Luxon, being a third grader trying to play in the All Blacks and completely lacking political talent, hasn’t worked out he is not the CEO of a company which has underlings to do his bidding. He has a caucus that are his first employers, and to stay in the job he needs half of them to vote for him. His problem is he is dead set useless and has managed to piss off about a quarter of the caucus by making it clear that they have no future under him.
This table below shows MPs that Luxon has told: ‘You will not get a promotion with me as leader.’ It also shows the MPs who will likely lose their seats if Luxon stays leader. Charitably, National is polling at down four per cent from election night, and uncharitably as much as eight per cent. This means a lot of National MPs in marginal seats will lose their seat if National’s numbers don’t improve. Anyone with a majority of under 6000 will be vulnerable to the message that, without Luxon, National will win more seats.
See Cam's 'Annoyed with Luxon' table HERE
There are 48 MPs in caucus, 50 per cent is 24, but effectively you need 25 MPs to roll Luxon, as a tie means the status quo is retained and National limps along with a lame-duck leader.
Luxon has already lost those he has shafted and he is losing those who will lose their seats because he is so unpopular.
Readers should comment if they know any other MPs who might replace Luxon.
Cam Slater is a New Zealand-based blogger, best known for his role in Dirty Politics and publishing the Whale Oil Beef Hooked blog, which operated from 2005 until it closed in 2019. Cam blogs regularly on the GoodOil - where this article was sourced.
This table below shows MPs that Luxon has told: ‘You will not get a promotion with me as leader.’ It also shows the MPs who will likely lose their seats if Luxon stays leader. Charitably, National is polling at down four per cent from election night, and uncharitably as much as eight per cent. This means a lot of National MPs in marginal seats will lose their seat if National’s numbers don’t improve. Anyone with a majority of under 6000 will be vulnerable to the message that, without Luxon, National will win more seats.
See Cam's 'Annoyed with Luxon' table HERE
There are 48 MPs in caucus, 50 per cent is 24, but effectively you need 25 MPs to roll Luxon, as a tie means the status quo is retained and National limps along with a lame-duck leader.
Luxon has already lost those he has shafted and he is losing those who will lose their seats because he is so unpopular.
Readers should comment if they know any other MPs who might replace Luxon.
Cam Slater is a New Zealand-based blogger, best known for his role in Dirty Politics and publishing the Whale Oil Beef Hooked blog, which operated from 2005 until it closed in 2019. Cam blogs regularly on the GoodOil - where this article was sourced.
2 comments:
For me and other like minded Nat supporters (perhaps even a majority) the number one issue when picking a new leader is that he or she promises to campaign on supporting the Treaty Principles Bill all the way to it becoming law.
That is the one issue that has already signed Luxon’s death warrant and could well sink the Coalition at the next election as well .
I am convinced that the bulk of Kiwis and a substantial number of Māoris as well have had enough of this rabble with an exaggerated opinion of their own self importance.
The media driven political Luxon pile on is another reflection on why nz is so poor.
We finally have a quality PM who has the moral fortirude to take on big challenges like gangs and house prices, who has the management pedigree to take a dysfunctional National party to an election win within 1 term, who sets out a clear strategy and plan for nz and his ministers then is the first nz pm to transperantly report progress against that plan every quarter, and who takes responsibility and action when things go slightly off the rails.
And all the media can do is make up generalized bs in an attempt to discredit him.
But fear not intelligent and concerned voters, the nz economy is about to turn, voters will become richer and happier, and the already discredited and distrusted nz media will be consigned to a back seat again.....
Question. How many nz journalists have lost their jobs those month?
Answer.... not enough!
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