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Thursday, March 5, 2026

Roy Morgan: Support for National drops to lowest in six months, just ahead of Labour


Roy Morgan’s New Zealand Poll for February 2026 shows the National-led Government (National, ACT & NZ First) on 48.5%, down 3.5% points from a month earlier, now just 1.5% points in front of the Labour-Greens-Maori Party Parliamentary Opposition on 47%, up 3% points, the latest Roy Morgan New Zealand Poll finds.

Amongst the National-led Government support for National dropped 3.5% to 31%, support for NZ First was up 0.5% to 9%, while support for ACT was down 0.5% to 8%.

For the Parliamentary Opposition, support for Labour dropped 0.5% points to 30%, support for the Greens increased 4% points to 14.5%, and support for the Maori Party was down 0.5% to 2.5%.

A further 4.5% (up 0.5% points) of electors supported a minor party outside Parliament. This includes 4% (up 1.5% points) who support The Opportunities Party (T.O.P.) and a further 0.5% (down 1% point) who support other minor parties including the NewZeal, NZ Outdoors & Freedom Party (NZOFP), Vision NZ, Conservative Party NZ, Women’s Right’s Party and the Aotearoa Legalise Cannabis Party.

National-led Government would win 61 seats if a New Zealand Election were held now

The survey results for February would lead to the National-led Government winning 61 seats (down seven seats from the election) and the Labour-led Parliamentary Opposition would win 59 seats (up four seats).

For the governing coalition National’s support would win 39 seats (down 10 seats from the election), support for ACT would equal 10 seats (down one seat) and NZ First would win 12 seats (up four seats).

For the three Opposition parties Labour’s support would secure 38 seats (up four seats), Greens support would mean 18 seats (up three seats) and the Maori Party would win three seats (down three seats)......full poll results published HERE

Roy Morgan is Australia’s best known and longest established market research company, with an unparalleled reputation for reliable, accurate, meaningful, revealing market research. Proudly independent, the Company now operates globally.

6 comments:

Anonymous said...

The Greens up, Labour up, what more proof do you need that many NZrs are stupid and hellbent on their own economic and societal destruction?

Anonymous said...

It's simple. If you want the radical racist far left back in, then we will get what we vote for and what we deserve. I can't believe how screwed up with such short memories a lot of kiwis have. But the left and their crazy supporters have a fetish for stupidity.

Anonymous said...

Proof conservatives have already left nz

Janine said...

We need to look at the big picture. Many people are on benefits and will vote for the party that maintains those benefits. Part-Maori want a part-Maori party but think the Maori Party is a tad extreme so are veering towards the Greens.Thus the rise in Labour and the Greens. These people have no interest in world affairs except to chant "free Palestine" from a safe distance.

Luxon has alienated conservative voters with his attitude that he "likes nothing about equality for all." Thus the rise in NZF whose policies claim equality for all. Whether they deliver is another matter.

anonymous said...

This is a perfect storm situation - and happening in various countries (UK, NZ, Canada etc.). Left -wing governments buy votes from groups which receive benefits from the state e.g. large scale public service employment at national and local levels, a lowered voting age for young people, generous benefits for both citizens and for overseas arrivals including illegal migrants.
In addition, NZ has a younger generation
( under 40 and including those approaching voter age) educated in the " te ao" -based system which is really an indoctrination process.
This explains the Right/Left divide in polls and opinion.The 2026 election could go either way as NZ - and NZers - increasingly lean Left for an easy life paid for by " the state" aka tax payers ( a dwindling group"). This bodes ill for the future.

Anonymous said...

Well said Janine

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