Political friends are pointing out the facts to the National Party and the voting public. The big guns are imploring them. If you want a centre-right government and beat the dangerous left bloc, the candidate vote needs to go to National in most electorates and the party vote either to the ACT Party or the New Zealand First Party. It’s a simple numbers game.
Vote Smart 2026 to save the country.
Maurice Williamson, Don Brash, Richard Prebble and others, like Cameron Slater, Penny Marie and Ashley Church have been explaining the math in many different ways, and the advantages of splitting votes in this particular election. https://goodoil.news/make-both-your-votes-count-with-maurice-williamson-penny-marie-paul-mathews/#google_vignette
The National Party MPs and members are pig-headed. Local National MPs, Christopher Luxon as National’s Leader and even Nicola Willis, NZ’s finance minister who you would have thought at least knew that two and two made four, surprisingly do not appear to add this up. They will not budge in their stance even with exceptionally clear articles beseeching them to think of the country. There are unmistakable graphs and poor polls in a tight election, but the ‘two ticks blue’ intonation continues ad infinitum from the National Party. They are so blinded by their own importance, they are calling the strategy ‘stupid’, ‘disappointing’, and a ‘deliberate attempt to confuse voters’ – and Luxon’s forthright criticism goes as far as calling it ‘an insanely stupid idea’. Of course, they are only promoting this to try to protect those on National’s party List, while blatantly ignoring they won’t get any because their polling is so poor.
John Key, the former PM, is also getting in on the action advising everyone not to listen to the numbers purported by the strategic voting proponents, warning people not to do something they ‘think is clever’ that is actually ‘the opposite of clever’. He wants Kiwis to ignore the split vote and give both votes to National.
People are horrified National might hand NZ a four-headed left coalition of a socialist Labour Party, the crazy and woke, Greens, hard left, te Pāti Māori and tax happy Opportunity. It is impossible to imagine them working together around the cabinet table. It would be a political nightmare and very bad for the country.
In the Herald on Sunday, 1 November, Brash rejected National’s claims that the Vote Smart advertisements were designed to confuse voters: “The advertisements published in my name do not seek to confuse anyone. Indeed, they attempt to provide clarity via basic mathematics and set out a straightforward consequence of the MMP rules as they currently operate.
“The National Party has alleged that the Vote Smart 2026 campaign with which I am involved is a deliberate attempt to confuse voters.
“The campaign is actually an attempt to educate right-sided voters on the safest path to getting a National-led coalition back into government”.
By insisting voters tick both the National candidate and party, National’s egotistical stubbornness beggars’ belief. Luxon’s intransigent position of prioritising its own party numbers over maximising total center-right seat overhang count seems fixed.
It’s a high-stakes election and we must have the objective of returning a center-right government. Luxon is a lost cause. Ignore him. The only chance is to reach voters with this message of strategic voting. They are more than ‘clever’ enough. Party vote either NZF or ACT. We have three days.
Send friends and family Ashley Church’s article to centre-right voters: https://breakingviewsnz.blogspot.com/2026/08/ashley-church-could-mmp-loophole-return.html?m=1
Or, Chris Trotter’s interview on the Platform: https://goodoil.news/chris-trotters-dire-warning-of-a-centre-left-election-win/
Become a subscriber to the popular centre-right Good Oil blog to read Cameron Slater’s insightful articles. https://goodoil.news/three-polls-say-split-your-vote/
Eliora is a fourth-generation Kiwi is a conservative voter and has worked in health. This article was first published HERE
Maurice Williamson, Don Brash, Richard Prebble and others, like Cameron Slater, Penny Marie and Ashley Church have been explaining the math in many different ways, and the advantages of splitting votes in this particular election. https://goodoil.news/make-both-your-votes-count-with-maurice-williamson-penny-marie-paul-mathews/#google_vignette
The National Party MPs and members are pig-headed. Local National MPs, Christopher Luxon as National’s Leader and even Nicola Willis, NZ’s finance minister who you would have thought at least knew that two and two made four, surprisingly do not appear to add this up. They will not budge in their stance even with exceptionally clear articles beseeching them to think of the country. There are unmistakable graphs and poor polls in a tight election, but the ‘two ticks blue’ intonation continues ad infinitum from the National Party. They are so blinded by their own importance, they are calling the strategy ‘stupid’, ‘disappointing’, and a ‘deliberate attempt to confuse voters’ – and Luxon’s forthright criticism goes as far as calling it ‘an insanely stupid idea’. Of course, they are only promoting this to try to protect those on National’s party List, while blatantly ignoring they won’t get any because their polling is so poor.
John Key, the former PM, is also getting in on the action advising everyone not to listen to the numbers purported by the strategic voting proponents, warning people not to do something they ‘think is clever’ that is actually ‘the opposite of clever’. He wants Kiwis to ignore the split vote and give both votes to National.
People are horrified National might hand NZ a four-headed left coalition of a socialist Labour Party, the crazy and woke, Greens, hard left, te Pāti Māori and tax happy Opportunity. It is impossible to imagine them working together around the cabinet table. It would be a political nightmare and very bad for the country.
In the Herald on Sunday, 1 November, Brash rejected National’s claims that the Vote Smart advertisements were designed to confuse voters: “The advertisements published in my name do not seek to confuse anyone. Indeed, they attempt to provide clarity via basic mathematics and set out a straightforward consequence of the MMP rules as they currently operate.
“The National Party has alleged that the Vote Smart 2026 campaign with which I am involved is a deliberate attempt to confuse voters.
“The campaign is actually an attempt to educate right-sided voters on the safest path to getting a National-led coalition back into government”.
By insisting voters tick both the National candidate and party, National’s egotistical stubbornness beggars’ belief. Luxon’s intransigent position of prioritising its own party numbers over maximising total center-right seat overhang count seems fixed.
It’s a high-stakes election and we must have the objective of returning a center-right government. Luxon is a lost cause. Ignore him. The only chance is to reach voters with this message of strategic voting. They are more than ‘clever’ enough. Party vote either NZF or ACT. We have three days.
Send friends and family Ashley Church’s article to centre-right voters: https://breakingviewsnz.blogspot.com/2026/08/ashley-church-could-mmp-loophole-return.html?m=1
Or, Chris Trotter’s interview on the Platform: https://goodoil.news/chris-trotters-dire-warning-of-a-centre-left-election-win/
Become a subscriber to the popular centre-right Good Oil blog to read Cameron Slater’s insightful articles. https://goodoil.news/three-polls-say-split-your-vote/
Eliora is a fourth-generation Kiwi is a conservative voter and has worked in health. This article was first published HERE
7 comments:
See, this is why the right is losing. Instead of talking about what good things they have done and what their goals are for the next term, they say that their goal is power! Kiwis without jobs and kiwis struggling to pay the bills aren’t exactly hyped about getting on board that train.
When so few are “sorted” these days, the “coalition for the sorted” doesn’t have any market appeal. There will be studies about this foolishness for years to come.
Luxon has stupidly sighed New Zealand’s death warrant.
Anonymous at 6.54am:
you’ve completely missed the point, and that’s exactly why the left is dangerous right now.
This isn’t about National wanting “power” for its own sake. It’s about stopping power falling into the hands of a four-headed coalition that has no coherent plan for the country — Labour, Greens, te Pāti Māori and TOP.
You talk about Kiwis without jobs and Kiwis struggling to pay the bills as if that’s an argument for that lot. Who do you think created that mess? Labour’s borrow-and-spend, lock us down, shut down productive New Zealand, and then lecture us about kindness while inflation, interest rates, rents and food prices went through the roof. The Greens want to tax everything that moves and shut down everything that works. Te Pati Maori want a separate system based on race. TOP wants a wealth tax that will drive capital and jobs straight offshore.
And you say nothing about any of that. Not a word about the MSM cheerleading it, the universities full of activist academics, the unions bankrolling it, or the endless stream of unworkable, high-cost promises — free this, free that, paid for by someone else. It’s Ponzi-scheme politics. Promise the earth now, send the bill to our kids later, and fan a culture war in the meantime to distract from the fact none of it adds up.
The “coalition for the sorted” line is just lazy. The people who are not sorted — the tradie who can’t get work because consent costs have exploded, the nurse working double shifts, the small business owner drowning in compliance, the family watching their mortgage go up while their wages don’t — they’re not sorted because of left-wing policy. They’re the ones who will pay first when this left bloc gets in and starts its spending spree and social engineering all over again.
Talking about what good things have been done? Fine. Let’s talk about getting inflation down, getting interest rates down, getting some fiscal discipline back, getting gang laws tightened, getting some accountability back into health and education after years of bloated bureaucracy and ideological capture.
But this election isn’t just about a CV. It’s about basic maths under MMP. If centre-right voters waste both ticks on National, we hand seats to the left on a platter because of how the list and overhang work. Splitting the vote — candidate National, party vote ACT or NZ First — is how you maximise the total centre-right seats and keep that left coalition out. Williamson, Brash, Prebble, Church and others have laid out the numbers. It’s not confusing, it’s arithmetic.
You call that “foolishness.” What’s foolish is pretending this is a normal election where you can just vote on vibes and hope for the best, while ignoring the coalition that’s lining up to seize power with policies that will cost jobs, hike taxes, divide New Zealanders by race, and unleash an unprecedented culture war and social disruption.
We’re not talking about power for power’s sake. We’re talking about stopping a government that will make life harder for exactly the struggling Kiwis you claim to care about.
It's Luxon who has been pig headed about the Maorification as he refuses to talk about, nor do anything about it.
That is what will cost NZ proper democracy forever
Very well put anon at 9:01. The other anon at 6:54 is just trolling with the leftist talking points. Probably bomber Bradley the way he carries on. Kevin
I split my vote, but to be fair to Luxon in this debate, he’s ‘captain’ of the National team. As such he can’t come out and publicly endorse vote splitting knowing that deliberately throws some of his top team members under the bus.
He has to show/maintain team loyalty or what’s a captain for?
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