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Showing posts with label Polling predictions. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Polling predictions. Show all posts

Saturday, January 24, 2026

David Farrar: My polling predictions at Newsroom


Newsroom asked some pollsters for their predictions for 2026. Mine are below:

Every poll (or almost every poll) will show that both National and Labour will need two partner parties to govern, not just one – that is: only National/Act/New Zealand First and Labour/Greens/Te Pāti Māori will have enough seats to make 61.