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Wednesday, February 28, 2024

Professor Robert MacCulloch: The Chair of the NZ Covid-19 Royal Commission of Inquiry


Holy Crackers: the Chair of the NZ Covid-19 Royal Commission of Inquiry is "Professor of Elimination" Michael Baker's coauthor - let's boycott it.

The more we find out about the Jacinda Ardern-Grant Robertson-Chris Hipkins government, the more shocking it becomes. Aside from them bankrupting NZ, now investigative journalist Kate McNamara alerts us to the fact that the Labour-appointed Chair of the Covid-19 Royal Commission of Inquiry is a guy called Tony Blakely who wrote the article with Michael Baker and Nick Wilson of the University of Otago, called "Elimination could be the optimal response strategy for Covid-19 and other emerging pandemic diseases", published in the British Medical Journal in 2020.

Maybe the incoming Vice Chancellor of Otago University, a guy called Grant Robertson, has a view on the matter? Is he the same Grant Robertson who banned folks who were engaged in any research on monetary matters, like me, ever serving on the Reserve Bank's monetary policy committee, since he took the view we were biased. Seems what holds for monetary policy doesn't hold for Covid policy.

Anyhow, you know the above paper? The one that says "Elimination .. probably reduced overall economic contraction relative to the suppression strategy". Really? The NZ economy has one of the lowest growth rates in the world at present - and is mired in recession, debt, a failing infrastructure, collapsing health & education systems and with more children in material hardship. Meanwhile the US is booming. But fear not - a friend in Europe tells me that in a couple of weeks, Ardern is set to dump a truck-load of carbon into the atmosphere and fly from Boston to Italy where she will be presented with the University of Bologna's highest honor, the Sigillum Magnum.

But how about this cracker line by Baker, Wilson & Blakely: "A goal of eliminating community transmission of covid-19 is achievable & sustainable .. and will be facilitated by the introduction of effective vaccines". It was not sustainable - not in NZ, not anywhere. The elimination "strategy" was not "facilitated" by vaccines. That is unambiguously wrong. People who take the vaccine are still able to pass the virus on. Why don't they retract the paper for making such a patently wrong statements? How can a coauthor of Baker's chair the Commission? I recently got an email from it - from a person calling themselves a "Senior Communications and Engagement Adviser" - and told them I had no interest attending their "workshop". Why didn't the people chairing the Commission send me the mail themselves instead of a Comms person? What a waste of taxpayers money. Are the only folks working in Wellington since Ardern was PM "Comms" staff? Let's boycott it. By the way let's see, how "sustainable" elimination has proved in NZ:


Click to view

Gosh, looks like practically the whole of NZ has caught the virus by now - a far higher rate than nearly anywhere in the world. If long-Covid is actually a real problem, then our long-term health outcomes may turn out to be amongst the worst.

Sources:
https://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/can-the-government-unseat-the-chair-of-the-covid-19-inquiry-and-at-what-cost/FRF5VFJYENABRDMB6CBLX26LKU/
https://www.bmj.com/content/371/bmj.m4907


Professor Robert MacCulloch holds the Matthew S. Abel Chair of Macroeconomics at Auckland University. He has previously worked at the Reserve Bank, Oxford University, and the London School of Economics. He runs the blog Down to Earth Kiwi from where this article was sourced.

4 comments:

Rob Beechey said...

What an appalling discovery by Kate. Not only was the last Marxist govt highly incompetent, but straight out evil to boot by appointing a fox to guard the henhouse. In the meantime, the arch villain herself will place her nuclear moment on hold as she jets over to Italy to bath in Bologna’s delusional limelight.

CXH said...

Boycotting the inquiry will make no difference. Tony has already completed the report and it is at the printers.

The rest is window dressing, expensive lunches and first class travel.

DeeM said...

The Coalition government have a hell of a lot of changes to make to Labour's Covid Commission of Enquiry if people are going to take the outcomes seriously.

Tinkering around the edges and failure to appoint truly independent panel members will result in another complete waste of time and money, and a set of recommendations that ignore all the key issues.
Namely, how effective was the vaccine REALLY, and why have excess deaths risen significantly in time with vaccine rollout and why have they remained high? In other words, is the vaccine actually safe?

I think many of us have already seen a body of evidence to answer all those questions.

Basil Walker said...

The last Labour government were a bigger disaster than either Wahine , Erebus or CHCH earthquake . Maybe even all three combined .
NZ deserves a full public inquiry without limitations and any Government intervention.