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Sunday, April 26, 2026

David Farrar: Winston rules out Labour


This is significant, with Peters ruling out Labour, not just Hipkins. It reinforces the only route to power for Labour is with Te Pati Maori.


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People will debate whether or not you can trust what Peters has said. He did famously wave a no sign up at a press conference repeated times, and the actual answer it transpired was yes – he did know of Owen Glenn’s donation.

Personally I would be surprised if Peters did go with Labour. Not because I particularly trust him, but because 90% of his current support comes from people who voted for National, NZF or ACT in 2023. He would face a huge backlash if he turned around and put Labour in.

David Farrar runs Curia Market Research, a specialist opinion polling and research agency, and the popular Kiwiblog where this article was sourced. He previously worked in the Parliament for eight years, serving two National Party Prime Ministers and three Opposition.

3 comments:

Anonymous said...

If Labour offer Winstonr a better deal, he will go Labour. There is nothing cast in concrete here.

Anonymous said...

If Luxon was any kind negotiator then this has all but evaporated any leverage Winston has come November. NZF opting out of MMP is kinda hilarious, it’s like they don’t really want to work in government.

Anonymous said...

Election day numbers are what really matter.

Winston realistically at 81 years old has one term or two to go - if he gets enough votes off the Nats and has 20%, he can do a deal with Labour to be PM by and finally achieve his ultimate objective.

And he can convincingly articulate that the alternative of a Labour/Greens/Maori would be disastrous for NZ.

The Nats are stuffed - left their running on de-Maorification and de-Woking too late.

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