It's worked for Winston over many decades, although the bloke only needs 10% of people to like his style, most find it a bit abrasive.
As I've said previously, Ministers are the de-facto top brass in the caucus.
When all the Ministers line up behind their man, no vote is going to topple him.
The backbenchers fall into line.
The group calling for a coup looks a bit shambolic.
Like a bunch of disgruntled employees - your Andrew Bayly's and Tim Van de Molens.
The only real threat to Luxon is if polling gets so bad, his Cabinet comes under threat.
You need a trend to prove that, not one poll.
If a trend emerges where the left-bloc can govern, he's toast.
And he'd probably fall on his sword at that point anyway.
I had loads of texts from people on the right yesterday raving about Luxon finally standing up for himself and doing something, anything, that looked decisive.
He performed to the base, yesterday.
But you need more than the base to win an election and form a government.
From here, the next move is crucial.
You need to flood the market with some bold economic initiatives and policy ideas.
He wants to talk about the economy, then get out there and do it. Do the big stuff. The hard stuff. And make a case for why.
Luxon officially has everyone's attention, how he uses it will determine how long he keeps his job.
Ryan Bridge is a New Zealand broadcaster who has worked on many current affairs television and radio shows. He currently hosts Newstalk ZB's Early Edition - where this article was sourced.
7 comments:
I don't think luxon is the problem. I think more votes would be going to act or nz first if that was the case. Perhaps it is true that all the good kiwis have already left nz. On my chat group, kiwis in liondon, plenty of them are conservatives who will never be back. You can stay in that group even if you move back to nz. I think many people here in nz are on the grift, on benefits, wanting land back, schools to be decolonised etc. For them labour x 3 us the answer. This is nothing to do with luxon.
Anon 8. 44am. Totally agree. No future for the young and dynamic in NZ. And things will become ugly in due course.
Has anyone suggested, or stated outright, that it’s because those who might unseat him know full well he is leading the Nats to the edge of the cliff, while the bulldozer of public opinion pushes them inexorably from behind. The rebels don’t want that inglorious job.
National's top brass needs a good polish.
In short, very like the UK - roll Stermer but much worse will replace him inside Labour.
There would be no discussion if the PM had attended to the 2023 manifesto that gave the coalition the public mandate to govern.
The coalition partners have generally exceeded the coalition agreement, however National leadership and caucus have procrastinated and dawdled without meaningful legislation.
Thinking NZ voters despise the rabble on the left and will vote "Right" with their electorate vote and Party Vote the coalition partners giving ACT and NZ First a significant increase in a returned Parliament at the expense of National List MP's
Ryan, it's not the economy that is Luxon's problem.
His problem is that he said he didn't like anything about the Treaty Principles Bill.
In essence he declared that he would not fulfill his election promises and was blocking the National MPs from supporting it.
That's the point at which people especially started distrusting Luxon, and consider him treacherous to democracy.
Until he proves that he is going to revoke the 96 pieces of Maori privilege legislation , stop treating Maori as indigenous needing special considerations, he is losing voters every day.
Does he know what the Treaty said for 180 years, before radical Maori re-wrote it ?
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