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Friday, October 6, 2023

John MacDonald: The NZ First gamble is backfiring


I reckon the National Party is feeling more than a little bit nervous. In fact, I think it’s starting to look desperate. Almost as desperate as Labour is looking.

Because, if I go on what people left, right and centre are telling me, Labour is toast and we’re going to see a change in government. And, as far as I’m concerned, Labour deserves everything coming at it because of the way it has started promising us things that it could so easily have done any time over the past six years.

But it’s only talking about them now because it wants to be re-elected.

And National’s desperation is all of its own making too. Just like Labour.

Because, even though people are saying they definitely want change, the poll numbers aren’t quite as definitive as some voters seem to be.

The latest one came out last night —this is the 1News Verian Poll— and it had National on 36%, Labour on 26%, the Greens on 13%, ACT on 10%, and NZ First on 6%.

Plus a bunch of the other parties all bubbling away around the 2% mark.

So last night’s numbers show that National and ACT still don’t have enough support to avoid making the phone call to Winston Peters and getting NZ First involved in what I think, we all agree, would be something of a three-headed monster.

That’s what a coalition government involving Winston Peters would be.

And so today, National has rolled-out Sir John Key in a social media campaign, basically saying that anyone thinking about voting for NZ First should forget about it and vote National instead.

He isn’t as explicit as that. But it’s very clear that the call Luxon made the other week when he announced that, if he had to, he’d get on the blower to Winston Peters and talk to him about being part of a coalition government, that that has backfired on National.

Because Luxon is now realising that there is a very real prospect that, if he wants to be Prime Minister, he’s going to have Winston Peters in the mix.

So what he’s done, is he’s got former National leader Sir John Key to make a wee video using the emotion that marketers use alot of the time - fear. When they’re selling cleaning products, they try and get us all scaredy-cat about all the invisible bugs around the house, don’t they?

And that’s what Sir John is doing. He’s getting us all scaredy-cat about a National, ACT, NZ First coalition.

Now the reason this looks so desperate, is because Sir John isn’t just promoting National or writing-off the parties on the left. He’s actually trying to put the fear of God into us over a party that National has already said it will work with to form a government. If it has to.

Because Sir John is, very clearly in his video, painting a picture of the day after the election and Luxon being in a position of having to start coalition negotiations with Winston Peters.

Which we know is an absolute last resort for National. But it’s looking more and more like it’s going to be a reality. And so National is panicking. It’s getting desperate. Because the decision to rule NZ First in is backfiring on Christopher Luxon. As most of us knew it would. Right from the start.

John MacDonald is the Canterbury Mornings host on Newstalk ZB Christchurch. This article was first published HERE

4 comments:

Rob Beechey said...

Take a deep breath John, before echoing the rest of your left wing shock jocks in the MSM and have an honest discussion about the most disastrous and destructive govt in the history of New Zealand. If it takes three parties to deal with this mess, so be it. The next govt must change direction and save us from oblivion, would be a more constructive comment.

Barend Vlaardingerbroek said...

I am hoping for a Nat/ACT/NZF coalition or alliance. ACT's economic rationality would be offset by NZF's old-fashioned welfarism and the golden middle path would be steered.

Anonymous said...

Over the decades the MSM have loved to hate on Winston at every opportunity and this has rubbed off onto the NZ psyche. Everyone loves to say this and that about Winston but they never say what he has done wrong.
I think he kept Labour from starting their autocratic agenda in 2017 and one could argue they shouldn't have been the government. But if we had had another 3 years of National would we be better off than now? I doubt it.
Hipkins saying yesterday that Winston was a nightmare to work with, well he is a desperate mongrel isn't he? I'm sure Winston could tell some tales about Hipkins too but he never will as he is a gentleman. Not like that Rawiri who spouts his piece last night then talks all over everyone else who should have had a turn. The height of ignorance.
I am pleased, rapt even, to see Labour drowning in the mud and will vote for NZ First with glee. Winston and Seymour will learn to respect each other and that will be good.
MC

Erica said...

If only Luxon wasn't so woke and aligning himself with such unpopular non conservative things as the transgender and sexualizing small children programmes in schools, not un -shackling NZ from UNDRIP, refusing to acknowledge that the anti- mandaters have truths to tell and prominent climate scientists including Nobel Prize winners have a different science from the narrative, he would gain many NZF votesr.

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