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Monday, February 23, 2026

David Farrar: An interesting Treaty poll


An interesting poll from Radio NZ.

Reid Resarch asked:

Do you think the Treaty of Waitangi has too much, about the right amount, or too little influence over government decision making?

Now this was asked in 2026, so is a reflection on the current Government. The one accused every day of genocide by Te Pati Maori because it did something they say breaches the Treaty etc.

The results were:
  • Too much 38%
  • About right 34%
  • Too little 17%
So only one in six New Zealanders think the Treaty has too little influence over government decision making.

The net score (too much minus too little) is 38% – 17% = +21% for too much influence. Let’s look at how that breaks down by party vote:
  • ACT +77%
  • NZ First +55%
  • National: +51%
  • Labour: -3%
  • TPM: -29%
  • Greens: -32%
So ACT, NZF and National voters all very strongly think the Treaty has too much influence on government decision making. TPM and Green voters strongly think it doesn’t have enough.

Labour voters actually seen the most happy, where around equal numbers think it has too much and too little influence.

David Farrar runs Curia Market Research, a specialist opinion polling and research agency, and the popular Kiwiblog where this article was sourced. He previously worked in the Parliament for eight years, serving two National Party Prime Ministers and three Opposition Leaders

10 comments:

Janine said...

The only way a government can govern successfully is by majority will of the people. Therefore parliament needs to take heed of this majority. If minority groups want decisions to go their way, they need to successfully convince their fellow citizens.
Most New Zealanders want a united country, English spoken predominantly, the countries name remaining as New Zealand, and the Waitangi Tribunal having minimal influence. This is borne out by multiple surveys and polls.
This may seem unfair to minority groups(of which most of us are, at one time or another in our life part of, regarding contraversial issues).
This is not perfect but it works pretty well compared to other ruling structures.
We can see in the UK, Europe, Australia and the US, democracy in action as the people start speaking up with great strength when governments ignore their wishes.

Robert Arthur said...

The TPM response is to be expected. But the Greens mystify me. How do they manage to see a divided effectively maori controlled country as a desirable ideal?

Majority said...

Christopher Luxon, meet Janine. (7:23am)

She speaks for New Zealand.
You should listen.

anonymous said...

To Janine: The whole point of Identity Politics is to highlight minority rights and ideologies as well as their increased power and - especially - funding. The remarkable success of radical Maori has inspired many other groups......

mudbayripper said...

The Treaty should have no influence on modern politics whatsoever.
The whole point of the Treaty was to render all citizens of New Zealand equal under one law.
There contains in the original document zero reference to Maori privilege of any kind.

Anonymous said...

The Greens response makes sense when you consider that the Greens are trying to capitalise on TPM’s disarray. They have been taking on board old TPM candidates and would very much like to attract a maori voting block.

Anonymous said...

Should survey students as well. They seem to get the treaty every year from kindy. Then universities mystified why students don't want to take it again.

Janine said...

To anonymous at 10.18. It depends what you mean by minority rights. Majority rights can't be sacrificed for minority rights. That is what is happening in New Zealand.
A couple of examples would be: The Maori language being spoken in our parliament when 90% or more people can't understand it.
Colonial trees which "colonists" consider beautiful being removed. One Tree Hill losing it's iconic one tree.
Citizens being asked in our hospitals if they are Maori or non-Maori.(That happened to me recently).
Access being denied to an area for quite a length of time because of a rahui. That could be considered discrimination.

Anonymous said...

Like Janine, I was asked in hospital if I am "maori" or not. Notably not one living Maori to be seen there over ten days in ward - working or not.. Plenty of Asians, Indians, Europeans. I doubt 10% of NZers can understand Mori..., but wall notices said we were to be addressed in Mori...Go figure,

Anonymous said...

David Farrar having an opinion on poll results is about as valid as Razor having an opinion on All Black tactics this week.

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