At last some urgency ... The Government has responded to the analysis of housing affordability by largely adopting the multifaceted approach
proposed by the New Zealand Productivity Commission.
My interest is in what it says about
boosting the supply of houses, a necessary but not sufficient condition to
improve affordability and sustain the liveability of our two largest
cities. The government response acknowledges the urgent need to boost
dwelling numbers in Auckland and Christchurch, and to do so by providing for
sufficient brownfield and greenfield land accessible to the market in a regulatory
environment that no longer unduly impedes development.
This posting explores where some of
this land might come from.
...maybe
The response concedes that this is largely the responsibility of local
government. Having said that, the Government suggests that legislation
will be needed to support the regulatory tools councils need to accelerate
consent processes.
The risk is that the Auckland Council
(and others) will offer up an all too familiar response: “We agree, and we are
doing it already”. Because that would belie the past performance that got
us into this fix – and suggests complacency unjustified by current plans.
It’s time to get beyond the
glib. A failure to rise to the challenge – and it is some challenge – that faces Auckland risks continuing distortion of the housing market
and all that entails. This in turn undermines the
labour market, as employers are obliged to pay higher wages to offset high
housing and living costs to attract and retain skilled and experienced
employees. And wage inflation detracts from any advantages of scale
associated with operating in New Zealand’s biggest city.
We need jobs as well as houses
A failure to ensure the availability of suitable land for business in
the right places has also prejudiced development. This was a hole in the
1999 Auckland Regional Growth Strategy, subsequently squeezing the supply and
lifting the price of industrial land. It has continued to receive scant
attention, despite the gloss in the Auckland Plan. It was not addressed by the Productivity
Commission. But a failure by the Council to move with alacrity on
deficiencies in land for industry could undermine its response to the housing
shortfall, and continue to exacerbate costly cross-region commuting and attendant congestion.
An integrated response is needed to
ensure that sufficient business land is released in the right places to
facilitate investment and employment accessible to growing residential areas.
Where will the houses go?
Simply pushing housing up or out is not a sufficient response. There are
limits to demand for medium density housing in central locations, and cost
impediments as well as community resistance to their proliferation.
At the same time, the usual form of
greenfield development – the tack-on model of occasionally stretching
urban limits – is not good enough. It risks all the inefficiencies
and social shortcomings of undifferentiated sprawl by creating extensive,
contiguous, tracts of housing – often large houses on small
sections – with minimal local employment and poor transport connectivity.
There is a real risk that Auckland
Plan’s centrepiece for urban expansion – the Southern
Initiative – will simply go down the path of continuous
development of limited merit, limited amenity urbanisation, and little by way
of local employment.
Here, instead, are some thoughts
about the variety of options available to create a truly interesting Auckland.
Some options (and a test of your
knowledge of Auckland’s geography)
Thinking brown? Then think big
One of the problems of brownfield and infill development is finding
sufficient land for comprehensive development. Piecemeal development that
simply fills in the spaces, including green spaces (such as golf courses) is
not especially exciting. And squeezing multiple units onto scattered
sites demand a lot of care in design and cost in development.
Instead, we need substantial
brownfield sites where the amenity and variety associated with greenfield sites
can be incorporated. The existing public housing estate is a start,
but hardly enough. This is where the Council and the Government might most
usefully work together, assembling sufficient land and, once done, calling
tenders for substantive, integrated (re)development.
There are few obvious areas for doing
this, though. Henderson central may be one. The head of the Manukau Harbour may
provide an opportunity close to industrial and commercial
areas. Ageing industrial areas may work, although the costs of land
remediation will mean that some public funding is inevitable. With
imagination, though, and the clout of council and government backing there must
be more brownfield opportunities of substance.
Decentralised intensification
Greenfield sites on the fringe are okay if based on integrated suburbs
or urban villages which meet many if not most residents’ needs locally – for
community activities, recreation, shopping, and work. They may include a
mix of housing options, townhouses, low-rise apartments, detached and
semi-detached homes. Ideally they will be on sites that offer some
interest by way of contour and the natural environment. The secret is in
smart design. And not all such development need be contiguous. Let’s
bring some green space – and nature -- back into our city as it expands.
Satellite towns
Ideally, small and medium-sized towns will be promoted in a green
hinterland, linked by roads of regional significance which might one day carry
light rail but in the meantime provide sound bus and car connections.
Pokeno in
the south is leading the way (with the added benefit of a potential
rail connection), building on existing infrastructure and community in an
attractive physical environment, well removed from the urban limits but
utilising good urban design and providing for substantial local
employment.
The growth of nearby Pukekohe over
the past decade tells us something about the market's positive view of this
sort of setting. Warkworth and eventually Wellsford will follow the
Pukekohe path, providing real grounds for plans to push the motorway
corridor north.
The opportunity of progressive
expansion through rail-linked towns to the west is an exciting one, through
Kumeu, Waimauku to Helensville and Kaukapakapa. This is
an area of significant natural amenity and an opportunity
for effective commuting to new employment precincts around the north-western
motorway.
Village Life
Some consolidation and growth can be founded on existing villages.
Already Matakana and Whitford are showing the way, acting at the same time as
centres of rejuvenated rural economies.
There are similar opportunities
elsewhere – Waitoki, Wainui, and Coatesville stand out in the north, all
reasonably close to a north-western rail commuter service in one
direction, and the commercial infrastructure of Albany, in the other.
Tuakau, Waiuku, Bombay and Te Kauwhata offer similar opportunities in the
south.
We might also encourage the emergence
of totally new villages and hamlets, catering in compact, contained sites of
character for those who might otherwise opt for sprawling and wasteful countryside
living under the current planning regime.
Detached greenfields
Greenfield areas beyond the city edge could be the focus of substantial
new townships: Dairy Flat on the Hibiscus Coast, Riverhead near Albany, and
Drury in the south are opportunities where land and land use would be enhanced
by sensible urbanisation. Each is far enough removed from existing
development to protect extensive green belts but close enough to offer
efficient connection.
This is perhaps how the Auckland
Plan's Southern Initiative might work – developed as a new community at Karaka,
rather than as an extension of Manukau. It would be detached but
close to the southern urban edge in an area where the landscape calls for
sensitive and comprehensive planning rather than piecemeal enlargement of the
urban boundary.
Moving markets
There is the risk that good quality development will maintain a tendency
for new houses to be the preserve of established households already well up the
housing – and income – chain. Mixed communities with a variety of styles
and tenures might offset this. But the ideal outcome of a multi-faceted
supply shock like the one outlined will be a more active market in
existing dwellings. Moving on means someone else can move in.
And here’s the how
What this means is that we don't need to see the same old people doing
the same old things under a new guise. It goes without saying that this all has
to be done within environmental constraints. But the council’s new role
may be to ensure that things can happen, rather than that they can’t.
And to achieve some momentum, it may
need adopt a project managed approach to new initiatives ,
rather than attempting to spread planing, evaluation and design through
various divisions of the council. Among other things, this might mean
creating a new agency (or two) that can work with central government and the
private sector to rise above current thinking and work to remove impediments to
large scale development. Land assembly must be high on the list of
actions are removed so that a growing and increasingly efficient supply sector
gets the opportunity to respond in a comprehensive fashion to a diverse
market that has for too long had its material needs and diverse preferences
curtailed.Phil is a consultant in urban, economic and community development. He blogs at Cities Matter.
2 comments:
Don't forget Redvale through to Silverdale greenfields.
Also developer Rick Martin designed a totally sustainable village in Waimauku a few years ago. Looked totally viable althoug council and environmental council threw his project out!
When is some common sense going to prevail? Why does Auckland have to keep growing at its current rate? Industry and commerce should be relocating to other cities.With todays technology and communications it is not essential for all growth to be in Auckland.It is so ineficient,time wasting,costly and unecessary for such business growth to contiue in Auckland.A ring should be drawn around the city and expansion outside stopped.Growth should be upwards and not outwards.The costly expansion of the infrastructure cannot keep up now and never will at the current rate of growth.The quality of life for many Aucklanders must be non existant.Travelling to Howick in recent times and passing Botany Downs I immediately thought of the song "Little boxes on the hillside,little boxes made of ticky-tackey.And they all look just the same".
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