David Farrar: A huge One Nation swing

Voters in the Western Australian state electorate of Secret Harbour just delivered a huge swing. Here’s the results.

1. One Nation 39.1% (+30.7%)

2. Labor 24.4% (-22.2%)

3. Liberal 17.3% (-7.7%)

4. Greens 7.5% (-1.3%)

The significance isn’t just the swing to one Nation, but that they won a safe Labour seat – ie they are not just picking up disaffected Coalition voters.

Now it is only a by-election, but Victoria goes to the polls in November and it will be very interesting to see how One Nation does there.

David Farrar runs Curia Market Research, a specialist opinion polling and research agency, and the popular Kiwiblog where this article was sourced. He previously worked in the Parliament for eight years, serving two National Party Prime Ministers and three Opposition Leaders