The Labour Party has overtaken National in the polls for the first time since April 2023, according to the latest Taxpayers’ Union-Curia Poll, a shift that spells trouble for National leader Christopher Luxon as both major parties prepare for their caucus retreats next week.
Labour rose 4 percentage points to 30.9%, while National dropped 4.6 points to 29.6%. The poll also shows the ACT Party falling 2.2 points to 10.8%, while the Greens increased by 1.2 points to 9.5%. New Zealand First made a significant gain, climbing 2.7 points to 8.1%, and Te Pāti Māori dipped slightly to 5.3%.
These shifts in party support translate into a notable change in parliamentary seat projections. The Centre-right bloc of National and ACT, now at 62 seats, would require New Zealand First to form a government. Meanwhile, the Centre-left bloc of Labour, the Greens, and Te Pāti Māori has risen to 58 seats, marking a six-seat swing.
More troubling for the government than the party vote numbers is the public’s worsening perception of the country’s direction. The poll shows a dramatic 17-point drop in the net “right track/wrong track” measure, with 53% of respondents now believing New Zealand is headed in the wrong direction—a rise of 11 points since December. Only 39% think the country is on the right track, down 7 points, while 12% remain unsure.
The survey highlights that economic issues are top of mind for voters. Cost-of-living and economic management were identified as the most important concerns by a combined 40% of respondents. By contrast, Māori and Treaty issues, which have garnered significant legacy mainstream media attention, were cited by just 8% as their primary voting concern.
The poll suggests discontent with National’s economic strategy under finance spokesperson Nicola Willis, as well as frustration with government spending. December’s series of poor economic news and the strain of holiday-season expenses appear to have left many voters feeling pessimistic about the country’s economic trajectory.
As Parliament prepares to resume on January 27, both Labour and National face mounting pressure to address voters’ growing concerns. For Christopher Luxon and the National Party, the results underscore a critical need to reassess their strategy as the economic mood continues to shape the political landscape.
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Daily Telegraph New Zealand (DTNZ) is an independent news website, first published in October 2021. - where this article was sourced.
12 comments:
Given MSM coverage (Stuff, Herald, RNZ TV etc) of the treaty bill and any ''Maori'' related issues and local govt ''views'' I am not surprised by the poll results. The overwhelming (impression given) of almost total opposition to the govt on all issues must have some effect, even subliminal, on msm users. Nowadays those remaining users may be more on the LGTPM side of the divide anyway. Are we supposed to conclude that 30pc of voters who back Labour back total Maori sovereignty and all that entails, largely ignored by msm ? If one just goes by msm news online and print there is no problem, just ''bad, racist whites'' and a few ''Maori'' who go along with them.
I'm constantly amazed by the stupidity of the average voter.
It beggars belief that the headwinds caused by 6 years of Labour stewardship, during which the Labour hierarchy focused solely on enriching themselves, at great cost to Labour voters, is reason for Labour voters to shift their votes back to the perpetrators.
The problem is idiot labour voters take us all down with them.
“Cost-of-living and economic management were identified as the most important concerns by a combined 40% of respondents”.
Do these 40% really understand what the root cause of inflation is?
Collectively, central banks continue to lower the purchasing power of their respective currencies, via the creation of more of their product. Moreover, as they lower rates, this mechanism gets worse faster.
Devaluing the currency is grand theft on a world-wide scale, and no one is talking about it?
Cost of living/rising prices are a direct result of the currency being debased. Count on more political trickery to continue to assign blame as a deception to keep you from understanding what “the root cause” for inflation really is.
Māori and Treaty issues at 8% ?? - if the plebs think cost of living and economic issues are more important at the moment - they should think how much worse it will be if/when Maori gain full control, as it is now a few elite activist Maoris are draining millions of dollars from the NZ public purse.
**************
A discussion between Don Brash and Winston Peters published in the NZ Listener around 2017 - the Maori preference situation is much worse now.
After I had finished my testimony, I left the committee room. Mr Peters followed me out and suggested coffee. I said, "you know Winston, this racial preference thing is the most important issue facing the Government right now". He corrected me: "No," he said, "it's the most important issue facing the country right now." I believe he meant it.
Yes, its now time to exit stage left. New Zealand is lost and gone, and all by design.
It should steady the price of houses as more and more progressive, industrious non trace maori flee the country. The relentless msm pro maori support is sickening. I do not know what influence the Minister has apart from Board appointments when these eventually come available, but RNZ is even more pro maori now than pre election. Willie's vision has been adopted entirely. Saturday morning is blatantly half pro maori until noon and totally pro maori until 1 pm. One never hears criticism of the maori agenda all guests support, only encouraged, unquestioned promotion. Not only is the thinking public discouraged from listening by the procession of propogandising minor obscurities with their tedious whakapapa, but they never
subject same to a balanced or even entirely rational interview.
It is staggering that, despite all, the Greens climb.. It certainly shows the power of a name and the shallowness of much voter thinking. I suspect many think the Greens will save them from climate change.
As Bill Clinton said when asked, "What's the election about?' he said "The economy stupid".
What's the economy about?
Protection of private property, it being the cornerstone of private sector commercial enterprise which is a fundamental for generating employment which in turn generates taxation revenue for the state which in turn provides funds for government to send on Maori welfare which over generations not decades, is the root cause of undermining self confidence and self respect along too many Maori which results in indolence and apathy and entrenched lower socio economic destiny.
Elementary dear Watson.
As is a change of leader in National
The Maori & Treaty issue remains the most important issue facing the Country and that has me wondering laterally (I do that ...) about the down-tick in National's polling and a possible link with the "17-point drop in the net “right track/wrong track” measure, with 53% of respondents now believing New Zealand is headed in the wrong direction". The question does not specify or determine what the track should or should not be! Do others think like me that our fiscally mired situation is directly correlated with the failure by National/Luxon to acknowledge and deal with the Maori elite gravy train (aka the Maori & Treaty) issue and hence believe we are inexorably heading in a direction that is horizontally opposed to that in which we should be? Be interesting to see how National's pending pow-pow goes - will there be an awakening? It might also explain why NZF's polling has lifted?
Australia beckons to all young, hard working, progressive, intelligent, experienced and professional NZers. Not much point wasting time and effort in Aotearoa - a country heading towards 2nd world status and living standards within the next 10 years, if not sooner.
Yes, Mark, if the average voter wasn't so stupid they might realise what the current Treaty rort was actually costing this country. In lost productivity and welfare, direct and indirect, it would run into the $billions. Nothing will improve on that front, as long as we have an invertebrate at the helm.
And for proof on the stupidity front, as you identify, just look at the polling for Labour and the Greens.
NZ exports doctors and nurses for free while NZers have to wait for months or years for treatment because of staff shortages. Something ain't quite right here.........
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