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Wednesday, June 8, 2022

Viv Forbes: Australia’s Great Green Gamble


Australians took a great green gamble in the recent election.

Green millionaires and other left-wing activists supported slick campaigns promoting a gaggle of well-off women who won 6 seats in the leafy-green suburbs. Being rich blue-bloods with dark green policies they adopted Teal-coloured uniforms.

Dark Greens also grabbed some inner city electorates. The Liberal-National “conservatives” got their lowest vote for over 70 years, losing control of parliament. The left-wing ALP also got their lowest vote for over 70 years but won a slim majority in the lower house of federal Parliament.

This Teal-Green-ALP lurch to the left promises a disorderly rush into green energy – their aim is to cover this huge continent with solar panels, wind turbines, transmission lines, access roads, giant batteries and National Parks. Off shore wind turbines will start sprouting but no new coal developments will be approved. The new PM wants to make Australia a “renewable energy super power” and “Get-Up” wants to “protect indigenous communities from fracking”.

And just when Matt Canavan and Barnaby Joyce of the National Party started to talk energy sense, their mob also caught the virulent green virus. They dumped Barnaby and elected a new leader, David Littleproud, who wants to support “the sensible centre”. He is likely to ensure farmers get their noses in the climate subsidy trough via clever accounting for soil carbon.

The new ALP government plans to triple green energy to supply 80% of Australia’s electricity market by 2030 (but only on sunny/windy days). They invite electricity chaos by promoting quick closure of reliable coal-fired power stations, while also promoting more electric cars – more demand, less supply, less reliability.

Click here to see where electricity is actually coming from each day in Queensland (“the Sunshine State”): OpenNEM: Queensland

Adding to the looming energy turmoil, another green millionaire has taken a big share-holding in AGL, Australia’s biggest electricity producer, with the aim of closing coal generators “to support Paris-aligned plans”. And the Green G7 and their big business friends want the western world to “cease funding fossil fuels and shift to green energy”. This is great news for Big Miners who produce green-age metals like copper, nickel, cobalt, lithium, aluminium, rare earths and uranium.

Green energy is a wild bull in the electricity china shop. Australia’s new green government has a $20B plan to “rewire the nation” to connect the spreading rash of wind and solar toys. Eastern Australia recently had a couple of days of high wind, which caused many outages as trees and powerlines were blown down. Imagine the outages after a cyclone cuts a swathe thru this continent-wide spider-web of fragile power lines connecting green energy generators, batteries and markets.

Listen here to Australia’s new Prime Minister during the election campaign explaining how roof-top solar will charge all those Tesla batteries overnight: https://saltbushclub.com/2022/04/15/the-power-of-moonbeams/

We also have the hydrogen evangelists. The fact that many voters, politicians and some businessmen see hydrogen as a net fuel source merely illustrates the tragic failure of science/engineering education in Australia. Like pumped hydro, hydrogen will never recover the energy needed to generate it.

Our clever politicians also have plans to “decarbonise aviation”, presumably with hydrogen fuel. They should call it “Hindenburg Aviation”.

But coal producers see a good business case for Carbon Capture and Burial – it will consume more coal to produce the same usable electricity, with electricity consumers picking up the tab.

German Greens can fool around trying to run a modern society with windmills and sunbeams, but unlike Australia, Germany has extension cords to nuclear-powered France and a (now-fragile) pipeline to Russian gas.

We will have more energy plans, more energy czars and greater energy chaos. Australians are destined to discover that they lost heavily in the Great Green Gamble.

Further Reading:

Net Zero Realities:
https://ddears.com/2022/05/31/net-zero-reality-conclusions/

Britain’s’ Green Road to Hell:
https://mailchi.mp/7f2c2f234bca/green-britains-road-to-hell-189067?e=561397ebd4

Fossil Future – a defence of carbon fuels:
https://newideal.aynrand.org/fossil-future-a-powerful-must-read-defense-of-fossil-fuels/

Is the fossil fuel narrative too convenient?:
https://www.morningstar.com.au/funds/article/is-the-fossil-fuel-narrative-simply-too-conve/222898?utm

Viv Forbes has solar panels on his roof, but no vested interests in coal or gas apart from a diesel generator in the shed. He was not responsible for any of the Teal/Green landslide.

2 comments:

DeeM said...

It never ceases to amaze me that in every Western country in the World we seem to have the same idiots in charge rushing to ditch the cost-effective, reliable, efficient forms of generation that have powered our great advances over the past 200 years or so.

And replace them with low energy density, intermittent, unreliable, expensive forms of generation which have been touted as our saviour from climate change, yet which still only represent about 3% of total global energy needs because they don't work.
It doesn't matter how many bad examples these morons are presented with - California, Germany, the UK etc - they rush headlong like a pack of lemmings for the cliff edge. Eager to throw their economies onto the rocks below.
It speaks volumes as to the general ignorance and groupthink of our politicians, media and general population and aptly demonstrates the power of disinformation and propaganda.
New Zealand is one of the worst and has only escaped the worst consequences up to now because of our great ability to trail along behind everyone else and our abundance of hydropower.

Robert Arthur said...

With its considerable distances between centres of population, Oz would seem one of the countries least suited to EVs. cars will need to carry large sunshades for whilst they wait stranded.
Saving the coal will hasten the Chinese coming to take it.