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Tuesday, September 17, 2024

Cam Slater: How Long Has Chippy Got?


The latest Taxpayers’ Union/Curia Poll spells danger for Chris Hipkins as Labour languishes in the polls.

The latest Taxpayers’ Union/Curia Poll is out and it shows gains for National, who have widened the gap over Labour. The Greens have dropped again as their continual scandals grind their support down.

The summary of the headline results are:

Click to view

🏛️ Parliament Seat Projection:National: 48 seats (+1 from July)
  • Labour: 43 seats (unchanged)
  • Greens: 14 seats (-2)
  • ACT: 10 seats (unchanged)
  • New Zealand First: 9 seats (+1)
  • Te Pāti Māori: 6 seats (unchanged)
🤝 Centre-Right Coalition:Seats:
  •  67 (unchanged)
  • National and ACT may need NZ First’s support to form a government.
🌈 Centre-Left Coalition:Seats: 
  • 53 (-2 from July)
Click to view

📊 Preferred Prime Minister Poll:
  • Christopher Luxon: 32.7% (-1.8 points)
  • Chris Hipkins: 12.6% (-6.1 points)
  • Chlöe Swarbrick: 7.2% (-3.7 points)
  • Winston Peters: 6.7% (+1.1 points)
  • Jacinda Ardern: 6.4%
  • David Seymour: 5.2%
  • Rawiri Waititi: 2.5%
  • Debbie Ngarewa-Packer: 1.1%
Click to view

📉 Net Favourability Changes:
  • Christopher Luxon: 7% (up 1 point)
  • Winston Peters: -9% (up 4 points)
  • Chris Hipkins: -10% (down 16 points)
  • David Seymour: -14% (down 10 points)
If I were advising Winston Peters, I’d be telling him to call up the Taxpayers’ Union and remonstrate with them about the jiggery pokery going on in their Preferred PM chart, listing David Seymour who is lower than Winston Peters and not on the chart at all.

This is an awful poll for Chris Hipkins who isn’t really trying any more and telling anyone who would care to listen that he can’t get a job anywhere, and if he could he’d take it and be gone.

The problem Labour has, however, is that no one wants to step up and, on those poll numbers, there really is no encouragement to do so. So they languish in the polls, hoping someone will give poor, sad, little Chippy a job.

This poll helps build on the slow, very slow, increase of the centre-right against the haters and wreckers of the left.

Cam Slater is a New Zealand-based blogger, best known for his role in Dirty Politics and publishing the Whale Oil Beef Hooked blog, which operated from 2005 until it closed in 2019. Cam blogs regularly on the GoodOil - where this article was sourced.

5 comments:

MC said...

An accurate depicture of the MSM campaign to promote the left. Without a highly slanted MSM imagine where useless Labour, crooked Greens and idiot Maori would be?

TJS said...

What does surprise me is the low result for David Seymour, I am viewing him in better light at the mo given that he's very focused on the Treaty Referendum Bill and I think that it's about 60% of people supporting this referendum. Like so many polliticians these days he's not a fan of his fans, aloof.
Doubly confused about Jacinda's upward return at 6.4% the polls suggesting that we're starting to forgive and forget? Nah. That ain't so. A whole lot of "jiggery pokery going on" too, me thinks.

Anonymous said...

IMO...Hipkins should remain as the face of Labour. He succinctly embodies ALL they really stand for, to a tee ! Nasty, humourless, devoid of ethics...a perfect fit..no ?

Anonymous said...

It’m curious to see who next cab off the bicycle rack is and if they were capable of any insight why they were shown the door and plummeting in the polls.

More disturbing is why would anyone think Chloe is PM material given her complete lack of leadership and decision by committee with Darlene Tana.

Anonymous said...

How long has he got? Really, who cares? With him acknowledging the myth that Maori didn't cede sovereignty he signed his own death warrant for potential as a future leader. With that level of ignorance of our history, he deserves the purgatory that awaits.