Will inject fresh interest into looming general election
The first big break in polling trends has thrust itself on to the New Zealand political stage in the latest Talbot Mills sampling. For the first time National has moved ahead of Labour by five points or more, while Labour’s support has dipped five points to 31%.
The commentary released with the poll said that
“… after a long period of very close results, we may now be seeing the long expected breakout of the centre-right. The next few polls will tell.
“The centre-left had seemed to have been defying the political gravity of a generally negative mood; the acute political pressures stemming from cost of living rises and cascading ministerial scandals”.
National rose one point to 36% while its potential coalition partner, ACT, gained a point to rise to 12%. Together, at 48%, they are 9 points ahead of Labour and the Greens on 39%. Even with Te Pati Maori on 4%, the left of centre parties would be trailing.
Commentary released with the poll said it is the first time National has been ahead of Labour by five points or more. It is also the first time the centre-right has been ahead of the centre-left by five points or more since the 2017 election.
NZ First was on 4%, and TOP was on 2.9%. cent.
Thomas Coughlan in the NZ Herald says the bad news did not stop there for Labour, with leader Chris Hipkins tumbling six points to 32% in the Preferred Prime Minister poll.
“A fall that large is bad news for Labour, but National leader Christopher Luxon was unable to capitalise on Hipkins’ malaise,” Coughlan wrote.
“His preferred prime minister polling was still 11 points behind Hipkins on 21%, down one point on the last poll.”
Talbot Mills contacted 1036 people between June 28 and July 2. The poll has a margin of error of 3%.
The poll is produced for Talbot Mills’ corporate clients. The company also conducts Labour’s internal poll.
Coughlan says the poll took place after a torrid month for Labour in which it lost one minister, Michael Wood, and weathered allegations about another, Kiri Allan, who is reported to have yelled at people in her office.
Point of Order thinks the Prime Minister – when he hears of this result – may be tempted to extend his current mission in Europe for a few more weeks, particularly as his strutting the international stage enables him to dominate the headlines in the more left-leaning elements of the news media.
Point of Order is a blog focused on politics and the economy run by veteran newspaper reporters Bob Edlin and Ian Templeton
“The centre-left had seemed to have been defying the political gravity of a generally negative mood; the acute political pressures stemming from cost of living rises and cascading ministerial scandals”.
National rose one point to 36% while its potential coalition partner, ACT, gained a point to rise to 12%. Together, at 48%, they are 9 points ahead of Labour and the Greens on 39%. Even with Te Pati Maori on 4%, the left of centre parties would be trailing.
Commentary released with the poll said it is the first time National has been ahead of Labour by five points or more. It is also the first time the centre-right has been ahead of the centre-left by five points or more since the 2017 election.
NZ First was on 4%, and TOP was on 2.9%. cent.
Thomas Coughlan in the NZ Herald says the bad news did not stop there for Labour, with leader Chris Hipkins tumbling six points to 32% in the Preferred Prime Minister poll.
“A fall that large is bad news for Labour, but National leader Christopher Luxon was unable to capitalise on Hipkins’ malaise,” Coughlan wrote.
“His preferred prime minister polling was still 11 points behind Hipkins on 21%, down one point on the last poll.”
Talbot Mills contacted 1036 people between June 28 and July 2. The poll has a margin of error of 3%.
The poll is produced for Talbot Mills’ corporate clients. The company also conducts Labour’s internal poll.
Coughlan says the poll took place after a torrid month for Labour in which it lost one minister, Michael Wood, and weathered allegations about another, Kiri Allan, who is reported to have yelled at people in her office.
Point of Order thinks the Prime Minister – when he hears of this result – may be tempted to extend his current mission in Europe for a few more weeks, particularly as his strutting the international stage enables him to dominate the headlines in the more left-leaning elements of the news media.
Point of Order is a blog focused on politics and the economy run by veteran newspaper reporters Bob Edlin and Ian Templeton
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