Members of the media chasing the Prime Minister through Wellington Airport, asking whether he was considering resigning and whether he had the full support of his caucus seemed a little bit silly to me. Silly because it’s not as if he’s gone to ground for the past four days, is it?
He was on morning media today - two radio interviews and at least one TV appearance - and he’s also fronted a post-Cabinet news conference. So it’s not as though the media are starved of opportunities to talk to the Prime Minister without chasing him through a crowded terminal.
All it does is create the impression of drama where no real drama exists.
There is no coup. All of his ministers are backing him publicly. Privately, sure, maybe a little less so - but publicly, they are. Luxon remains the leader until he is talked out of being the leader and there’s no sign that’s happening. In short, nothing is happening in the short term.
Now, if I try to understand why the media wanted to chase him through the airport, perhaps it’s because they sense things have shifted - and that part is true. Since the poll on Friday morning that put National at 28 percent, two things have changed.
First, ministers who previously gave complete backing to Luxon are now doing so privately with a caveat: “Yeah, I support him… but.”
But he’s bad at taking advice, but he made a bad call with XYZ. Whatever the specifics, the point is the same: they’ve dropped their full confidence. That tells me something is going on in their heads.
Second, he has now entered what I’d describe as publicly “dead man walking” territory. Every bad poll from here, every major mistake - and there will be some - will reignite talk about his leadership. That is a slow bleed for any leader. It ends one of two ways - a spanking on election day, or the leader eventually calling it quits.
I think he’s now in that zone. I don’t think the coalition loses the election at this rate, but I do think National comes back as a mini version of itself - and that’s not great for them.
Maybe that electoral prognosis is what has the media so excited that they’re chasing him through the airport. But that’s a medium-term issue. Today? I think the brief excitement of the weekend is over and nothing is going to happen.
Heather du Plessis-Allan is a journalist and commentator who hosts Newstalk ZB's Drive show. This article was sourced from Newstalk ZB.
10 comments:
It is main stream media's fault Heather, not Mr Luxon's. He has said all along that the economic mess left by labour will take at least two, if not three terms to fix Yet the media would never prrint this. It is all about bringing down any politician who is centre right and who can't be used as a useful.idiot for the marxists like hipkins can.
It shows how self centred Luxon is not to have resigned. It is not just the bad polling, but as some of his MPs have said, he will not take advice. Hosking is very smart, but he is wrong about Luxon. He is not a nice guy. He does not treat his members with respect, let alone his MPs. Remember Maureen Pugh? He could not answer a simple question about Trump and international law. He is not competent enough to be an MP, let alone PM.
Agree with - msm should be defunded by the taxpayer immediately- it has done enormous disservice to this country and the current editors and journalists employed should be tried for sedition and or treason.
When they realize that Erica will get votes that NZF and ACT will never get and for that matter a bald ugly older man will also never get. Those votes are middle aged middleclass not so bright women. They currently vote Greens and Labour for emotional reasons.
That's the 4% that matters.
I’m a National supporter, but if I had been polled I too would have indicated that I would not vote National/right because I’m very disappointed with them and I want to give them a fright. But I absolutely have no intention of voting Labour/left. Strategic voting happens for polls as well as elections.
Thank you, Anon 236, for pointing out one of the many reasons why most political polls are about as reliable as reading the entrails of a slaughtered goose.
Other reasons are more esoteric, revolving around theoretical issues associated with Sampling Theory and the mathematics of probability. But those probably come in a distant second as sources of uncertainty compared with psychological factors such as people refusing to answer, lying, or responding "strategically" as you do.
The writing guild has subscribed en masse to what Winston Peters calls “lazy journalism.” Luxon has been an easy target and a reliable source of cheap click‑bait from the very first day of this coalition. No research, no travel, no groundwork — just stitch a story together and move on. And if it’s rubbish, who cares; by tomorrow it will be forgotten anyway.
The problem is that people do listen to the media, and they are influenced by what they hear. And these people vote. With such a limited range of political choices, the harsh reality is that every vote that is missed — or not cast for National — effectively becomes a vote for the other side of the spectrum.
Chippie's the one who should be walking.
I really hope Chris hangs in there. Hes wealthy and sorted, and i don't think his ego will let him let go. I really do think Labour is hoping he stays on to. He is unelectable.
Hosking's interviews with Luxon are all warm and chummy, without ever asking Luxon what he is doing about the maorification of NZ which has reached chronic levels.
A current example is the Medical Council demands regarding prioritizing Maori above all else.
Will Hosking or Heather ever ask those questions that most of us want answered ?
No ?
Is NZME PIJF funding compromised ?
Does NZME PIJF contract require them not to ask questions that are burning in the community about racd issues ?
I greatly expect that is correct, and I would appreciate being proven wrong.
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