The Taxpayers’ Union reports –
Good news for the Coalition as they extend their lead over the Centre-Left bloc this month, with National taking back the top spot from Labour in this month’s Taxpayers’ Union-Curia Poll.
For the first time in a Taxpayers’ Union-Curia Poll, New Zealand First are the third most supported party, leapfrogging both the Greens and ACT.The poll, conducted between July 2 and 6, shows National gain 0.4 points to 33.9 percent, whilst Labour drop 3.2 points to 31.6 percent.
New Zealand First gain 3.7 percent to 9.8 percent, whilst ACT remain unchanged on 9.1 percent. The Greens gain 1.2 points to 9.4 percent, while Te Pāti Māori gain 0.2 points to 3.5 percent.
Headline results and more information about the methodology can be found on the Taxpayers’ Union’s website at www.taxpayers.org.nz/pollnztu_20250710
For the minor parties, TOP is on 1.2 percent (-0.6 points), New Conservatives on 0.5 percent (-0.2 points), and Outdoors and Freedom is on 0.1 percent (-1.0 points).
This month’s results are compared to the last Taxpayers’ Union-Curia Poll conducted in June 2025, available here at www.taxpayers.org.nz/2025ju_polldatanztu
The combined projected seats for the Centre-Right of 65 is up 3 seats from last month. The combined seats for the Centre-Left is down 3 seats to 57. On these numbers, the Centre-Right bloc could still form a Government.
National remains on 42 seats again this month, while Labour drops 5 seats to 39. New Zealand First gain 4 seats to 12, while the Greens gain 2 to 12. ACT drops 1 to 11, while Te Pāti Māori remain unchanged on 6 seats.
Cost of Living overtakes the Economy more generally as voters’ top issue, rising 3.5 points to 21.6 percent. Economy drops 1.1 points to 19.1 percent and Health is in third place on 13.3 percent (+1.4 points).
Commenting on the results, Taxpayers’ Union Spokesman James Ross said:
“Cost of living is voters’ single biggest concern, and housing costs – particularly council rates – are the biggest contributor to that pressure.
“With councils slapping ratepayers with, on average, another 8.71 percent rates hike, Shane Jones’ call to scrap regional councils is clearly cutting through. National Ministers backing rates capping appears to also be shoring up a boost in the centre-right bloc.”
The poll was conducted by Curia Market Research Ltd for the NZ Taxpayers’ Union. It is a random poll of 1,000 adult New Zealanders and is weighted to the overall adult population.
Conducted by phone (landlines and mobile) and online, it has a maximum margin of error of +/- 3.1%.
Point of Order is a blog focused on politics and the economy run by veteran newspaper reporters Bob Edlin and Ian Templeton. This article was sourced HERE
New Zealand First gain 3.7 percent to 9.8 percent, whilst ACT remain unchanged on 9.1 percent. The Greens gain 1.2 points to 9.4 percent, while Te Pāti Māori gain 0.2 points to 3.5 percent.
Headline results and more information about the methodology can be found on the Taxpayers’ Union’s website at www.taxpayers.org.nz/pollnztu_20250710
For the minor parties, TOP is on 1.2 percent (-0.6 points), New Conservatives on 0.5 percent (-0.2 points), and Outdoors and Freedom is on 0.1 percent (-1.0 points).
This month’s results are compared to the last Taxpayers’ Union-Curia Poll conducted in June 2025, available here at www.taxpayers.org.nz/2025ju_polldatanztu
The combined projected seats for the Centre-Right of 65 is up 3 seats from last month. The combined seats for the Centre-Left is down 3 seats to 57. On these numbers, the Centre-Right bloc could still form a Government.
National remains on 42 seats again this month, while Labour drops 5 seats to 39. New Zealand First gain 4 seats to 12, while the Greens gain 2 to 12. ACT drops 1 to 11, while Te Pāti Māori remain unchanged on 6 seats.
Cost of Living overtakes the Economy more generally as voters’ top issue, rising 3.5 points to 21.6 percent. Economy drops 1.1 points to 19.1 percent and Health is in third place on 13.3 percent (+1.4 points).
Commenting on the results, Taxpayers’ Union Spokesman James Ross said:
“Cost of living is voters’ single biggest concern, and housing costs – particularly council rates – are the biggest contributor to that pressure.
“With councils slapping ratepayers with, on average, another 8.71 percent rates hike, Shane Jones’ call to scrap regional councils is clearly cutting through. National Ministers backing rates capping appears to also be shoring up a boost in the centre-right bloc.”
The poll was conducted by Curia Market Research Ltd for the NZ Taxpayers’ Union. It is a random poll of 1,000 adult New Zealanders and is weighted to the overall adult population.
Conducted by phone (landlines and mobile) and online, it has a maximum margin of error of +/- 3.1%.
Point of Order is a blog focused on politics and the economy run by veteran newspaper reporters Bob Edlin and Ian Templeton. This article was sourced HERE
6 comments:
Random poll of 1000 part way through an election cycle vs Election 2-3 million real poll . A week of bureaucracy counting seats. Really?
Meanwhile the coup continues at local govt level nationwide where the cogovernance side has established firm control. And no central govt can overturn it without potential violence
When Māori complete the take over, there won't be an economy.
Hoe stupid are people.
If Regional Councils are scrapped the same functions have to be carried out by a council .This will mean more staff higher wages and more rates.
Dumb.
As predicted, the best qualified Prime Minister NZ ever had is managing the coalition to bring results and popularity to a peak at the next election; whilst developing solutions to the many long term issues afflicting NZ.
We need Luxon to bring in more quality managers like Stanford, Bishop, and Brown at the next election to turbo charge his enormous change program.
An effective finance minister who refuses to let banks off the hook for stealing their customers money, will be a great place to start.
When it comes to questions regarding the "Major Voting Issues", just using a category of "Treaty" probably does not mean a great deal. If the survey specifically asked about Co-Governance and/or Maorification, I suspect it would rise greatly in ranking/prominence - a fact or which would of course piss off our PM since he wants that one downplayed/ignored.
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