Even before National loses more popularity due to Luxon being unlikable, inept and generally unable to articulate what he stands for, five National MPs are going to lose their seats.
If you are one of these MPs, you are probably thinking parliament can’t survive without you and that Luxon better up his game or you are gone.
Or you may think the immortal words of Jeremy Thorpe apply to Luxon:
“Greater love hath no man than this, that he lay down his friends for his life.”
Cam Slater is a New Zealand-based blogger, best known for his role in Dirty Politics and publishing the Whale Oil Beef Hooked blog, which operated from 2005 until it closed in 2019. Cam blogs regularly on the GoodOil - where this article was sourced.
If you are one of these MPs, you are probably thinking parliament can’t survive without you and that Luxon better up his game or you are gone.
Or you may think the immortal words of Jeremy Thorpe apply to Luxon:
“Greater love hath no man than this, that he lay down his friends for his life.”
Cam Slater is a New Zealand-based blogger, best known for his role in Dirty Politics and publishing the Whale Oil Beef Hooked blog, which operated from 2005 until it closed in 2019. Cam blogs regularly on the GoodOil - where this article was sourced.
13 comments:
all Luxon needs to do is allow a conscience vote on the Treaty Principles bill.
Thinking about that, it would be very revealing about the quality of our political representatives and their motivations ....
Isn't it interesting that whilst fantasy novelist come up with political twists and turns, the coalition team stays tight and on course.
Not a word of dissent and plenty of supportive language from the coalition leaders and team.
Luxons team know their hard work will bear fruit in the crucial 2026 year,
The coalition leaders and team also know a poll shift within the margin of error, at the end of a necessary long and deep rescession, will soon be confined to the annals of history.
The bill would easily pass.
It’s worth noting that there’s a 3% margin of error in the poll, so it’s virtually meaningless.
That 3% margin of error is a pure myth. It applies when dealing with marbles in a container all of which are equally accessible to the sampler. But polls involve sampling techniques that are skewed towards certain groups (e.g. use of white pages phone numbers), and people can refuse to participate, or may lie. And people tend to use polls to send a message to the govt - "I'm gonna vote for the other lot if you keep doing this" kind of thing. I pay just about zero attention to them, but do keep an eye on trends. If a trend transpires over several months, it is quite probably an indicator of a shift in voter opinion.
Mr Hanley is ambiguous .
Thw Coalition is not National. Suddenly he is the Coalition cheerleader.
Does he mean the real issues ** for Luxon will be addressed provided there is a Nat.- led victory in 2026? ** Real issues: addressing Maorification and replacement of democracy by tribal rule? If so, a dubious promise for Nat. supporters..
Yes - much better economic performance is vital and would be a major plus for National.
No- that critical societal issues for NZ ( a very possible ethno state and democracy replaced by tribal rule) can easily be delayed till after 2026 victory. ( Nat would prefer a stand alone win - but will accept a coalition if needed - with whom? e.g. Any Left party including Te Pati Maori).
Mr Hanley seems to have totally missed the point on 2 counts:
1. the Nat leader is supposed to do both ( societal and economic) at once. If not, he/she is totally inadequate .
2. National has lost trust. A critical issue for any major party. To cling to power, it seems ready to do a deal with any partner (including TP Maori) to advance an agenda that Nat. and right-leaning voters do not want = a death sentence for its credibility.
Mr Hanley: please report this back to your minders at HQ - Nat. is in BIG TROUBLE.
When the election campaign starts it will be possible to shine a light on Opposition policies. Already promoted are race exemptions for capital gains tax, a Maori Commissioner with veto on all policies. Giving Iwi first right of refusal on all private land sales. Labour is going to have to offer policies to contest the Maori seats.
Correct. Polls are junk and routinely wrong to a far greater degree than the theoretical margin of error. Why don't people learn? Well, I'm sure the breathless media who wet their pants over these polls understand, deep down, that the polls are junk. But junk gets clicks and views so of course they run with them.
I saw that the website stuff had an online poll yesterday about who you would vote for if an election was held now, which any reader could click on. I clicked act and there was just 8% however 47% had clicked labour and just 14% national, which is even worse than the curia poll.
Cur John Key did his nefarious deal with the Maori Party and look what that got us! National then disrespected Winston and look where that got us ... I suspect that National are taking insufficient heed of its coalition partners by delaying the 'good stuff' in their respective agreements and where will that get us ...?
Luxon, just get on with sorting the race issues before we have a violent revolution - it's starting to feel rather nasty from both sides of this racial divide.
Most of the public still do not grasp the seriousness, extent, and pending future disater of maorification. The msm do not procalim, and RNZ runs a campaign to champion maori. A thoughtful speech by Luxon delivered in measured way and not just rapidly and repeatedly recited would have to be widely reported could arouse appropriate interest and concern.
The ordinary folk find it difficult to grasp the connection between GDP growth and their lot. Overseas investors means what? More pine forests? More money outflow. Scrubbing te reo would reduce GDP but effort would be available for real life improvements for all.
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