Centre-left with narrowest of lead in new Taxpayers' Union-Curia Poll 📈
Today's Taxpayers’ Union-Curia Poll sees:
Labour up 0.3 points to 34.4 percent
National down 2.9 points to 28.4 percent
Unfortunately for National, it's their lowest party vote result since November 2021. Ouch.
The Greens are up 0.2 points to 10.5 percent
NZ First are down 0.8 points to 9.7 percent
ACT up 0.8 points to 7.5 percent
Te Pāti Māori up 0.3 points to 3.2 percent
Click to view
Converting these results to seats in Parliament, compared to last month Labour gains 1 seat to 44, while National lose 3 to 36.
NZ First and the Greens would both remain on 13 seats each, ACT gains 2 seats to 10, and Te Pāti Māori remains on 4 seats.
This means that the centre-Left bloc could form the next government if an election was held today – but with the finest possible margin of 61 to the centre-Right bloc's 59.
Click to view
The full poll results and more can be read HERE
National down 2.9 points to 28.4 percent
Unfortunately for National, it's their lowest party vote result since November 2021. Ouch.
The Greens are up 0.2 points to 10.5 percent
NZ First are down 0.8 points to 9.7 percent
ACT up 0.8 points to 7.5 percent
Te Pāti Māori up 0.3 points to 3.2 percent
Click to view
Converting these results to seats in Parliament, compared to last month Labour gains 1 seat to 44, while National lose 3 to 36.
NZ First and the Greens would both remain on 13 seats each, ACT gains 2 seats to 10, and Te Pāti Māori remains on 4 seats.
This means that the centre-Left bloc could form the next government if an election was held today – but with the finest possible margin of 61 to the centre-Right bloc's 59.
Click to view
The full poll results and more can be read HERE
12 comments:
Could National at least move to the centre? Like, the left is becoming exceedingly over crowded with woke socialist co-governance DEI brands.
And be led by somebody, anybody, who can clearly, and with conviction, articulate exactly what they stand for and what they won't stand for. The exact opposite of Christopher Luxon.
The timer on Luxon started the moment he got scared of ACT's Treaty Principles Bill. It's been downhill ever since.
The interesting aspect is, that leaders who do stand up to the mainstream media and do hold strong opinions seem to be supported by their parties and by the people polled. Whether you agree with their views or not. I have always believed Chris Luxon is pro-Maorification and finds it hard to say otherwise. Who would they get to replace him though? I would rather National was relegated to third party coalition status.
Centre-left?
Labour=communist, green=rabid communist, TMP=haven't a clue but left.
Which outfit is centre?
Totally agree with the chap above. Luxon needs to get himself rightwards and be quick about it. There are ACT voters ripe for the picking after the missteps I see out of that camp, and Luxon would know from his time in business that you have to move fast to meet the market.
Luxon is, and is accurately seen by everyday kiwis to be, a not-too-intelligent, corporate, middle manager, believes-in-nothing bobblehead. It was only a matter of time for the realisation to spread amongst the wider voting population.
They trained him up as well as they could, but it just isn’t in him.
Therefore I can’t see it getting better from here, and apart from Chris Bishop I don’t see anyone in the wings with anything approaching the necessary levels of talent & likeability.
Winston is only getting older, and isn’t as sharp as he was in his heyday and I fear his decline is accelerating too. Seymour is seen on a snivelly par with the likes of Simeon Brown.
Oh for the heyday of Bolger or Key. What has happened to NZ politics?
For Luxon to redeem himself:
Step 1 - Kick the Maori activist Potaka out of the Nat party
Step 2 - actively start winding back the Maori preference, privileges, Seats, Foreshore & Seabed, language, indoctrination etc
Unless a new leader does this he/she will be no better than Luxon.
National might just reverse the death spiral if it:
1.re-adheres to Nat, values
2.appoints a competent Finance Minister
3.fast-tracks De-Maorification.
Otherwise, it is toast. The evil Left Coalition is too dangerous to even contemplate.
I’m not sure anon 705 has a handle on polling
There is a lot of focus on the National Party leader/PM. You get what you see and see what you get. No surprises there and well foreseeable. The PM/National leader himself is unimportant! The actual problem is deeply engrained in the National Party itself. Take ownership.
Many are blaming luxon for being too woke and putting people off, but if that were the case then wouldn't Winston or Seymour be getting their votes, due to them being the less woke option? Instead labour and hamas are ahead. If you walk around auckland city and see all the hoons in cars, dysfunction and the breakdown of society in general, then you can kind of understand it. There aren't a lot of normal people who would be voting in a more common sense way. Voters are a reflection of society. You can see that some people would love the police to go away so that they can street fight again and walk out of the supermarket with a big trolley of unpaid groceries again.
Anon at 9.59 is correct. National would see its Teal and semi- woke elements peel away to Labour or not vote if it went harder on race and related issues. In the UK the ''soft'' Tories in comfortably off places like St Alban's switched to the illiberal Lib Dems not to Reform. The posher parts are a different world over there from the areas with high immigration and social issues where there has been a surge for Reform. National is not a ''conservative'' party ( at least not nowadays). It is a rather broad party from Lib Dem ''types'' to pro-business NZI type globalists, socially liberal or permissive. It competes with Labour for its centrist voters. Act and NZF already have their maximum level of support (much like the Greens) and hover in that 8-11 pc range with odd spikes and dips outside that range.
Anon 959 Hamas are not a political party in New Zealand.
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