David Farrar: A good poll for the Government

The latest 1 News – Verian poll is very good for the Government. The party vote is:

• National 36%

• ACT 10%

• NZF 9%

• CR 55%

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• Labour 35%

• Greens 7%

• TPM 1%

• CL 43%

So a whopping 12% lead on the party vote. This would give the Government 67 seats – the same as it got at the last election.

Also of importance is net economic optimism or confidence. The last poll it was at -3% and now it is at +12% – a net 15% improvement.

Also of interest was a poll question on whether the TPM co-leaders should go. Only 33% of Maori say they should stay and 45% say they should go. Of course they are not the real co-leaders. They are effectively the co-deputy leaders, and Tamihere is the real leader.

David Farrar runs Curia Market Research, a specialist opinion polling and research agency, and the popular Kiwiblog where this article was sourced. He previously worked in the Parliament for eight years, serving two National Party Prime Ministers and three Opposition Leaders