National is behind Labour. National's on 32, Labour's on 34.
Now, this is not the first time that National has fallen behind Labour since the last election. The first time it happened was November last year. Then it happened again in January, twice. Then it happened again in March, twice.
Then it happened in May, then it happened twice in June, and then it happened twice just in the last month.
Now, it is becoming more and more frequent that this is happening. And if you see it in its graph form, it's actually quite arresting, what's going on here.
This is not an aberration, this is a trend of National consistently losing ground and Labour consistently making up ground. This has been happening since the election, but it really started to gather steam at the start of this year.
Now, I do not think that Labour will win the next election because I think their bedfellows and the Greens and the Māori Party are just way too nutty.
I don't think enough people will want to vote for Labour, but National should be worried because these polls show that enough voters don't want to vote for National either, because right now, they are profoundly disappointing, aren't they?
I mean, answer me this question - what has this Government done to help the economy? Apart from the investment tax boost incentive in the budget in May, what have they actually done?
I feel like the answer is nothing. Yes, this economy was shot when they took it over, it's not their fault, but their election promise was to get it back on track.
But in order to get it back on track, you actually have to do something, and they've done nothing. They're spending more than Grant, they're running deficits from here until basically the end of their possible term, and they're making announcements of things they might want to do sometime in the future, but they're not doing it just yet.
If there is a vibe in this country right now, especially in places like Auckland and Wellington, it's a vibe that I reckon kicked in about 5 or 6 weeks ago properly, just after the halfway mark of this Government's electoral term, when people realized - you know what? We're halfway through and they've done nothing, and this economy still sucks.
And that, I think, is what you're seeing in this poll, just a lot of disappointment.
Heather du Plessis-Allan is a journalist and commentator who hosts Newstalk ZB's Drive show HERE - where this article was sourced.
12 comments:
Barry, you are responsible for the publishing of these " i feels", can't you check read Heather's articles before they are foistered on the nz public?
You.might explain the reason Luxons governement had to restrict spending and the RB had to raise interest rates, you could go on to explain the results of those actions on the average voters bottom line.
You could also explain the disgusting partisan reporting of most of your fellow journalists, promoting the curia poll doom and gloom whist ignoring the more accurate RM polls showing the coalition still ahead.
It is probably likely that Hipkins will be Prime Minister again. We will have to ponder strategic voting for NZ First to at least open up the possibility of them being a coalition partner with Labour. A Labour/Green/TPM Coalition will be an aggressive Marxist Government and we will no doubt have a UK situation with people arrested for tweets and online comments etc
This is what happens when government gets too big. They suck up all the resources and money but don’t produce anything.
We are now de industrialising which means higher unemployment, higher debt , higher taxes.
The Government needs to be shrunk to no more than 25 percent of GDP
Heather, I was told by friends that people in the UK voted for labour more as a punish vote, rather than thinking that labour will do a better job. That is what could happen here. 68% of readers in a stuff poll I saw yesterday, said that NZ was heading in the wrong direction.
The main stream media are not telling people what a labour trio government would actually be like. Indeed there are many brainwashed citizens who believe that "the crown" is the english king who owns much of the land in nz and refuses to give it back to maori. And that anyone who is a white new zealander is by default a british subject who is also against maori and is a visitor here and came here illegally. I have read such utter tosh in comments on te pati fb pages and the like and no one corrects it.
So the mainstream media needs to do it's job.
Imagine becoming the boss after the worst boss ever leaves and then doing nothing of any meaningful difference and wondering why half of your employees are quitting and the other half don’t like you?
Yes, and the reason is that this National-led government is fundamentally corrupt and the people know it. I tried helping them but then Luxon - Willis went behind my back and put all of their John Key era chums and mates into the top jobs. No new thinking, just the same old crap. Once they did that, and met with the bank lobbyists to scam their customers by passing retrospective legislation, as well as did dirty deals with the supermarkets, Willis and Luxon threw away the country to special interest groups and NZ was gone. Luxon and Willis are the most repugnant and immoral politicians when it comes to designing economic policy have I have ever had the displeasure of writing about. And I helped ACT to rebuild when it was on 0.2% of the vote so am no bitter lefty who is naturally against the Nats. My brother was President of the Auckland Young Nats and my great uncle a National Party Cabinet Minister. But this present group of Nats is dirty and dishonest.
National are failing to fix the economy but worse they are ignoring the issues the people wanted addressed.
Crikey Robert. They're strong words.
Can you point me to references for dirty deals with the supermarkets? I am as always genuinely interested in finding out more.
Is appointing the same people as the Key era such a bad thing? They have excellent experience in the machinations of government.
Despite Keys somewhat lazy risk adverse approach, Key, English and Joyce did a pretty good job. Although like you I was disappointed they didn't use the cheap finance available to them to build more infrastructure.
What special interest groups besides the ones you mentioned have they done deals with? Developers and the building supply cartel certainly aren't happy with them.
The most repugnant and vile? Have you forgotten the H Cark advised Ardern bankrupted NZ to collect their Pfizer royalties..... allegedly.
Robert knows a lot more about this than I do but I think they are out of their depth rather than corrupt. We are expecting middle manager types to handle economic conditions the likes of Churchill and Roosevelt may have struggled with.
Hmmm, here’s a thought.
What would the country’s economy look like if it was run by experts?
Experts on energy, experts on health, experts on business. Sounds like a dream team a great way to save the nation, wrong!
You would have the Ardern Govt that ran Covid, a controlled economy and a disaster.
National, I’m afraid is still holding onto the remains of that govt and it’s thinking, in the Public Service, It needs to be cleared out.
National and Labour are becoming the uni party, no distinguishing features between them and that’s why their share of the vote is exactly the same.
A disrupter will come, probably ACT and immigration will be the horse they ride into town on.
If the Nats want to be in power in 18months they better grow a pair and get clear daylight between themselves and Labour.
Dear Robert, I hope you are working with either NZ First or Act or both. Yes national have certainly disappointed many voters. Our only hope is a larger percentage of the vote goes to NZ First and Act. Voters need to see those votes are not wasted
The dominant issue is Luxon's failure to even utter one word that he has any intention of stopping any of this Maori crap.
He must be reading the room, and has decided that he can go back on his pre election promises.
When is the National Party management going to deliver the message ?
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