Like most wars, you can spin it any way you want.
In this case, the part relief plays is not to be underestimated.
This came out of nowhere on a Saturday morning, when apparently Netanyahu and Rupert Murdoch said, “You will never get a better chance, Donald. All the heavyweights are meeting in one place — go get them.”
Broadly, it’s been downhill for the Americans since.
The deal —if you look at Trump’s video on that fateful day— told us it would be over quickly and that the people could rise up and take their country back. Neither proved true.
The key line for Trump now is the nuclear weapon. They didn’t have one anyway, but whether this deal prevents one for eternity is not really answered – given eternity is longer than any deal, and certainly longer than a Trump presidency.
Like most wars, it had complications. We only really became interested, if not concerned, when the Strait became part of it.
Cut the oil off and the world shudders. Hopefully, secondary pipelines and alternative supply chains will be a permanent feature moving forward – relying on this part of the world is madness.
Netanyahu is the biggest loser. His dream is in tatters. He’s pretty much achieved nothing. Lebanon is still “a thing”. Iran is still a thing.
In fact, you could argue Iran are the real winners. They survived. They get rebuild money. There was no revolution, and the Strait can still technically be closed.
They don’t mind being bombed as much as the West might have thought they would.
It’s hard to avoid the conclusion that this is yet another piece of American military adventurism that turned to custard.
What they thought would happen didn’t – or anywhere close.
Over quickly? No.
Regime change? No.
Revolution? No.
Nuclear threat mitigated? Maybe…
And when that’s your brightest talking point, in totality this has been a failure.
Mike Hosking is a New Zealand television and radio broadcaster. He currently hosts The Mike Hosking Breakfast show on NewstalkZB on weekday mornings - where this article was sourced.
Broadly, it’s been downhill for the Americans since.
The deal —if you look at Trump’s video on that fateful day— told us it would be over quickly and that the people could rise up and take their country back. Neither proved true.
The key line for Trump now is the nuclear weapon. They didn’t have one anyway, but whether this deal prevents one for eternity is not really answered – given eternity is longer than any deal, and certainly longer than a Trump presidency.
Like most wars, it had complications. We only really became interested, if not concerned, when the Strait became part of it.
Cut the oil off and the world shudders. Hopefully, secondary pipelines and alternative supply chains will be a permanent feature moving forward – relying on this part of the world is madness.
Netanyahu is the biggest loser. His dream is in tatters. He’s pretty much achieved nothing. Lebanon is still “a thing”. Iran is still a thing.
In fact, you could argue Iran are the real winners. They survived. They get rebuild money. There was no revolution, and the Strait can still technically be closed.
They don’t mind being bombed as much as the West might have thought they would.
It’s hard to avoid the conclusion that this is yet another piece of American military adventurism that turned to custard.
What they thought would happen didn’t – or anywhere close.
Over quickly? No.
Regime change? No.
Revolution? No.
Nuclear threat mitigated? Maybe…
And when that’s your brightest talking point, in totality this has been a failure.
Mike Hosking is a New Zealand television and radio broadcaster. He currently hosts The Mike Hosking Breakfast show on NewstalkZB on weekday mornings - where this article was sourced.
10 comments:
Chronic sufferers of TDS like Hosking shouldn’t try to write objectively.
A total failure on every measure. At the start of the war, anyone with half an interest in the Middle East could have told you how things would play out.
$300 billion paid to Iran for reparations is what is being reported as part of the deal. Thousands dead. No regime change. Oil prices through the roof. Urbanism stays where it was.
Rob is any of this untrue? Is any of this a good deal? I’d love to know why you think USA has done a masterclass in geopolitics here.
Is the Iran - USA - world peace deal public . NO .
Rob Beechey is correct .Mike Hoskings comments are shock jock and unsubstantiated .
It’s not a total failure! Iran has been stopped from easily progressing its nuclear ambitions, but more importantly, the world now knows just how evil the military and Islamic leaders of Iran are.
I’m no Donald fan but give him credit. Whereas all the other drippy Western leaders, Biden and Obama in particular, have piddled around for years with all sorts of half baked agreements which the Iranians have ignored, Trump just bored in and destroyed much of their nuclear infrastructure. Not nice but effective and realistic!
Thanks Basil. Mr/Ms anonymity 9.01sounds like a devoted follower of the shapers of public opinion, the corrupt MSM. Hosking is on their payroll with best mate, Richard Arnold, called “voice of America”, taking it in turns to insult their listeners intelligence by exhibiting chronic symptoms of TDS.
The Anons are putting out facts and the people defending USA are burying their heads in the sand and throwing insults. Standard stuff.
What the world mainly learned about US might from the Iran war (which I am certain will not end soon) is that it cannot protect any of its allies Israel and the Gulf States. This is a huge negative for US hegemony. The US is materially weaker after this war.
President Trump said Wednesday that Iran could have its own nuclear program.
“It is a little hard that when you say that somebody wants it, other people have it, other adjoining states have it, and you’re not letting them have it for purposes of electricity and things like that. It’s always a little tough. You have to use a little common sense,” Trump said at the G7 summit in France, alongside Secretary of State Marco Rubio, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, and Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick.
Under the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons Treaty, to which Iran is a full state party, Iran has the right to process uranium for peaceful purposes with the IAEA keeping an eye on things in case they try to cheat by producing weapons-grade uranium.
The IAEA has been barred from entering the country's nuclear sites since mid-last year, but this ban should be revoked once a peace treaty is signed.
Post a Comment
Thank you for joining the discussion. Breaking Views welcomes respectful contributions that enrich the debate. Please ensure your comments are not defamatory, derogatory or disruptive. We appreciate your cooperation.