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Thursday, August 6, 2026

Eliora: They Are All Terrible, but Pick One.


Kiwis are being asked to vote in the November 26 election and some don’t trust any party.

Never has there been such cynicism about politics and the country’s direction. It cuts across many age groups,but the 65+ group includes those who say they are so fed up they don’t even want to vote in the next election. They recall how badly the government treated them at crucial times. They say they are sick and tired of the arrogance and shenanigans surrounding our politicians. The electioneering palaver, ‘Trust us, yes, we’ve messed up, we’ve misled you with our promises but (implied) we’re slightly less corrupt than the other parties,’ isn’t cutting the mustard any longer. One big negative looms large. Voters are ‘still burdened by the failures of the Ardern years’ and indicate it was so bad for them it has affected whether they will vote or not. More on that later.

This is a mainly centre-right observation. Were it from the left, you could be excused from being fed up with their leaders and their policies after their abysmal track record. The polls are showing a steady pattern of undecided and/or not going to vote at all. They are maintaining the parties are all terrible and/or have policies they do not agree with. Astonishingly though, the disillusioned Kiwis are responsible right-wing voters who have always counted voting as both their privilege and responsibility. They are of a more conservative persuasion and never previously considered NOT voting.

The Good Oil has been running its own 2026 polling. The high ‘undecided’ or ‘no vote’ percentage has not shifted in recent months. This is telling!

April 14%

May 14%

June 14%

July 15%

August 14%


The Verian Poll (June) also stands out as high (14%) for undecided, comparable to the Good Oil poll.

Other polls show undecided or non-voter figures are coming down.

· RNZ–Reid Research (July 2026): Undecided or non-voters made up 3.8 per cent of respondents – a significant drop from 7.1 per cent in March.
  • Roy Morgan (June 2026): Only 3.5 per cent of electors surveyed did not name a party (down slightly from the prior month).
  • Taxpayers Union-Curia: 6.6 per cent.

Peter Williams is an example of a right-wing ‘undecided’. The veteran broadcaster and writer for half a century, writes on his Substack that he is looking for a party that will run a ‘sensible’ government and he hasn’t found one he can commit to yet.

https://goodoil.news/my-vote-needs-a-home/

“My Vote Needs a Home: fifteen weeks out it’s a struggle to find one.”

The horrific covid era was a defining event in New Zealand’s history.
The country was torn apart. Understandably, the requirement that forced Kiwis to have a useless and now known to be dangerous jab was appalling. This trauma triggered trusting Kiwis forever. They cannot ignore the fact that the scepticism and acute suspicion was a direct result caused by the dictatorship and lies of a socialist prime minister and her top team. This trauma was doubled when inexplicably all the opposition MPs at the time backed the government’s extensive lockdowns, vaccine mandates and other nonscientific draconian rules.

Don Brash reiterates that the divisive Ardern years have made an enormous downward hit, particularly on the National Party.

As Don Brash said recently:

National is currently polling at around 29 percent. That is an extraordinary position for a first-term government facing an opposition still burdened by the failures of the Ardern years. Emphasis added.

I say that with some reluctance. I know from personal experience how difficult it is to lead the National Party, and I have no desire to pretend that the task is easy. Nor do I claim that the result achieved under my leadership in 2005 was sufficient. We did not win that election. But National secured roughly 39 per cent of the vote, some 10 percentage points more than the party is polling today.

The question Christopher Luxon must confront is why.

The answer, I believe, is straightforward: too many New Zealanders no longer know what Christopher Luxon’s National Party stands for.

In 2023, voters gave the centre-right a clear mandate to reverse the direction of the Ardern Government. That mandate was not merely about inflation, government spending or administrative competence. It was also a rejection of the relentless attempts by Labour to divide New Zealanders by ancestry.

New Zealanders had watched as co-governance was inserted into public institutions, democratic accountability was weakened, and the principle of equal citizenship was increasingly replaced by racial preference. They voted for a change of direction.

Yet, nearly three years later, National remains strangely reluctant to articulate a coherent position on some of the most important constitutional questions facing the country.

On many issues, I consider this government a considerable improvement on its predecessor. But when it comes to racial division and co-governance, its problem is not simply that some of its decisions are wrong.


The coalition parties have their work cut out. To begin to woo back dissatisfied conservative voters, they must face the high poll of 17–18 per cent (RNZ Reid), of Kiwis who are not happy with the direction of the country and the undecided. This ought to be a focus.

Maybe Winston’s commonsense policies will do the deal? Passing NZF’s bill to recognise English as an official language of New Zealand has marked a major victory for democracy and common sense. The parties have three months to give voters strong sensible policies that are a convincing turn to the right.

National, New Zealand First or ACT.

Pick one, or worryingly, let the left back in.


Eliora is a fourth-generation Kiwi is a conservative voter and has worked in health. This article was first published HERE

11 comments:

Rob Beechey said...

The once reliable strategy of more empty promises if re-elected isn’t working this time. The jubilation of a centre right victory on the election night has well and truely been dashed by the pathetic performance of team Luxon and may well lead to reopening the door to the last destructive Govt. That will mean the death nell for New Zealand. 

Anonymous said...

The election is 7 November, not the 26th.

Anonymous said...

It went pear shaped when Luxon said he didn't like anything about the TPB, that he wouldn't support it, or let National MPs
Did he have an alternate plan ?
No !
Essentially, he indicated that he was going to let NZ slide even further with the apartheid policies of Labour / Greens.
He reneged on the promises and mandate that he was elected on.
Trust him again ???
Any pretence that he now is going to address the mess he has allowed to flourish under his leadership, so can not be trusted - he has established himself as a money man, not a man of principles.
My vote again, no way !

sam said...

I'm with Peter Williams-I don't have enough trust in any party that I have voted for (on policy, not personality) in the past.
This could well be my first no vote, so a first time indocrinated white guilt lbgtxyz's vote will make a difference.

The Jones Boy said...

Any commentator that makes or approves of the statement that the COVID vaccine was "... useless and now known to be dangerous.." is incapable of making a rational judgement on the matter. And that throws doubt on their ability to get anything right. And to assert that public skepticism and mistrust was the fault of the Government is a bit rich given the misinformation deliberately peddled by the antivaxxers and civil libertarians who wouldn't recognise a national health emergency if it hit them in the face. Never forget that the ignorance and lack of leadership by Donald Trump let a million Americans die from COVID on his watch. Remind me again how many we lost. Brazil's approach led to a collapse of their public health system and people died in hospital cark parks unable to get treatment. Remind me how many New Zealand hospitals failed to cope. Our meaures worked and worked well. Why are people like Eliora so afraid to admit it?

Anonymous said...

In reading this article, I recall the recent elections for Mayor of New York City.
There were 3 candidates -
- 2 of "yester year", one being a former State Governor (left office in disgrace), the other a perennial gent, who faces up at election time, has no history of being in City Govt
- 1 a newbie, Man of the Muslim Faith, a radical left leaning gent, who amassed a large following in the people, who it was pointed out (at the time) had No "brains".
The People stayed away from the "meetings" of the first two, avoided the "newbie" and come elections - the majority "stayed at home". On that basis it become obvious who the "winner" would be/was and from then on there has been a decline in the operations & functions of the City of New York.
So, if we have in NZ -
- Political parties having former MP's 'come in from the cold', which will have had many Kiwi's shuddering
- New "pollies" making statements, heaven forbid
- a large number of undecided's
- over 65 year old's who have lost "faith"
- a former noted person from the world of Broadcasting, who is also "pondering" ditto many others, even if they have not read his substack
> thus would it benefit NZ to have another Pollie Party come out "of the closet", the "would be could be's" having just enough "omph"?? to 'move a mountain" for the People.
Me thinks we run on a similar pattern.
Interestingly, Aussie has the same dilemma at this point in time.
Oh and to the Jones Boy, interesting that currently in America, they are "digging into the laundry basket" over just how America responded to Covid and DJT would have acted on the advice of ONE person, now having "his finger nails" examined intently.
Ardern, listened to similar "advice" (mostly from academia) who should be taken to task.
Nah, we can not even get our enquiries conducted in a reliable manner.

Anonymous said...

The Jones Boy

You need to be paying a fair bit more attention

Fauci has just pleaded the 5th 111 times to every question from congress - hardly the actions of a covid hero

The “anti vaxers” have been proven to be continuously right

The Covid jab should be getting its protected vaccine status removed next.

But please, by all means continue to get boosted 🤦‍♂️🤦‍♂️🤦‍♂️

Chuck Bird said...

I certainly will not party vote National, but will vote for my National electorate MP. My party vote will go to Act. There are a few things I do not like about Act, but that does not stop me voting for them. Anyone who thinks there is no difference between the right and the left in NZ is stupid. Vote for any party on the right, even National if you must.

The Jones Boy said...

By pleading the 5th, Fauci is doing nothing more than legally refusing to participate in a political kangaroo court. Can you blame Fauci for shutting up after seeing how James Comey was treated - indicted for lying to Congress by failing to answer a question he wasn't actually asked. That case will eventually join the long list of other Trumped up cases that failed in Court. Of course, Trump really doesn't actually care if he wins or loses, given that he has publicly admitted he's only interested in making life hell for those who cross him and Fauci is clearly not about to play that game. By the way, Trump himself pleaded the 5th amendment around 440 times during a civil probe of the Trump Organisation by Leticia James back in 2022. So that makes him four times more culpable than Fauci by your standards. Of course, Trump then came after James as well, and lost. He really should focus on repairing his reflecting pool, which right now is a good metaphor for his whole Presidency.

Your unsubstantiated comment about anti-vaxxers is not worth responding to.

Anonymous said...

I'll be having trouble even giving an electorate vote to National, even though the local candidate seems good, and have told him so directly. Wouldn't take many people to protest vote in this way to completely put the skids under National. That they have fallen over backwards to pander to folk who would never, ever vote National while ignoring their natural base just seems rude. That said the Key government have a lot to answer for too, and I felt like a drowning man clutching at straws last election - choosing anything just to get rid of Labour, even though our local MP was the pathetic Watts.

sam said...

maybe luxon's iwi forum buddies can offer some undisclosed advice.......?

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