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Wednesday, May 21, 2025

Ian Bradford: A Few New Climate Revelations - Some of Them Concerning


According to the Apocalyptic climate narrative, humanity faces an existential threat from global warming that can be averted only by aggressive suppression of fossil fuel use. This narrative has been promoted by environmental activists, prominent politicians, and the United Nations for more than three decades, and has been accepted as gospel truth by many citizens of the United States, The United Kingdom, Germany, and other wealthy countries.

When such narratives are false or seriously misleading, they can do significant damage because of unintended consequences of their policy prescriptions. The Apocalyptic climate narrative is a deeply flawed guide for public policies because it:
  1. Focuses on the risks/costs of global warming and ignores any benefits from warming and the myriad benefits to humanity from fossil fuel use.
  2. Advocates aggressive near-term fossil fuel use without considering the huge cost that such suppression would inflict on humans.
  3. Lacks a realistic sense of proportion about the risks/costs from continual global warming which are manageable – not existential. 
Fossil fuels should not be eliminated before we have technologically viable and cost-effective replacements for the critical inputs they provide in the production of food, steel, cement, plastics and electricity. We should foster investment in innovations in energy, materials science, and agricultural science as well as the ability of humans to adapt to a changing climate - if the climate is changing.

We should not punish consumption that generates so called greenhouse gases – e.g. banning gas stoves, jet travel, internal combustion engines and non vegan food, while having no material effect on temperatures now or in the long run.

We should not focus narrowly on solar panels, wind turbines and biofuels. Biofuel emissions are at least as bad as gasoline, and biofuel uses massive amounts of cropland and played a significant role in three major food crises in the last 20 years.

Finally, we should not use our power to impose credit policies toward developing countries that discourage fossil fuel based projects and thereby make it more difficult for the world’s poorest people to elevate themselves out of poverty.

Now let’s look at some of the things that have been going on regarding climate, some of them kept somewhat under wraps.

In the UK, successive governments have been inflicting pain on the poor, sick and elderly as well as the working class, in pursuit of the transition to insane “net zero” targets. These governments have signed up to the net zero madness advocated by the UN and its IPCC climate accords. Limits on carbon dioxide emissions are continually lowered. These limits are implemented via sales at fortnightly auctions. So there is an emissions trading scheme similar to that run in NZ.

The climate change committee (CCC), made the following report to parliament in 2024.

1. Annual offshore wind installations must increase by at least three times, onshore wind installations need to double, and solar installations must increase by five times.

2. Approximately 10% of existing homes in the UK will need to be heated by a heat pump compared to only 1% today.

3. The market share of new electric cars needs to increase from 16.5% today to nearly 100%.

Each seeks to impose a world of excited misery using the socialist mantra of controlling the means of production. The raw materials of energy are captured by the price of natural gas. The UK has abundant natural gas reserves and also it can be extracted by fracking for decades. BUT the UK imported over 45 million cubic metres of gas mostly from the US and Qatar. However, Carbon border adjustments are designed to address carbon leakage by ensuing that imported goods are subject to a carbon price comparable to that of domestic goods. Shut down all the domestic producers of cheap reliable energy. From 2015 to 2025, the price of electricity has doubled while the price of natural gas has not changed. Electricity should have been provided by natural gas power stations rather than wind turbines and solar panels.

The UK Met Office is unable to name the sites providing estimated temperature data for its 103 non-existent stations.

Last year the UK Met Office was shown to be inventing long term temperature data. It was claimed later that the data were estimated from nearby well correlated neighbouring stations. So the invented figures for the 103 non-existent sites are supposedly provided by neighbouring stations that the Met Office claims it cannot identify. Is the general public just supposed to believe the Met Office without any workings evident?

Temperature readings from two other non-existent stations were also investigated. They were Scole, and Manby in Lincolnshire. Scole did not open till 1971 but data from that station was evident from 1960. Manby closed in 1974 but 60 year averages were still available. It has been 50 years since an actual temperature reading was taken at Manby. Once again however, the Met Office is unable to name the “well correlated” sites supposedly providing data.

A secretive government agency is planning to dim the sun as experts warn of unwanted consequences.

Most people probably haven’t heard of ARIA or the Advanced Research and Invention Agency. This Agency has allocated £57 million for so-called geoengineering projects that aim to slow global warming. One of these projects is Marine Cloud Brightening, which involves ships spraying saltwater into the sky to enhance the reflectivity of low lying clouds. The clouds being more reflective, will stop much sunlight reaching the earth. But some experts have warned that such outdoor experiments could have unwanted side effects.

Well ARIA is spending 4.3 million pounds on wages for staff alone. It is a research funding agency for the UK government. It aims to unlock scientific and technological breakthroughs that benefit everyone. The body, based on London, has been given a staggering £800 million budget of taxpayers’ cash to go toward high risk scientific research. The chief executive is paid three times more than the Prime Minister.

Marine Cloud Brightening is one of 21 so called geoengineering projects receiving £57 million from ARIA. Another University of Cambridge led project receiving part of the funding is described as early exploration for the potential of Stratosphere Aerosol Injection.

However some scientists are concerned that expensive endeavours could fail or even backfire, causing destructive weather patterns and making climate change worse.

According to official data , the UK only receives an average of 1400 hours of sunshine per year anyway – averaging only 3.8 hours per day. Research shows that 60% of the UK population has insufficient levels of vitamin D, with more than 20% outright deficient. The UK Government seems unconcerned about this. The Professor of Geography, Mike Hulme at the UnIversity of Cambridge warned that ARIA is leading the world down a slippery slope.

“Just because they work in a model or at a micro scale in the lab, does not mean they will cool the climate safely, without unwanted side effects, in the real world.” “The UK Government is leading the world down what academic analysts call the slippery slope, towards eventual dangerous large scale deployment of solar geoengineering technologies.”

The Climate Change Cult is planning to uproot thousands of ancient olive trees in Spain and replace them with solar panels.

In southern Spain, thousands of hectares of ancient olive trees will be destroyed to make room for solar panels. Campaigners estimate that 100,000 olive trees will be uprooted to make way for the green renewable solar farms. Spain is home to the some of the world’s oldest olive trees and in southern Catalonia more than 4000 trees are thought to be over 1000 years old, and still producing olives. Some are over 2000 years old and date back to Roman times. These trees are not only significant because of their age but also for the unique olive oil they produce.

The town of Lopera, at the heart of this conflict has plans for 8 major solar installations which could affect up to 1000 hectares of land. Olive grove owners are struggling to save their plantations. Losing 500 Ha of olive groves would wipe out more then $2.3 Million in annual revenues.

So far about 5000 olive trees have been uprooted in the province of Jaen, where the equivalent of 100 football fields of trees will be lost. Jaen is the largest producer of olive oil in the world. Unfortunately, Jaen did not make it onto the list of areas protected by UNESCO as a world heritage site.

Decoupling CO2 from Climate Change

A recent study was to determine if there is a correlation between rising carbon dioxide levels and global warming. Historical data were reviewed from three different time periods, spanning 500 million years. So we had 1million years, 50 million years and 500 million years. All three periods showed that the curves and trends were too dissimilar to establish a connection. Observations of carbon dioxide/temperature ratios showed that they moved in opposite directions 35% of the time during the 500 million year period, 42% in the 50 million year period and 27% in the 1 million year period. Moving in opposite directions directly contradicts the climate change-CO2 hypothesis. Many ratios were zero or near zero. If something does not respond it manifests itself by a zero or near zero ratio. This indicates a lack of relationship.

Let’s explain that. Suppose the temperature dropped by 12 degrees F over a period of time but the carbon dioxide level did not change. So the temperature change was -12 and the carbon dioxide change was zero. So the ratio of carbon dioxide to temperature is 0/-12. That’s zero divide by -12. Now if you have done a bit of maths you will know that zero divided by anything is zero. So 0/-12 = 0 So the carbon dioxide did not respond and this led to a zero ratio result. If the carbon dioxide slightly responded such as an increase of 2 ppm then the ratio is 2/-12 which is –0.16 which is close to zero.

Using only the last 1million years showed that 87% of the ratios were negative or zero or near zero. The CO2and temperatures moved in opposite directions 42% of the time. If the ratio is negative or near zero, or zero, then this indicates a lack of relationship.

We can illustrate this with these two examples:

If one quantity decreases it is assigned a negative sign.

1. From 450 to 440 million years ago the temperature change was -23 degrees F. In other words the temperature dropped by 23 degrees Farenheit. In the same time period the amount of carbon dioxide increased by 249 parts per million (+ 249 ppm).

The ratio of carbon dioxide to temperature is 249/-23 which equals – 10.8

2 For the period 100 million years ago to 90 million years ago, the temperature change was +7 deg F. At the same time, the carbon dioxide level went down by 294.93 parts per million (- 294.93 ppm). The ratio of carbon dioxide to temperature is -294. 93/7 = -42.

So here we have two negative results indicating no correlation.

Now the absorption spectra showed that greenhouse gases had an exceptionally low absorption band between 11.67 micro metres and 9.1 Micro metres. Which is a zone called the infra-red absorption window. Most of the greenhouse gases absorb little infra- red radiation inside that zone. But that zone is where the earth’s surface emits almost all infra- red radiation. (Infra-red is essentially heat). So what happens is that water vapour captures the most infra-red radiation. It absorbs 84 times more than CO2 and 452,000 times more than Methane. But of course the IPCC excludes water vapour because they claim it is not associated with human activities. The world cloud cover has decreased by 4.1 % from 1982 to 2018. Calculations show that this could be responsible for 2.4 Deg F of the 2.7 deg F claimed temperature rise. So most of the recent temperature rise (if there is one), could be due to fewer clouds.

Near 20 year stable Arctic sea ice.

Dramatic confirmation that the sea ice in the Arctic has been stable for nearly two decades is contained in a recently published paper from a team led by Dr Mark England from the University of Exeter. Despite the data showing the ice has been stable over every month in the year since around 2007, Sir David Attenborough told BBC viewers in 2022 that the region could be summer ice free by 2035. The climate hysteric Al Gore never quite recovered his authority when he said all the ice could be gone by 2014.

Recently, the Arctic scientist Allan Astrup noted that the summer ice had plateaued from 1979 to 1997, and then fell for 10 years. The fall was a minimal one but enough to excite the climate activists. Evidence showed that 1979 was a high cyclical point in Arctic sea ice. Sea ice extent was lower in the 1950’s and observations stretching back 200 years suggest a 70-80 year waxing and waning cycle. In line with these findings, scientists suggest that ocean currents play a large part in determining sea ice extent.



















A to B is the plateau from 1979 to 1997. B to C is the ten year fall. C to D is the current plateau. No change in Arctic sea ice for the past twenty years.

So ice trends can only be understood over a long, preferably very long context.

Of course when you are in the climate alarm business there is a frequent need to explain why the various scares and tipping points never occur. One favoured approach is simply to ignore any unwelcome improvement such as the coral growing back in record amounts on the Great Barrier Reef, and hope nobody noticed. The other favoured tactic is to state that the computer models that predict one thing are still entirely correct when the opposite occurs.

We can presume the sea ice predictions of Gore and Attenborough were derived from computer models – ever reliable to provide whatever scare you want to promote. In the end, the question is how brave you need to be to understand past sea ice cyclical trends? How much intelligence is required to abstain from making ludicrous predictions of an ice free Arctic on the basis of two years data.

Old school to the end, the guardian reported last March that “scientists say” that ice free summers were possible in the Arctic within the next decade!

Chinese kill switches found in US solar farms

Chinese kill switches have been found hidden in American solar farms. The components found in the US included cellular radios capable of switching off the equipment remotely, raising serious concerns about grid security. They were found inside power inverters manufactured by unnamed Chinese companies. Power inverters are the key links between solar and wind farms and the rest of the power system, converting the electricity so the wider grid can use it.

Compromising such equipment would give Beijing the ability to inflict blackouts on the west. It would give a built in way to physically destroy the grid.

The discovery has sounded alarm bells within the US government and is likely to prompt a similar scramble in Britain.

The shadow energy minister said: “We are already aware of concerns raised by the Ministry of Defence and the security and intelligence services surrounding possible monitoring technology on Chinese built wind turbines – but given the dominance of China in solar these developments are equally if not even more worrying.”

“Ed Miliband’s made in China transition – clean power at the expense of everything else, is threat to our national security and makes a mockery of his claims on energy security.”

“It is essential that an immediate pause and review is carried out to ensure the safety and security of our energy system.”

Chinese companies dominate the market for power inverters as well as batteries and solar panels. Chinese firms account for half of all solar power inverters in the world.

“This means Europe has effectively surrendered remote control of a vast portion of its electricity infrastructure,” said Christopher Podewils, the industry groups secretary general. Being able to control up to 4 GW of capacity has the potential to wreak havoc across the Continent. The recent blackouts in Spain and Portugal are thought to have begun following the loss of just 2GW of generation capacity.

Ian Bradford, a science graduate, is a former teacher, lawyer, farmer and keen sportsman, who is writing a book about the fraud of anthropogenic climate change.

4 comments:

Anonymous said...

You have put your finger on it Ian. It is clear to any sensible person that the ‘climate crisis’ is actually the great depopulation plan, wearing a ghillie suit. And I suspect our politicians know that full well.

Chuck Bird said...

There is some truth in that. Have you heard of the Club of Rome?

Chuck Bird said...

I am of the view of Dr Steven Koonin, author of Unsettled. The onus is on the alarmist to proof their case and I do not think they have. Dr William Happer believes that human emissions warm the planet a little but a lot less than the alarmist claim. He says doubling the CO2 in the atmosphere would warm earth less than 0.75 C.

Gaynor said...

This perversion of science is alarming but then you can prove anything with science if you are passionate enough about your ideology. The actual agenda of the alarmists is hard to fathom. But it seems to be hatred of people which suggests it is diabolical !