortunately, it is difficult to find policy prescriptions
that can achieve the lofty goal of producing a sustainable version of income
equality. One outspoken critic of income inequality is the New York Times’
columnist Nicholas Kristof, who in a recent column, “Inequality
is a Choice,” made it appear that the issue is more tractable to
legislative fixes than is in fact the case.
Kristof used as his lightning rod the deplorable state of affairs in
Baltimore, Maryland, to explain the urgency of the income inequality crisis.
But, as I have already argued,
the precarious situation in Baltimore is the necessary outcome of the very
economic policies that progressives like Kristof would like to see implemented
on a national scale. The simple economic truth is that the prolonged downturn
in Baltimore does not trace its roots back, as has often been claimed,
to segregation, but to the simple fact that Democrats have controlled
every aspect of the public life in the city from 1963 to the present, during
which time crime increased, taxes rose, regulations proliferated, and about
one-third the city’s population fled. The challenge is to find a set of
progressive policies that do not have that combined toxic effect.
It is just there that the tired suggestions of Kristof demonstrate the futility
of his position. He berates his fellow Americans for not thinking that
inequality is the result of conscious social choices. He is surely right about
the general point, but wrong in sizing up the situation when he denounces the
nation, which has “chosen to prioritize tax shelters over minimum wages,
subsidies for private jets over robust services for children to break the cycle
of poverty.”
But his argument breaks down because of two mistakes; the first is the near
random juxtaposition of two programs, each of which should be considered
separately from the other. The second is the failure to ask which of these
proposals will pass muster in an economy that runs on the principles of strong
property rights, freedom of contract, and limited government.
Within a classical liberal position, all subsidies to any groups should
generally be regarded with suspicion. In this case, the condemnation of tax
shelters is high on the list of classical liberal targets. Tax subsidies,
whether for the rich or the poor, lead to a misallocation of resources. The
subsidized activity now takes place past the point where marginal revenues
exceed marginal cost, and thus leads to social losses. For these purposes, it
does not matter whether the subsidy comes from general revenues or from
specific levies against other particular lines of business. Both should be
rejected. Tax shelters to the rich do not pass the test under any theory of
limited government.
But why couple tax shelters with the minimum wage, which
does not help the poor even if tax subsidies for the rich were reduced today?
In his column, Kristof bemoans Utah Senator Mike Lee for lamenting the lack of
equality of opportunity in the United States. But Lee has the better of this
argument. The minimum wage laws kill opportunities for the least well-off in
society by making it too costly for firms to hire marginal workers. In so
doing, it cuts them out of the working economy, and makes them ever more dependent
on a set of transfer payments that do nothing to increase their skill sets,
self-sufficiency, or sense of self-respect. It is one thing for an employer to
give workers raises as a spur to, or recognition of, greater productivity. But
when government imposes those obligations from without, it hurts the very
individuals whom it wants to help.
Knocking out any tax subsidies for corporate jets is likewise a no-brainer
for the same reason. But it is a much harder position to think of how best to
provide those “robust services” to get children out of poverty. On this score,
the standard progressive line is to favor stronger unions within the framework
of an overall public school system. But that system works for the benefits of
the unions, and not for the benefit of the children who are denied access to
charter schools, which provide better education to the children that they teach
than ordinary public schools.
Kristof then cites the work of the British economist Antony B. Atkinson,
whose new book Inequality: What Can Be Done? only illustrates the massive progressive confusion on this subject. To
be sure, both Atkinson and Kristof are right to insist that government take
concern with competition and monopoly policy. But the pro-competition program
is an integral part of the classical liberal tradition. So the key question is
exactly how to implement the program. My own view is that the stress should be
on horizontal cartels that reduce output, raise prices, and reduce social
welfare. The great
danger in this area is that competition policy can attack successful
companies like Google and Microsoft, not because they have engaged in
monopolistic behavior, but because their wealth as foreign companies makes them
ready targets for redistribution in Europe or China.
It is not enough therefore for egalitarians to state their ultimate
objective. It is equally necessary that their proposals can implement that
objective correctly. Yet that cannot be done on matters of monopoly and
competition, if in the next breath comes a plea that unions be strengthened.
That plea is wholly ironic since the success of large industrial unions depends
on their ability to exert monopoly power over employers in both the public and
private sector. Put simply, Kristof’s second recommendation is inconsistent
with the first, and depends on the wholly unsupportable claim that the monopoly
power of labor unions is somehow different from that possessed by firms when in
fact the same principles apply to both.
Ironically, therefore, one useful reform that might improve management
labor relations is to remove the bar in the National Labor Relations Act that
prevents the formation of company
unions. That one reform could allow workers to have a collective voice
within the firm, without organizing industry-wide strikes that can idle a
nation with large negative consequences to the overall economy. But the notion
that industry-wide unions can help redress income inequality is wholly
misconceived. Unions bargain for the advantage of their members, and the only
way that they can keep wages above the competitive level is to cut job
opportunities to lower paid workers in the effort to obtain higher wages, which
in turn will result in higher consumer prices for poor and rich alike.
The rest of the Atkinson/Kristof program is also a recipe for economic
disaster. There is no way to organize a system of public service jobs at
minimum wage that is capable of supplying services that are needed. The
proposal will typically result in make-work positions that will reduce the
number of workers who can obtain private sector jobs. Likewise, there is little
merit in thinking that much relief could come from raising marginal tax rates
to 65 percent. Putting that reform is moving into uncharted waters, where it is
likely that reducing private investment capital will cut the demand for labor,
lowering overall wage levels. A tax
reduction is on balance, more likely, to result in overall improvements,
which is why states that favor low taxation policies typically outperform their
high-taxation rivals.
Sensible policies to combat inequality follow from a consistent classical
liberal position, which seeks to promote competition in the private market and
in the provision of public education. The rest of the egalitarian program is
counterproductive insofar as it keeps the poor worse while leaving the rich
worse off as well. That is a strategy for dual ruin that will only deepen the
current economic malaise.
Richard A. Epstein, the Peter and Kirsten Bedford Senior Fellow at the Hoover Institution, is the Laurence A. Tisch Professor of Law, New York University Law School, and a senior lecturer at the University of Chicago.
1 comment:
If the US had elected Ron Paul we would not be reading this article. None of this is going to happen the electorate is too stupid.
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