The US and Israel have launched a major attack in order to lay waste to much of Iran’s military as well as deny it the ability to build a nuclear weapon, according to US President Donald Trump.
Iranian media outlets have reported explosions in the capital Tehran, as well as in Isfahan, Karaj, and Kermanshah. A girls’ primary school in the city of Minab, in the south of Iran, was also hit by Israeli strikes, with almost 70 students reported killed.
In response, Iran has launched a wave of strikes across the Middle East, targeting several countries that host US military bases. Blasts have been heard from the beaches of Dubai to the streets of Doha, in what could be the opening salvos of a war that threatens to engulf the region.
In response, Iran has launched a wave of strikes across the Middle East, targeting several countries that host US military bases. Blasts have been heard from the beaches of Dubai to the streets of Doha, in what could be the opening salvos of a war that threatens to engulf the region.
Why did the US and Israel attack Iran?
Despite the US military buildup in the Middle East in recent weeks, Washington also resumed efforts to reach a new nuclear deal with Tehran. The last round of talks ended in Switzerland on Thursday, with Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi saying “good progress” was made on the nuclear issue and sanctions relief, but that differences remain.
That progress, however, did not deter Washington from resorting to force. In a 2:30 AM address on Saturday, Trump said the primary objective of the operation – dubbed Operation Epic Fury by the Department of War – was “to defend the American people by eliminating imminent threats from the Iranian regime.”
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has long viewed Iran as Israel’s most dangerous adversary, so he didn’t need much motivation. After crippling Iran’s proxies – Hamas in Gaza and Hezbollah in Lebanon – Israel last summer launched a war against Iran itself.
Does Iran have nuclear weapons?
Iran does not have a nuclear weapon, although Israel and the US have repeatedly accused it of aiming to do obtain one.
Highly enriched uranium is a fundamental ingredient of a nuclear weapon. According to the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), Iran enriches uranium up to 60% purity, near weapons-grade levels, but it insists it has no weapons programme. Tehran has also stressed that US claims are “politically motivated” and repeat “baseless accusations.”
Did the US Congress declare war on Iran?
The US attacked Iran without the approval of Congress, which is why the need to limit the president’s efforts to do so is seen by some as taking on new urgency.
Article 1 of the US Constitution gives Congress, not the president, the power to declare war. Top Congressional Democrats and Republicans that make up a group known as the Gang of Eight, party leaders from both chambers, as well as the intelligence committee’s leadership, were notified by the White House shortly before the attack, according to National Public Radio.
Has BRICS responded to the attack on Iran?
Russia and Iran are both part of the BRICS group of nations, along with Brazil, India, China, South Africa, Indonesia, Egypt, Ethiopia, and the United Arab Emirates. These countries rebuked last June’s US and Israeli aggression against Iran, calling it a “blatant breach of international law” while voicing strong support for the creation of a Palestinian state.
What about Hormuz, and why is it so important?
The Strait of Hormuz, situated between Iran to the north and the United Arab Emirates, handles about a quarter of the world’s seaborne oil trade.
According to Reuters, on Saturday vessels have been receiving VHF transmissions from Iran’s Revolutionary Guards saying “no ship is allowed to pass the Strait of Hormuz.”
If this is true and the giant tankers that ferry oil and gas from the Middle East to China, Europe, the US, and other major energy consumers are denied access through the strait, the disruption would trigger a spike in oil prices and potentially destabilize the global economy.
Daily Telegraph New Zealand (DTNZ) is an independent news website, first published in October 2021. - where this article was sourced.
4 comments:
The IRGC has killed thousands of Iranians over the last few weeks. Also, the IRGC has had weeks to strike a deal for dismantling their uranium which is really a destabilising factor in the Middle East. We can see by their strikes on Bahrain and Dubai targeting civilian, how unstable this regime is. The IRGC also sponsor terrorist proxy groups like Hamas. The military strategy by the US has been well thought out and strategic, so with the support of allies, the moderate Middle East has a chance of normality without Islamic extremism.
Quite a good summary, although 12+ hours old...
https://www.malone.news/p/operation-epic-fury
Usually when a regime is overthrown in the MENA region, chaos follows as tribal and sectarian groups with their various militias carve the country up into spheres of influence. Libya and Syria are good examples of once orderly and prosperous societies descending into anarchy after their leaders were deposed.
The fracture lines in MENA societies tend to be tribal and sectarian (the two often occur in parallel). There is not the same problem in Iran. Iranians are not Arabs but Persians, and tribal distinctions hardly apply except when considering minority groups such as the Kurds which is when sectarian divisions also come into play - the vast majority of Persian Iranians are Shia Muslims. All this bodes favourably for the country's immediate future as it is not likely to fall apart along typical MENA fracture lines (although some minority groups may try to capitalise on the disruption).
The Revolutionary Guards are answerable only to the Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic. They are an elite military force independent of the regular armed forces and also have strong economic clout, lording it over roughly half of Iran's GDP according to Google. In the event of the downfall of the political hierarchy, I would foresee a Revolutionary Guards military government running the country. This would be a good thing from the point of view of stabilising the ship and preventing terrorist groups such as ISIS establishing a foothold in the minority areas. While this would be very much in the West's favour, it is unfortunately quite likely that the US, in its usual shoot-first-think-later Wild West wisdom, will assassinate the Guards' leadership, greatly weakening their ability to bring order back into chaos. At that stage, my crystal ball does what it usually does when trying to predict events in the Middle East - it goes rather cloudy.
WW3? Nah. But quite possibly yet another total cock-up leaving us with a bigger problem than we started off with.
It sounds like the evil Kharmenie is dead, along with many of his senior henchmen. That is a good thing.
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