Roy Morgan’s first New Zealand Poll for 2026 shows the National-led Government (National, ACT & NZ First) on 52%, up 1.5% points from a month earlier, now 8% points in front of the Labour-Greens-Maori Party Parliamentary Opposition on 44%, down 3% points, the latest Roy Morgan New Zealand Poll finds.
This is the largest lead the National-led Government has had for 16 months since September 2024.
Amongst the National-led Government support for National increased 1.5% to 34.5%, support for NZ First was down 1% to 9%, while support for ACT increased 1% at 8.5%.
For the Parliamentary Opposition, support for Labour dropped 2% points to 30.5%, support for the Greens dropped 1.5% points to 10.5%, and support for the Maori Party was up 0.5% to 3%.
A further 4% (up 1.5% points) of electors supported a minor party outside Parliament. This includes 2.5% (unchanged) who support The Opportunities Party (T.O.P.) and a further 1.5% (down 1.5% points) who support other minor parties including the New Conservatives, NewZeal, NZ Outdoors, the Freedom Party and the Aotearoa Legalise Cannabis Party.
National-led Government would win 65 seats if a New Zealand Election were held now
The survey results for January would lead to the National-led Government winning 65 seats (down three seats from the election) and the Labour-led Parliamentary Opposition would win 55 seats (unchanged).
For the governing coalition National’s support would win 43 seats (down six seats from the election), support for ACT would equal 11 seats (unchanged) and NZ First would win 11 seats (up three seats).
For the three Opposition parties Labour’s support would secure 38 seats (up four seats), Greens support would mean 13 seats (down two seats) and the Maori Party would win four seats (down two seats).....full poll results published HERE
Roy Morgan is Australia’s best known and longest established market research company, with an unparalleled reputation for reliable, accurate, meaningful, revealing market research. Proudly independent, the Company now operates globally.
Amongst the National-led Government support for National increased 1.5% to 34.5%, support for NZ First was down 1% to 9%, while support for ACT increased 1% at 8.5%.
For the Parliamentary Opposition, support for Labour dropped 2% points to 30.5%, support for the Greens dropped 1.5% points to 10.5%, and support for the Maori Party was up 0.5% to 3%.
A further 4% (up 1.5% points) of electors supported a minor party outside Parliament. This includes 2.5% (unchanged) who support The Opportunities Party (T.O.P.) and a further 1.5% (down 1.5% points) who support other minor parties including the New Conservatives, NewZeal, NZ Outdoors, the Freedom Party and the Aotearoa Legalise Cannabis Party.
National-led Government would win 65 seats if a New Zealand Election were held now
The survey results for January would lead to the National-led Government winning 65 seats (down three seats from the election) and the Labour-led Parliamentary Opposition would win 55 seats (unchanged).
For the governing coalition National’s support would win 43 seats (down six seats from the election), support for ACT would equal 11 seats (unchanged) and NZ First would win 11 seats (up three seats).
For the three Opposition parties Labour’s support would secure 38 seats (up four seats), Greens support would mean 13 seats (down two seats) and the Maori Party would win four seats (down two seats).....full poll results published HERE
Roy Morgan is Australia’s best known and longest established market research company, with an unparalleled reputation for reliable, accurate, meaningful, revealing market research. Proudly independent, the Company now operates globally.
4 comments:
Today’s news presents an almost perfect microcosm of New Zealand:
The Prime Minister is at Waitangi in closed-door discussions with the Iwi Leaders Forum.
Meanwhile in Wellington, the sewage treatment plant has been flooded and is completely broken down, with the city’s raw sewage pouring into Lyall Bay and likely to continue doing so for months.
And the National-NZ First-ACT coalition is ahead in the polls.
Does the previous comment mean we are in the sh*t from the first two points but there is room for some hope?
Labour's race buddies could still win all seven mixed race seats at the election and get them over the line. Strategic voting. Vote for a TPM candidate regardless and party vote Labour
Is there room for hope? Hard to say as all the changes in this poll appear to be within the margin of error. Perhaps if we start to see a consistent trend… but a National led govt, though making lots of nice noise in Waitangi speeches, has not been backing those words with actions. Equal rights and opportunities for all citizens Mr Luxon? It’s not what we’re seeing.
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