Dieuwe de Boer: Analysis of Trump support in New Zealand over eight years

Much was made of an August 2024 poll by the NZ Herald that showed “most New Zealanders support Kamala Harris.” Her support was 55% with Donald Trump's at a mere 21%. That was the least interesting observation of all time, but no legacy media journalist did the analysis that should have been done on the breakdown of the poll and the trend.

The NZ Herald ran a poll in 2016 and The Conversation did a survey in 2020. These paint an interesting picture: