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Thursday, March 5, 2026

Roy Morgan: Support for National drops to lowest in six months, just ahead of Labour


Roy Morgan’s New Zealand Poll for February 2026 shows the National-led Government (National, ACT & NZ First) on 48.5%, down 3.5% points from a month earlier, now just 1.5% points in front of the Labour-Greens-Maori Party Parliamentary Opposition on 47%, up 3% points, the latest Roy Morgan New Zealand Poll finds.

Amongst the National-led Government support for National dropped 3.5% to 31%, support for NZ First was up 0.5% to 9%, while support for ACT was down 0.5% to 8%.

For the Parliamentary Opposition, support for Labour dropped 0.5% points to 30%, support for the Greens increased 4% points to 14.5%, and support for the Maori Party was down 0.5% to 2.5%.

A further 4.5% (up 0.5% points) of electors supported a minor party outside Parliament. This includes 4% (up 1.5% points) who support The Opportunities Party (T.O.P.) and a further 0.5% (down 1% point) who support other minor parties including the NewZeal, NZ Outdoors & Freedom Party (NZOFP), Vision NZ, Conservative Party NZ, Women’s Right’s Party and the Aotearoa Legalise Cannabis Party.

National-led Government would win 61 seats if a New Zealand Election were held now

The survey results for February would lead to the National-led Government winning 61 seats (down seven seats from the election) and the Labour-led Parliamentary Opposition would win 59 seats (up four seats).

For the governing coalition National’s support would win 39 seats (down 10 seats from the election), support for ACT would equal 10 seats (down one seat) and NZ First would win 12 seats (up four seats).

For the three Opposition parties Labour’s support would secure 38 seats (up four seats), Greens support would mean 18 seats (up three seats) and the Maori Party would win three seats (down three seats)......full poll results published HERE

Roy Morgan is Australia’s best known and longest established market research company, with an unparalleled reputation for reliable, accurate, meaningful, revealing market research. Proudly independent, the Company now operates globally.

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