Two recent excellent columns refer to the latest Roy Morgan poll which is the best indication to date of the problem National has leading up to next year’s general election.
It is a reflection of what happens when the leadership procrastinates to the point of becoming moribund at a time when the government is handing them the treasury benches on a plate. And ironically, the options available in order to secure a victory are not hard to identify. Yet all the signs suggest National (particularly its leader, Christopher Luxon) is preparing to lead his party in snatching defeat from the jaws of victory.
For the sake of the Nation’s future, this simply cannot be allowed to happen.
What needs to change in order to avoid such a calamity?
History provides the clues.
It clearly shows that military leaders who won famous victories on the battlefield (often against incredible odds), did so primarily by relying on their own assessment of where the opponent was weakest and developed plans to exploit them when, during the battle, the time was right.
It is also worth noting that In all examples, these results were achieved on the back of that most vital of ingredients - courage and belief.
In this category, we think of Drake against the Spanish Armada, Nelson at Trafalgar, Montgomery at El Alamein and Wellington at Waterloo- to name a few.
These men got it right because they believed in their own ability as strategists capable of doing what was necessary at critical points during the campaign.
At times they needed to be bold and use their antennae in the selection of (some would say) controversial tactics that would make the difference between defeat and victory.
None of them exhibited the calculated (at times feeble) responses we are seeing far too often from the current National leader.
If he continues to turn a blind eye to the public mood which is overwhelming in favour of promises to repeal not one but all of the legislation based on the modern day “Mein Kampf” - the He Puapua report, then he will surely lose.
Modern political history is also full of examples of politicians being bold enough to capture the public mood without fear of being called a racist by the racists themselves.
Don Brash’s Orewa speech as leader of the National Party was almost good enough and came within a whisker of defeating the formidable Helen Clark at the height of her powers. It is interesting to note that it was based on (at the time) government policies that gave preferential treatment to one race of people over another.
The similarities between that legislation and today’s draconian measures could not be more stark - although my guess is that had Don Brash been using the same technique if he was leader of today’s National party, he would win in a landslide.
National’s path to victory is within its grasp but it needs to convince its leader that he must demonstrate qualities that to date, have been missing from his armoury.
He needs to stop pussy footing around for fear of being labelled racist by the Woke press and left wing political activists and start to perform using all the tools he has at his disposal
Simply call the government out for what it really is - a rabble of incompetents fixated on achieving idealogical purity while destroying what is left of our democratic society and promise to do all the things that will need to be done when he is in government.
I am in no doubt that should we see Christopher Luxon emerge from his inertia, emboldened with a belief and courage, the public will respond by showing their preferences in the polls. It should be game over.
Clive Bibby is a commentator, consultant, farmer and community leader, who lives in Tolaga Bay.
5 comments:
With respect to the close call of the 2004 election, it is worth remembering that the Clark Government retained power by unlawfully using public funds to publish the "pledge card" in the final days of the election campaign (I've always thought that National should have sought judicial reviews for every electorate in the country and that their chances of succeeding were quite high). But that was small beer compared to the hundreds of millions of dollars of public money the Ardern Government is using to promote its policies through the Public Interest Journalism Fund, NZ on Air and public sector agency advertising campaigns.
Chris Luxon is just another mediocre technocrat and the wrong man in the wrong place at the wrong time. At best he is John Key-lite, at a time when need a Ron DiSantis. The best we can hope for is that ACT holds the balance of power with sufficient seats to dictate terms to National.
If only, Clive.
But I'm not entirely sure that Chris possesses the qualities you're hoping are going to burst out of him.
And even if he does I'm really not sure that he, and most of the National top-tier, don't actually agree with some of Labour's pro-Maori agenda.
And therein lies the problem. We have a centre-right mainstream opposition party which may very well support the divisive, separatist Labour agenda at heart.
Which leaves voters where? Only one option, people. Vote ACT.
Yes, DeeM, ACT will get my vote because Seymour is not afraid to call out the racist, separatist, elitist agenda for what it is - anti-democracy.
Hear hear, DeeM! He's sat on the fence for far too long & voters doubts are indeed increasing, even if he does finally 'come out.' As Muldoon once quipped, "a shiver looking for a spine to run up." As the months and years roll by, David Seymour, while not the only one calling it out, he's about the only one we can actually trust to deliver.
Luxon has had plenty of time and opportunities to assert his position on He Puapua.
I believe he will not change a thing. It was National who started this ball rolling under the UNDRIP of the UN.
Our dual race position is actually contrary to the requirements of the United Nations bill of rights. But who will call this out?
Perhaps we could ask the Aussies for help? Sky News Australia is highlighting our political situation quite a lot lately so they are aware.
There is something hidden and smelly that we don't know about yet but I feel that Luxon is a part of it. I know he has been asked by many to take a stand but it isn't happening.
MC
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