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Saturday, November 14, 2026

David Farrar: TPM’s overhang campaign gave the Greens two extra List MPs


The Greens quadrupled their party vote in the seven Māori seats, as Maori voters did what TPM asked them to do, and did not give TPM their party votes.

This gave the Greens an additional 2.1% of the total vote. Without it they would have got 11.2% in the election instead of 13.3%. This means that without the TPM overhang campaign, the Greens would have had 14 MPs instead of 16 MPs.

So when Chloe goes on about how outrageous it is that the Mowbrays pushed an overhang campaign on the right (which didn’t actually change the party vote), then the question to Chloe should be whether she will give up the two extra MPs the Greens got due to the TPM overhang campaign?

David Farrar runs Curia Market Research, a specialist opinion polling and research agency, and the popular Kiwiblog where this article was sourced. He previously worked in the Parliament for eight years, serving two National Party Prime Ministers and three Opposition Leaders

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