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Friday, October 10, 2025

Point of Order: NEW POLL - National and Labour Take Big Hits; NZ First and Greens Gain



The Taxpayers’ Union reports –

Bad news for National and Labour as they both take a beating in this month’s Taxpayers’ Union-Curia Poll.

The poll, conducted between 01 October and 05 October, shows Labour retain its position as the largest party, dropping 2.6 points to 31.2 percent. 

National dropped 3.5 points to 29.6 percent. 

The Greens gain 1.3 points to 12.0 percent,

New Zealand First gains 2.5 points to 10.6 percent. 

ACT drops 0.1 points to 6.6 percent, 

Te Pāti Māori gains 0.1 points to 4.4 percent.

Headline results and more information about the methodology can be found on the Taxpayers’ Union’s website at www.taxpayers.org.nz/2025polloct_taxpcur

For the minor parties, 

Freedoms NZ is on 2.3 percent (+1.5 points), 

TOP is on 1.6 percent (+0.5 points), 

NZ Loyal is on 1.0 percent (+1.0 points),  

Vision NZ is on 0.6 percent (+0.6%).

This month’s results are compared to the last Taxpayers’ Union-Curia Poll conducted in September 2025, available at www.taxpayers.org.nz/sept2025_nztucurpoll

The combined projected seats for the Centre-Left remains on 61 seats. The combined seats for the Centre-Right drops 1 to 59. 

On these numbers, the Centre-Left bloc could form a Government.

Labour drops two seats to 40, while National drops 4 seats to 38. The Greens gain 2 seats to 15, while New Zealand First gains 3 seats to 13. ACT remains on 8, while Te Pāti Māori remain unchanged on 6.

Cost of Living remains voters’ top issue on 26.4 percent (-1.1 points), followed by the Economy more generally at 17.4 percent (+1.3 points). Health is the next largest at 10.3 percent (-0.8 points), followed by Employment on 5.1 percent and Poverty on 4.1 percent.

Chris Hipkins has taken the lead as voters’ Preferred Prime Minister, rising 3.2 points to 20.9 percent. Christopher Luxon fell 1.9 points to 19.8 percent.

Commenting on the results, Taxpayers’ Union Spokesman James Ross said:

“Treasury’s fiscal forecasts have shone National and Labour in terrible lights this month, and a combined 6.1 percent drop for the major parties is quite the vote of no confidence.

“Cost of living and the economy are still voters’ major concerns. With the finest of margins between the left and right blocs, tackling these will be key as we head into election year.”


The full poll results can be found on the Taxpayers’ Union’s website at www.taxpayers.org.nz/2025polloct_taxpcur

The poll, conducted by Curia Market Research Ltd for the NZ Taxpayers’ Union, is a random poll of 1,000 adult New Zealanders and is weighted to the overall adult population. It was conducted by phone (landlines and mobile) and online between Wednesday 01 October and Sunday 05 October. It has a maximum margin of error of +/- 3.1%.

Point of Order is a blog focused on politics and the economy run by veteran newspaper reporters Bob Edlin and Ian Templeton. This article was sourced HERE

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