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Thursday, June 6, 2024

idbkiwik: Welcome to Elections 101

Good morning everybody, and welcome to Elections 101.

In today’s exercise, we’ll look at a very close electoral race, very close indeed. So close that after the counting of 25,123 valid returns the winning candidate’s majority was a razor-thin 42 votes. This occurred during the 2023 General Election in the Maori electorate seat of Tamaki-Makaurau where nice Ms Kemp of Te Pati Maori prevailed over (almost) equally nice Mr Henare of the Labour Party.


Click to view

In the spreadsheet sample above we can see how very close the race was. It comes from the Electoral Commision’s statistics database of ‘Advance Voting’ results by voting-place. Gosh it was tight, wasn’t it? But hang on. Do you see the anomaly too? That’s remarkable, don’t you think? It’s close all over except for one location where Ms Kemp ‘smashed-em bro’. Isn’t that interesting? I wonder what was in the water at that particular location to produce such lopsidedness? That one result, from one location, appears to have swung the entire election in Tamaki-Makaurau. That and the count of ‘Special Votes’. Hmmm. I wonder how many of those ‘Special Votes’ emanated from 81 Finlayson Ave?

Something very special there; that’s for sure.

idbkiwi is self-employed in a non-governmental role which suits his masochistic tendencies. He hopes to reach retirement, both alive and eventually. This article was first published HERE

3 comments:

Anonymous said...

It's official, we are a banana republic.

Anonymous said...

I cannot be bothered to work out the standard deviation but no need, it is blindingly obvious. Well spotted, needs to become part of the body of evidence. Just more blatant corruption that will likely go unpunished because ... well we know why.

Anonymous said...

Luxon the political invertebrate. He does not seem to understand that as PM he must take a stand.

As CEO maybe he could stay Mr Nice Guy while delegating the hard stuff but as PM his role is different. As PM he must be seen to be out there talking the talk as well as managing it.

Open question as to whether he will actually do either.