Efforts to
stamp out so-called discrimination in the labor market will kill jobs and
stifle economic growth.
Today’s
economic trends are not promising. In the United
States, the
European community and Japan,
the prospect of dismal growth is too often met with desperate measures that
only make matters worse. There are endless claims about the failure of
austerity to spur growth, and impassioned attacks on the folly of unbridled
spending that will drown the nation in debt. What a choice!
The debate
over the proper level of government spending and taxation is itself a powerful
cause of our current economic malaise. The current uncertainty over the use of
these key policy levers leads to further uncertainty about the possibility of a
rise in interest rates that will send the economy into a tailspin. Unstable
currency injects a gratuitous element of uncertainty into every private
transaction denominated in dollars. That uncertainty is a cost to both parties
in any routine business transaction. When the costs of transacting rise to the
point where they exceed the anticipated gains from trade, the deal is off.
Thus,
suppose that S owns something that he values at $10 and which B values at $15.
A voluntary transaction that costs nothing to arrange would generate a gain of
$5 by moving the resource to B.
The zero
transaction cost model may be mythical, but its implications are intensely
practical. In the example given, so long as the costs of the transaction in the
aggregate are kept below $5, the deal goes through. The result is otherwise
when those costs go above that level. The constant uncertainty about taxes and
regulations is a deal-killing transaction cost that produces no collateral
benefits. So long as macro-economic policy remains fixated with moving all the
levers at once in different directions, it will act as a drag on the
marketplace. Stability of expectations is key to a strong macroeconomic
market.
Microeconomic Madness on Employment
The same
mistakes are now very much at work in labor markets, where they do more than
their fair share to increase the high level of unemployment. The dominant,
though mistaken, attitude is perfectly captured in a letter by Risa
Kaufman, the Director of the Columbia Law School Human Rights Institute,
who claims that “the United States’ failure to enact meaningful protections
enabling workers to accommodate the demands of work and family is not only out
of step with countries around the world, but it is also counter to
international human rights standards.”
This
“failure” is also a huge relief. Bad as our own national employment situation
is, it would be far worse if the United States acted in line with those
misguided countries throughout the world that now endure unemployment rates
that touch or exceed, as in the case of Spain, 25
percent precisely because they seek to secure this phalanx of workplace
protections as a matter of public law.
To be sure,
innovative employers may adopt some types of worker protections to keep able
women employees in the workforce, whether in the form of child-care benefits,
flex time or split positions. But it is one thing for a particular employer to
adopt these policies, and quite another for a heavy-handed political entity to
impose them on employers who think that these purported benefits are not in
line with their best business interests.
In these
cases, employers’ unwillingness to offer these protections is well-nigh
conclusive evidence that the cost of the disputed benefits package exceeds the
gains for his or her employee. If the situation were otherwise, the benefit
would be included, as is routinely the case with the thousands of perks that
particular employers offer to all or some of their employees. What explanation
other than market demand could explain why so many employers offer benefits
packages that go far beyond international minimums or local law?
The
situation reverses when such benefits packages are required as a matter of law.
At this point, firms divide themselves into two categories. Those that would
have provided the benefit anyway will continue to do so. But they will do so
less efficiently than before, as they will lose the power of self-correction
and must incur the oft-heavy compliance costs to satisfy the prying eyes of
government regulators. Wages will fall as compliance costs rise and the two
sides are left with the unhappy task of dividing a shrunken pie in order to
implement what Kaufman calls these “widely accepted human rights norms.”
The other
scenario is worse, for now the net size of the mandated loss exceeds the joint
gains that the employer and employee hoped to accrue in the labor market. So
now the transaction is squelched, and one more person is added to the ranks of
the unemployed because of the supposedly moral judgment that having no job,
albeit with the promise of rich benefits if ultimately obtained, is superior to
having a job with a thinner benefits package.
What theory
of human rights finds a moral imperative in killing jobs to satisfy some
abstract and noble ideal?
Paid Family and Maternity Leave?
One of the
key causes that is taken up by human rights advocates is that of paid maternal
and family leave. Writing in the New York Times, Professor Stephanie
Koontz asks with evident disdain why, fifty years after the publication of
Betty Friedan’s The Feminine Mystique, the United States—along with such
countries as Suriname, Liberia, and Tonga—is alone
among the developed nations of the world in denying paid maternity leave to
mothers.
Similarly,
the movement for mandatory paid-sick
leave, as reported by Melanie Trottman in the Wall Street Journal, has also
gathered support in the wake of recent flu outbreaks at the city, state, and
national level. About 40 percent of private workers do not get this benefit.
These pushes
for change ignore all of the inter-firm differences that make certain policies
unwise for some companies even when they make good sense to others. Yet when
the objection is raised that “such laws weigh on businesses and ultimately hurt
workers,” the point is treated as odd. Recent evidence from Connecticut
indicates that when firms with greater than fifty employees are required to let
workers accrue sick leave (up to five days per year)—one hour for each 40 hours
worked—jobs are lost.
But none of
these concerns are sufficient to slow down the train wreck. After all, it
is always possible to shrug and proclaim that “employers are going to have to
re-evaluate their financial situation”—which they may well do by lowering wages
or refusing to expand their labor force.
Discrimination Against the Unemployed
The
frustration with persistent levels of unemployment has spawned yet another
legislative crusade—prohibiting
employers from discriminating against those who are currently unemployed in
job applications. Such laws are already on the books in New
Jersey, Oregon, and Washington D.C. The charge is led on the strength of
anecdotes of people who have been down on their luck in getting jobs in a down
economy. Of course, many of these anecdotes are true—which is to say that being
unemployed is at best an imperfect proxy for whether a worker has out-of-date
skills or a bad attitude.
Yet statutes
of this sort, including the versions now circulating in Congress, can do
nothing to address the underlying problem of high unemployment rates. So long
as the number of jobs remains constant, the best that can happen is that one unemployed
person gets a particular job only by displacing another worker. It is likely
that the new round of legal protections for the unemployed will only reduce the
number of jobs available, as employers pull back in order to avoid a new source
of potential liability.
The
defenders of the new approach may add that the New Jersey statute was limited
in its scope by Governor Chris Christie. The statute seems to apply only to
explicit statements by employers that persons who are currently unemployed will
not be hired, except in cases where the employer advertises for internal
promotions.
Still, the
situation is far worse than the status quo ex ante. Take the New Jersey
legislation as it stands: every employer now has to review its external
advertisements for compliance to the law and be prepared to answer government
investigators about general practices and particular charges.
When the
situation produces no improvements, the defenders of these laws will take it
upon themselves to say that stronger sanctions must be put into place. Indeed
just that measure has been taken in the District of Columbia, where the law
extends the coverage so that “No employer or employment agency shall: (1) Fail
or refuse to consider for employment, or fail or refuse to hire, an individual
as an employee because of the individual's status as unemployed.”
Once again,
there are no private actions, but now the scope of the investigation has become
broader under a set of rules prepared by the Mayor, which will take effect
unless overridden soon by the D.C. Council. At this point, the scope of
administrative authority is necessarily expanded because virtually any
unemployed person who is turned down for a job could claim discrimination, so
long as the employer knows of his unemployment status. The prospect of multiple
violations being levied against the employer from a single filing cannot be
ignored— and all this when the unemployment rate in Washington,
D.C. stays at 8.6 percent, notwithstanding the huge influx of government jobs.
At this
point, it is important to address the grand disconnect that defenders of
so-called human rights law have between their own dubious sense of equity and
the overall issue of growth. For each aggrieved employee, there is an aggrieved
employer who has been forced to close or contract his business because of these
regulations. To understand why equity does not lead to growth, it’s important
to look at the bigger picture. Intrusive labor laws increase the ranks of the
unemployed, which puts greater pressure on the public systems of support.
Anxious lawmakers and advocates will then push for greater job protections that
only exacerbate the very conditions that they are trying to eliminate.
What
policymakers and activists must take into account is that no amount of
cheerleading can eliminate the simple fact that private business actors respond
to incentives in rational and predictable ways. Neither Congress nor the states
can repeal the law of unintended consequences. But so long as political actors
continue to tempt fate, the economic downward cycle will continue apace as new
legal rules stifle economic growth. Until deregulation, in labor markets and
beyond, becomes our national policy, stagnation and drift will dominate the
economic landscape.
2 comments:
What you say MIGHT be correct, but what do you suggest be done with the 10% or so of the unemployed?
Do you just leave them with nothing useful to do and 24 hours a day in which to do it? If so you are asking for trouble: you will need to build more prisons and rehab. facilities. You cannot put them on a pittance of a benefit and expect them to be satisfied, useful citizens, especially if most of them will be young, fit and with great expectations.
Will you continue to allow huge numbers of immigrants to further exacerbate the situation.
Will you continue to allow those with knowledge and money to invest in foreign countries.
Your comments sound so much like those of politicians. This brings to mind a local publication which suggested that politicians and diapers should be changed regularly for similar reasons
I work in the rural area. More and more farmers are looking at ways to reduce or eliminate staff, even to the point in several cases that I know, they have reduced cow numbers and production so that they don't need labour. Work place safety legislation (and RMA) expose them to the risk of prosecution, and in the event that they are convicted, they are then a criminal.These draconian laws, (they involve strict liability, that is, the prosecutor only has to prove the event happened) means the farmer can be, and is being, prosecuted for things he could not have prevented. When you get a judge saying(as in one case) that there is no such thing as an accident on a worksite, they are all preventable, that is a strong signal to rural employers to get out of having labour,or farming, or risk becoming a criminal. Is the same happening in town?
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