The interest rate worm has turned, according to the
latest ANZ Bank Property Focus Report. Their commentary signals a significant
shift in the way the Bank sees things heading.
With respect to mortgage strategy they say, "Although
the OCR has been cut by 25bps, this merely offset a rise in funding costs, and
as a result, no banks have cut their floating mortgage rates. Rises seen for
some longer-term fixed rates reflect both higher funding costs and the sharp
rise in wholesale interest rates that has occurred since August. We believe
mortgage rates have seen their lows, and although there is real pressure for
them to rise further, we caution that rises are likely to be gradual. Nonetheless,
given how flat the mortgage curve is, for the first time in a long time we
believe it is worthwhile considering fixing some portion of your mortgage for
longer than 1-2 years."