The Prime Minister is back from his holiday and insists the economy has turned a corner.
But it's not showing in the unemployment data. June 2025 benefit data is just out (scroll down).
All benefits are up 6.6 percent on June 2024. Jobseeker is up 10 percent year on year.
Significantly, the rise in those people on a Jobseeker benefit due to a health or disability condition has increased by 15.4 percent. That points to a health system that is continuing to under-perform.
Talking to Heather du Plessis-Allan on NewstalkZB this morning Christopher Luxon said that his party is trying to pull NZ out of a recession worse than any since 1991 - he reiterated this minutes later saying the recession is the worst since the early 1990s and is worse than the GFC.
This is his new line. Watch out for it.
This is an adjustment - a new explanation - because the economy is not improving anywhere near as fast as he had hoped or it needs to.
At half-time National is struggling to make a real difference to voter's lives.
That's what the polls are saying.
New Zealand needs him to do better. Because another innings for Labour, with the Greens and Te Pati Maori, would be a disaster.

Click to view
Source: https://www.msd.govt.nz/about-msd-and-our-work/publications-resources/statistics/monthly-reporting/
Lindsay Mitchell is a welfare commentator who blogs HERE - where this article was sourced.
Significantly, the rise in those people on a Jobseeker benefit due to a health or disability condition has increased by 15.4 percent. That points to a health system that is continuing to under-perform.
Talking to Heather du Plessis-Allan on NewstalkZB this morning Christopher Luxon said that his party is trying to pull NZ out of a recession worse than any since 1991 - he reiterated this minutes later saying the recession is the worst since the early 1990s and is worse than the GFC.
This is his new line. Watch out for it.
This is an adjustment - a new explanation - because the economy is not improving anywhere near as fast as he had hoped or it needs to.
At half-time National is struggling to make a real difference to voter's lives.
That's what the polls are saying.
New Zealand needs him to do better. Because another innings for Labour, with the Greens and Te Pati Maori, would be a disaster.

Click to view
Source: https://www.msd.govt.nz/about-msd-and-our-work/publications-resources/statistics/monthly-reporting/
Lindsay Mitchell is a welfare commentator who blogs HERE - where this article was sourced.
6 comments:
This is a variant of a previous post to this forum. With the limits to growth inexorably working away in the World, our politicians who still think we can grow our way out of the pooh are totally deluded and PM Luxon is leading the charge on that. The 2023 Recalibration of limits to growth: An update of the World3 model is at: https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/jiec.13442 Figure 3 is quite telling as it would appear the modelling is indicating that our World (not just little NZ) has already jumped off the Seneca cliff when it comes to Industrial Output and our PM is dangling out there with no visible means of support. The Greens 'solutions' to this are pure bunkum and the old paradigms and 'normal' behaviours of economies will gradually prove to be completely ineffectual as this new reality really sets in and the overshoot leads to an eventual collapse of production and our living standards. A very hard lesson on survivability is inevitable. People talk of soft landings and hitting the bottom of the curve, how we deal with it carrying on its downward path after that 'bottom' is the billion dollar question. Denial is pure hopium for the masses. Personally and for the sake of New Zealand as a whole, getting us as close as possible to a soft-ish landing will require an URGENT and COMPLETE shut down of the Maori elite gravy train with a sudden end to all further claims and settlements - we in New Zealand simply cannot afford to mess about with this any more! If Luxon wants to remain relevant, he will need to grow a pair and deal with the the biggest problem New Zealand now faces - race relations! It will also require a calculated approach to looking after ourselves when our 'energy slaves' in the form of fossil fuel start to take a long holiday (oh heck, they already have ...). Our fiat currency (and that of all other Countries) is tanking, cost of living is rising and any incumbent government will no doubt bear the blame, so they need to stop the self inflicted haemorrhaging of the NZ economy. However, this downward trajectory is beyond the control of our politicians who continue to emulate King Canute in trying to control the tide. Sadly I fear that National will fail in this endeavour and likely open the door to our other brilliant fiscal managers who also don't have a Scooby Doo (clue).
Well I do have some sympathy for Luxon on this one. ( never thought I'd hear myself say it) Labour destroyed the economy. It will not be rebuilt in a hurry. Energy ( or the lack thereof is a major factor. There is also an unnecessary war in the Middle East. Two major causes of our inflation /cost of living crisis. Under investment in infrastructure and training entirely the fault of all past governments. Our fuel is all imported now. Dumb move. We are running out of gas. Dumb move. Electricity reforms from the Max Bradford era continue to screw the kiwi consumer. I could go on. But what I will say is that it's too big for a small thinker like Luxon.
So the sovereign in right of NZ is going to fix the mess that the sovereign in right of NZ creates. Democracy, eh!
It was most disturbing that Luxon burned over a year of his government's term before conjuring-up the the idea that 'growth' was the answer. At the same time as turning on the immigration spigot (per John Key government 'recipe' for 'growth'). Was it any coincidence that at more or less the same time the same growth story begun being parroted by Albanese, Starmer, and Carney? All these fools are at the same time moving ahead with net zero policies and unfettered immigration showing that they have no idea whatsoever as to how the World really works. When an Luxon says we have 'turned a corner', the immediate mental link for me is simply an image of driving into dead end street.
Again , 10 minutes of Luxon with his high speed repetitive phrases, saying nothing useful, and saying nothing about thd huge race issue that is NZs biggest problem.
He is wilfully ignoring it, so in effect he is aiding and abetting the radical Maori and their apartheid ambitions.
Yes, the whole point with Net Zero is that it is like trying to drive forward with the handbrake firmly on! Not to mention the ignition off and out of gear! At least there is no danger of slamming into that dead end around the corner when stationary.
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