The poll, conducted between 7 and 9 June, shows Labour rising 1.6 points to 34.8 percent, while National fell 1.1 points to 33.5 percent. This gives Labour a projected 44 seats, up three, with National remaining steady on 42.
Despite the shift, the Coalition Government could still cling to power. The Centre-Right bloc holds a combined 62 seats, down one from last month, while the Centre-Left rises to 60, up two.
In the preferred Prime Minister poll, Christopher Luxon is down from last month to 20.3% (-4.2%) while Chris Hipkins is down 1.5 points to 18.5%.
Winston Peters is at 8.0% (-0.1 points). David Seymour is at 6.0% (-0.7 points) and Chlöe Swarbrick is at 5.6% (+0.6 points).
ACT holds at 12 seats, the Greens drop one to 10, New Zealand First drops to 8, and Te Pāti Māori remains steady on 6.
Among minor parties, The Opportunities Party has risen to 1.8 percent, Outdoors and Freedom to 1.1 percent, the New Conservatives to 0.7 percent, and Vision NZ sits at 0.6 percent.
In a significant shift in public sentiment, the economy has overtaken the cost of living as the top concern among voters for the first time since October 2024.
Twenty point two percent of respondents identified the economy as their main concern, up 3.7 points. The cost of living fell sharply to 18.1 percent, down 8.3 points. Health came in at 11.9 percent and employment at 5.8 percent.
Taxpayers’ Union spokesman James Ross said the results should concern the Government.
“Labour taking the lead and growing concern over the economy should be a worrying sign for the Government in the first Taxpayers’ Union-Curia poll since the Budget. Voters are losing faith in the managed decline on offer.”
“With inflation finally under heel, cost of living has slipped off the top spot for the first time in over three years. But lower interest rates don’t make a sound economy on their own.”
“The so-called Growth Budget’s only pro-growth policy offered a 1 percent boost to GDP over 20 years, spiralling debt and no credible pathway back to surplus,” Ross said. “Growth wins votes, stagnation doesn’t.”
The poll surveyed 1,000 eligible New Zealand voters via phone and online. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percent.
Broadcaster Chris Lynch is an award winning journalist who also produces Christchurch news and video content for domestic and international companies. This article was originally published by Chris Lynch Media and is published here with kind permission.
Despite the shift, the Coalition Government could still cling to power. The Centre-Right bloc holds a combined 62 seats, down one from last month, while the Centre-Left rises to 60, up two.
In the preferred Prime Minister poll, Christopher Luxon is down from last month to 20.3% (-4.2%) while Chris Hipkins is down 1.5 points to 18.5%.
Winston Peters is at 8.0% (-0.1 points). David Seymour is at 6.0% (-0.7 points) and Chlöe Swarbrick is at 5.6% (+0.6 points).
ACT holds at 12 seats, the Greens drop one to 10, New Zealand First drops to 8, and Te Pāti Māori remains steady on 6.
Among minor parties, The Opportunities Party has risen to 1.8 percent, Outdoors and Freedom to 1.1 percent, the New Conservatives to 0.7 percent, and Vision NZ sits at 0.6 percent.
In a significant shift in public sentiment, the economy has overtaken the cost of living as the top concern among voters for the first time since October 2024.
Twenty point two percent of respondents identified the economy as their main concern, up 3.7 points. The cost of living fell sharply to 18.1 percent, down 8.3 points. Health came in at 11.9 percent and employment at 5.8 percent.
Taxpayers’ Union spokesman James Ross said the results should concern the Government.
“Labour taking the lead and growing concern over the economy should be a worrying sign for the Government in the first Taxpayers’ Union-Curia poll since the Budget. Voters are losing faith in the managed decline on offer.”
“With inflation finally under heel, cost of living has slipped off the top spot for the first time in over three years. But lower interest rates don’t make a sound economy on their own.”
“The so-called Growth Budget’s only pro-growth policy offered a 1 percent boost to GDP over 20 years, spiralling debt and no credible pathway back to surplus,” Ross said. “Growth wins votes, stagnation doesn’t.”
The poll surveyed 1,000 eligible New Zealand voters via phone and online. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percent.
Broadcaster Chris Lynch is an award winning journalist who also produces Christchurch news and video content for domestic and international companies. This article was originally published by Chris Lynch Media and is published here with kind permission.
9 comments:
Governments today are actors on a stage, owned by hidden hands. Elections are rigged by controlled choices. Both sides serve the same masters… the financial elite and the globalist agenda. The rot of the system is seen in broken promises and politicians who sell out their nations for personal gain. A system where law is weaponized against the people but the elite live above the law.
The political class today is a gang of parasites; the system is ROTTEN.
People obviously have short memories is all I can presume. Why would anyone go back to a Labour Government intent on dividing NZ along racial lines?!
I agree anon 0716. All the mid term poll shows is.
1. The typical mid cycle government support slump
2. The centre right coalition will win the election
3. A good proportion of NZ voters are self harm morons
4. Political commentators are fuelling the self harm voting morons.
How about this headline Mr Lynch.
"Luxon's coalition government retains majority mid term support despite the vital yet unpopular policies required to fix the Ardern governments corrupted 6 year rule"
Isn't it great to have a PM with integrity for a change.
Certainly contrasts with the disastrous nz media.
Alas true. The " leaders" are always guaranteed a safe and lucrative landing - somewhere and before disaster strikes. This is Marxism in action.
Luxon may or may not have integrity. Either way don't make much difference if you don't listen to the people who elected you and break election promises like saying you will wind back the maorification of NZ and then supporting it every way you can. That doesn't seem like integrity. MC
I blame the Lizard People.
Mc. Read the coalition agreements, removal.of raced based public services and laws are there in black and white.
Then look at the proposed new regulation bill.
I'm sure you will appreciate the ability to.vote for or against local body maori seats.
You might consider the removal.of all contracts from John tamahere, and the work underway to remove all references to the treaty in law.
A quiet revolution is much more effective than a war!
Luxons Integrity is very much intact!
And last but not least can you suggest a viable and realistic alternative.
Anyone voting for the ship of fools who ran HMS NZ aground circa 2017-2023 need their heads read.
Trouble is we don't have enough nut readers to cope with the ones that need such attention.
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