1. There has been a positive and statistically significant improvement in full school attendance for Term 2 2026 compared to the previous 10 years.
2. I was asked about Erica Standford’s engagement with schools. I therefore took the time to go through her Minister of Education diary for the last three years. I found that she has directly visited approximately 60 schools. Given that she is also Minister of Immigration I would think that this is a very good level of engagement. A case can be made that there is a low level of visits to highly challenged schools but the diary contains no information about where she has actually been invited to.
The Bad and the Ugly
3. In a couple of weeks I will receive the raw LEAVERS data for every high school in NZ. I have done this process every year for the last 8 years and it has become an important indicator on the state of the system and is purchased by many schools and education interested parties.
The 2024 LEAVERS data showed 15.9% of NZ students leaving school with no qualifications. My educated guess on a range of data through the last 7 months is that the 2025 data will show approximately 18.5% of students leaving with no qualifications and stocking up the NEETS cupboard.
It does not look good for 2026 leavers either with a 5% increase in students failing the Numeracy requirement to get any level of NCEA. Specific examples:
“Māori students’ rates were 49 percent reading, 46 percent writing, and 36 percent numeracy.”
“Pacific students’ pass rates were 41 percent reading, 43 percent writing, and 27 percent numeracy.”
A student cannot get NCEA Level 1 (i.e. even the lowest qualification) – without passing all three co-requisites and getting 60 more subject credits.
While the Minister/Ministry have been focussed on curriculum and qualifications changes they have been negligent to the students still doing NCEA – which lasts up until 2030. This will have significant run-ons to welfare dependency, lower tax take, etc.
4. All research makes it clear that socio-economics impacts education – and vice-versa.
The government’s Ministry of Social Development reports:
“a growing number of children in material hardship, reaching 13 percent between 2023 and 2024, up from 11 percent three years prior.
Children’s Commissioner Dr Claire Achmad said the government was failing to protect the rights of the 170,000 children living in poverty right now, up by 47,500 in 2022.”
Is this where NZ, in 2026, should be?
Alwyn Poole, a well-known figure in the New Zealand education system, he founded and was the head of Mt Hobson Middle School in Auckland for 18 years. This article was published HERE
3. In a couple of weeks I will receive the raw LEAVERS data for every high school in NZ. I have done this process every year for the last 8 years and it has become an important indicator on the state of the system and is purchased by many schools and education interested parties.
The 2024 LEAVERS data showed 15.9% of NZ students leaving school with no qualifications. My educated guess on a range of data through the last 7 months is that the 2025 data will show approximately 18.5% of students leaving with no qualifications and stocking up the NEETS cupboard.
It does not look good for 2026 leavers either with a 5% increase in students failing the Numeracy requirement to get any level of NCEA. Specific examples:
“Māori students’ rates were 49 percent reading, 46 percent writing, and 36 percent numeracy.”
“Pacific students’ pass rates were 41 percent reading, 43 percent writing, and 27 percent numeracy.”
A student cannot get NCEA Level 1 (i.e. even the lowest qualification) – without passing all three co-requisites and getting 60 more subject credits.
While the Minister/Ministry have been focussed on curriculum and qualifications changes they have been negligent to the students still doing NCEA – which lasts up until 2030. This will have significant run-ons to welfare dependency, lower tax take, etc.
4. All research makes it clear that socio-economics impacts education – and vice-versa.
The government’s Ministry of Social Development reports:
“a growing number of children in material hardship, reaching 13 percent between 2023 and 2024, up from 11 percent three years prior.
Children’s Commissioner Dr Claire Achmad said the government was failing to protect the rights of the 170,000 children living in poverty right now, up by 47,500 in 2022.”
Is this where NZ, in 2026, should be?
Alwyn Poole, a well-known figure in the New Zealand education system, he founded and was the head of Mt Hobson Middle School in Auckland for 18 years. This article was published HERE
4 comments:
It's great that you keep tabs on this stuff Alwyn. I really despair for the future of our Maori and Pacifica communities, in particular, based on those numbers. For all that we idolise all things Maori and elevate their status to that of overlords to the rest of us, I fear that they are heading down a slippery slope from which there will be no return. And it's all driven by three factors. First, they are the biggest victims of the woke movement that is too afraid to upset their feelings. Second, there is the tragedy of Maori leadership that values resentment and anger over strong values and work ethic. And third, we let them think that this failure is attributable to everyone except themselves, and in so doing we sentence them to lifetimes of depravity and welfare dependency. It's time to get behind Erica Stanford, not to derail her.
Maori and Pacifica are the victims of Progressive education which over the decades has eroded our once excellent education system which was based on traditional values with effective teaching methods , work ethics and a disciplined, quiet classroom where learning could occur.
NCEA had children leaving school with qualifications in micro-wave cooking, coffee Baristas , cardboard folding ........ but unable to read or write or compute to a functional level needed for society . These students ended up in manual labouring jobs or welfare . Since the changes in education back to something more like we used to have , with school leavers being literate and numerate to a reasonable standard is going to take time. What would you rather have a leaving certificate stating you have qualifications in microwave cooking or one that honestly says you failed to achieve in literacy . I had some reading students who flocked to the coffee barista course , but avoided the written work option course. Now hopefully this will change.
You have got this quite wrong Alwyn . A certificate in nonsense that leads to joining the queue for a job along with 1500 hopefuls for a being a barista is fake . Gaynor
What is with the white saviour complex. Culturally, Maori have shown they have no belief in the benefit of western education. Why do we think it is our right to force them to change their beliefs.
I think the majority of Maori want Western education so they can be part of the international community and succeed in both worlds. It is Maori radicals inducted into Marxism who believe they have had evil Western Culture forced on them .
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