Time series analysis of New Zealand data supports a relationship between mRNA vaccination and death that is consistent with a German autopsy study.
On 14th December 2022, Medsafe (NZ Medicines and Medical Devices Safety Authority) released its 46th report into the safety of Covid vaccines entitled “Adverse events following immunisation with COVID-19 vaccines”. The report covered safety signals up to 30th November 2022.
This report contained new advice about the risk of death following mRNA vaccination. Medsafe’s assessment began as follows:
“By chance, some people will experience new illnesses or die from a pre-existing condition shortly after vaccination, especially if they are elderly. Therefore, part of our review process includes comparing natural death rates to observed death rates following vaccination, to determine if there are any specific trends or patterns that might indicate a vaccine safety concern.”
The report comes after months of speculation concerning record levels of excess all cause mortality in New Zealand affecting all ages, currently running at 15% above historical levels.
After dropping the bombshell news, Medsafe goes through an entirely bogus and unscientific process designed to reassure the public that there is nothing to worry about. Medsafe compares the number of deaths reported to CARM (Centre for Adverse Reactions Monitoring) within 21 days of vaccination to the background rate of deaths from natural causes. In doing so, it omits to mention (but does so elsewhere) that CARM reports are voluntary and massively underreported by an estimated factor of 20 times. As a result there is nothing at all reassuring about this safety report.
Are There Other Reasons to Be Concerned? Yes, Many:
1. Medsafe reports, “There have been no deaths reported for the Vaxzevria or Nuvaxovid vaccines.” So why are they happening after the Pfizer vaccine?
2. Autopsies are not routinely performed in New Zealand following deaths proximate to vaccination. A recently published German study Autopsy-based histopathological characterization of myocarditis after anti-SARS-CoV-2-vaccination reports 16% of deaths within 20 days of mRNA vaccination exhibit definitive causal symptoms of acute myocarditis, a known adverse effect of Pfizer Covid vaccination. So why is there no concerted effort here in NZ to investigate by routinely performing autopsies?
3. The Ministry of Health has consistently refused/omitted to record vaccine status on death certificates or make CARM reporting mandatory. This makes it very difficult to scientifically and reliably investigate any causal relationship between mRNA vaccination and death or serious illness. On the 17th December 2021 the director of the Covid immunisation programme wrote to me on behalf of Dr. Ashley Bloomfield, Director General of Health, saying “An accurate measurement of all adverse events is not required”.
In the light of today’s Medsafe admission, that’s damning. Incredibly Dr. Bloomfield has just been appointed the inaugural chair of a new public policy impact institute at the University of Auckland, proposing to translate and apply research into policies that directly impact communities—but he doesn’t subscribe to accuracy??? Most people do, especially academics.
4. Medsafe argues that temporal correlation between deaths and vaccination does not prove a causal relationship between them. They, along with epidemiologist Professor Michael Baker, suggest that Covid infection or pre-existing health conditions are more likely to be causally connected to deaths following vaccination. There are in fact other relevant analyses which can determine whether there is a relationship between mRNA vaccination and proximate deaths. Among these, powerful techniques of time series analysis can discover whether deaths are consistently occurring during specific intervals of time after vaccination. This would provide strong support for a causal relationship.
Among the world’s nations, New Zealand is in a unique position to undertake this sort of analysis. In 2021 New Zealand had very few Covid infections (almost none) but the majority of the population were vaccinated over a period of eight months. Therefore deaths recorded during much of 2021 in New Zealand cannot be ascribed to any effect of Covid infection.
Preliminary data from 2021 has been analysed to investigate the proposition that mRNA vaccination resulted in deaths. This shows there is a significant (p=0.045) relationship between number of vaccines administered by week and weekly deaths at a lag of one week. In other words, there is a statistically significant increased chance of dying within a few days of vaccination. Download the study here. Despite the preliminary nature of the data in this study, the findings of this study are consistent with the findings of German autopsies. Therefore there should be more rigorous study of stored data to further test these findings
There are other simple methods to analyse death data. For example taking the date of inoculation for each individual as a notional point in time around which all death data can be assessed for entire cohorts of individuals. This would reveal whether death rates before and after inoculation differ.
5. The time series analysis does not preclude the possibility that other deaths at longer time intervals after an inoculation date may be occurring as a result of mRNA vaccination. Unprecedented rates of all cause mortality suggest this is likely to be the case. Unfortunately, the New Zealand Ministry of Health is not releasing data on causes of hospitalisation by category of illness. There is evidence we have previously reported based on US defence personal data and insurance statistics, and on UK ONS data, indicating that incidence of neurological disorders, cancers, cardiac events, and strokes have increased.
Medsafe’s position on vaccine safety has clearly shifted during the two months since it last published a safety report, but has it realised the importance of more reliable causal assessments? Apparently not. The NZ public is being kept in the dark about vaccine safety as it has been for the last two years. Bland assurances of safety continue without foundation in fact.
Can mRNA Vaccination Be a Trigger Event for Death if You Are Already Sick or Elderly?
The wording of the December 14th Medsafe warning is strange and ambiguous: “..some people will experience new illnesses or die from a pre-existing condition shortly after vaccination, especially if they are elderly”. So are the elderly especially liable to die after vaccination because of vaccination or because they are elderly? We aren’t told.
Aside from the obviously elevated rates of excess all cause deaths, anecdotal reports from rest home staff suggest this is the case. Emergency vehicles and helicopters are answering more frequent calls. Hospitals are overwhelmed and unable to cope. Whistleblowers among nurses are talking about overflowing cardiac wards. A top UK cardiologist has suggested that the evidence of harm is overwhelming and irrefutable. Funeral home workers in New Zealand and overseas have spoken publicly about strange rubbery clots in arteries which have been confirmed by experienced pathologists in the USA. Statistically improbable increases in life insurance claims data have been noted. Sudden unexplained deaths have a high profile in the media. The message is consistent—something unprecedented and very concerning is going on.
Despite having multiple sources of data and methods of analysis available to it. Medsafe has relied for two years on a single obviously flawed method of comparing CARM data to background rates, despite admitting CARM data is underreported. How strange is that? This deficiency is fatal to Medsafe’s claims of safety. It is scientifically unjustifiable and it wouldn’t meet publication criteria.
There is no possible justification for omitting to use more reliable forms of causal investigation. Medsafe has avoided public accountability by refusing to debate the issues publicly, omitting publication of key health data, massaging published data, and unforgivably accusing critics of spreading disinformation. These approaches are worthy of a dictatorship but not a modern democracy.
Dr Guy Hatchard is a former senior manager at Genetic ID, food testing and certification company. This article was first published HERE
3 comments:
I hope that one Chief Economist reads this and reconsiders his scepticism as to vaccine induced harms.
I saw a prepubertal child with severe chest pain recently. ALL their inflammatory markers (white cell count, ESR, CRP) were normal however hidden in their ECG was a flashing diagnostic warning called spodicks sign. It indicated this child highly likely had pericarditis. Their mother was puzzled. What could have caused this? The child had been vaccinated for covid a year ago, and had been quite sick with covid six months ago, but now, apart from the pain, and being off their food, was completely “well”.
The clue, I believe, was in the history; 6 days prior this young child spent the day with their grandfather, who was symptomatic with covid.
I believe this child was infected by covid from his grandfather.
Covid vaccine does not work by creating a forcefield round the outside of the recipient’s body. Its effect only comes into play once the covid has made it inside. The vaccine primed immune system then recognises the spike protein, rapidly ramps up antibody production, and destroys the covid invader before it can harm.
At least that’s the theory.
Unfortunately, we know, some organisms induce the body to produce antibodies that ALSO attach to tissue they shouldn’t and cause the body to attack that tissue.
The best known of these is the strep throat germ. In the susceptible it induces antibodies which attack the heart valves. Once primed, every exposure to the strep bug induces more antibodies which damage the heart more and more until, even sometimes by late childhood, these children need open heart surgery to replace their damaged valves. We recognise rheumatic fever - the name given to the often subtle, but serious, illness caused by these strep induced antibodies, as a huge public health threat in New Zealand.
So what has this got to do with a small anorexic child who tells me their heart hurts?
Possibly nothing, but possibly everything.
I suspect this child’s pericarditis is a manifestation of an autoimmune attack on the covering of that child’s heart, the pericardium, that was triggered by exposure to their covid sick grandparent. The child’s immune system was initially primed by their covid vaccination. I suspect, in amongst the misery of their covid infection six months later, they may well have had unrecognised pericarditis kept in check by fortuitous dosing with ibuprofen, a common anti-inflammatory.
This new event - essentially ‘pure’ pericarditis - finally reveals the true nature of what the covid vaccine MAY have unleashed in this child - We may be looking at a situation, much like that with rheumatic fever, in which every exposure of this child to the spike protein, (either through vaccination or through covid itself with its endless variants, thanks to the immune pressure placed on the bug by indiscriminate non-sterilising population level vaccination) will leave them with another painful dose of pericarditis.
So what is the outcome for this young person, if, for the next twenty years, they suffer bout after bout of pericarditis?
Will they end up with chronic constrictive pericarditis? Will they become prone to developing pericardial effusions- the dreaded fluid round the heart that causes a dangerous condition called tamponade? Will they even be properly diagnosed or instead labelled as “the Worried Well”?
Only time will tell.
Medicine is replete with unexpected consequences from supposedly safe interventions, and every doctor knows this.
New Zealand is a great little country. We should be medically leading the world in collecting ALL the data, having ALL the discussions, and showing the bravery we need to stand up and say Enough!
I don’t have that bravery. I have lost too much already. All I can do is plead anonymously to anyone who will listen- don’t kid yourself - every day new warnings of potential covid vaccine harms are flashing, but the medical establishment in New Zealand is small, insular and entrenched, and the Medical Council is fixated and brutal.
It is to our peril that we are taken in by their arrogant platitudes.
The Journal, Vaccine, recently identified a safety signal indicating lung blood clots (pulmonary emboli) are more common in spike vaccinated over 65s.
We lost someone over 65 and multijabbed, with many weeks of unrecognised warnings prior to his fatal clot.
His jabs predated his death by months. Our government’s disturbing lack of concern for ‘accuracy’ in covid vaccine data collection means our friend’s death was not recorded as potentially vaccine induced.
He died in vain.
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