Roy Morgan: August National-led Government leads Labour-led Parliamentary Opposition (49% vs. 41%)

Roy Morgan’s New Zealand Poll for August 2026 shows the National-led Government (National, ACT & NZ First) unchanged at 49%, maintaining a clear lead over the Labour-Greens-Te Pāti Māori Parliamentary Opposition, unchanged at 41% - and a record high 9.5%, up 1.5% support Opportunity.

Support for National dropped 1% to 31%

Support for ACT was up 2% to 10.5%

Support for New Zealand First was down 1% to 7.5% 

Support for Labour was down 1.5% to 24%

Support for the Greens was up 2% to 15.5%

Support for Te Pāti Māori decreased 0.5% to 1.5%.

A further 10% (unchanged) of electors supported a minor party outside Parliament. Importantly, this includes 9.5% (up 1.5%) who support Opportunity and a further 0.5% (down 1.5%) who support other minor parties including the NewZeal, NZ Outdoors & Freedom Party (NZOFP), Vision NZ, Conservative Party NZ, Women’s Right’s Party and the Aotearoa Legalise Cannabis Party.

National-led Government set to win most seats but fall short of a majority with 59 seats

This latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by telephone – both landline and mobile – with a New Zealand-wide cross-section of 858 electors from July 27 – August 23, 2026. Electors were asked: “If a New Zealand Election were held today which party would receive your party vote?” Of all electors surveyed 6.5% (up 3.5% points) did not name a party.

The survey results for August would lead to the National-led Government winning 59 seats (down nine seats from the election) and the Labour-led Parliamentary Opposition would win 51 seats (down four seats)....full poll results published HERE

Roy Morgan is Australia’s best known and longest established market research company, with an unparalleled reputation for reliable, accurate, meaningful, revealing market research. Proudly independent, the Company now operates globally.