The seat is a very traditional National seat. Last election they got 43% party vote (5% higher than NZ average) and NZF got 7% (1% higher than NZ average) . The majority is over 12,000.
Laws has been elected to the Otago Regional Council four times. His record is:
David Farrar runs Curia Market Research, a specialist opinion polling and research agency, and the popular Kiwiblog where this article was sourced. He previously worked in the Parliament for eight years, serving two National Party Prime Ministers and three Opposition Leaders
- 2016: Won final spot by just 5 votes
- 2019: Won top spot by 1,600 votes
- 2022: Won third (last) spot by 21 votes
- 2025: Won top spot by 2,300 votes
David Farrar runs Curia Market Research, a specialist opinion polling and research agency, and the popular Kiwiblog where this article was sourced. He previously worked in the Parliament for eight years, serving two National Party Prime Ministers and three Opposition Leaders
2 comments:
The National Party vote in the 2026 election will be the most interesting aspect of the election .
For National in the 2026, it will not be the fact that their vote take tanks but just how much by and whether it will significantly decrease the overall centre right weighting. Trying to guage this is the main determinator as to how my options for jumping ship from NZ or staying will play out. If NZF and ACT can collectively pick up the slack that would be preferable as this would cause me the least aggro. What I cannot fathom is why Liebour seem to keep their numbers out of the red when blind Freddie can see how they cocked us all up last time?
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