Sunday, November 26, 2023

Jack Tame: It's A Done Deal

We can dispute when the counter should have started – election night or the official results – but I suspect the waiting game will soon be forgotten as the new government is sworn in and the house sits in urgency.

At first blush, I actually think the biggest winner of the three parties is National. Perhaps you’d expect nothing less from the highest-polling party, but there’s no doubt Christopher Luxon and his team were negotiating with a couple of wily, smart operators. And at the conclusion of negotiations, almost all of National’s policies remain on the table. They haven’t had to sacrifice their babies.

Sure, there’s the foreign buyers’ tax. But given the scrutiny over the projected revenue numbers during the election campaign, I’d suggest National was none too bothered to have that policy tossed upon the bonfire. They can blame Winston Peters. Give him the win. And yes, it means a gap in revenue that will need filling, but something tells me National would much prefer that than monthly updates on how much the foreign buyer tax revenue was falling short of projections.

There are some significant visable wins for NZ First: The $1.2B infrastructure fund – ka ching - the various gender and Māori language provisions, and a Covid inquiry. I think Winston Peters is a really good choice for Foreign Minister and Shane Jones is exactly where he wants to be with fisheries and regional development. NZ First will be really pleased.

I think we’ll have to wait before we can properly assess the scale of ACT’s wins. There will be no Treaty referendum, and if it so chooses, it’ll be easy enough for the National Party to drops its support of a treaty principles bill straight after select committee. It’ll be interesting to see whether scrapping the Māori Health Authority, co-governance provisions, and changing various Māori names might take some of the heat out of that issue for the time being.

Compared to NZ First, ACT has certainly taken on less-flashy ministerial positions. And again, we probably won’t be able to assess the true impact of the deal until we see how much regulation David Seymour can cut as the new minister, or how much Brooke van Velden can shake up workplace relations, or exactly what the new Arms Act will look like. In ACT’s coalition deal, it struck me that in many areas there are less concrete commitments, but that perhaps those commitments cover broader areas. The words explore, examine, and consider are sprinkled throughout the document. Listen to this, for example: In consultation with the relevant Minister, carry out regulation sector reviews, which could include the primary industries, the finance sector, early childhood education, and healthcare occupational licensing, in each case producing an omnibus bill for regulatory reform of laws affecting the sector.

Maybe I’m being a bit of a bush lawyer here, but that theoretically has the potential to be enormously consequential. It also has the potential to change basically nothing. They haven’t even agreed with certainty what sectors will be reviewed.

From Christopher Luxon’s perspective, I thought the Deputy Prime Minister split was a pretty elegant solution. But the real test of a coalition is not the detail in the deal, but the behaviour of the parties and the management of relationships when inevitably they disagree.

Jack Tame is a well-known television presenter and journalist in New Zealand. This article was first published HERE


Kiwialan said...

The grown ups government can save $55 million plus by not paying the bribe to woke left wing Labour mouthpieces like you and your fellow hacks Jack. Kiwialan.

DeeM said...

Maybe National was Jack's big winner because it had very few transformational policies - typical National!

All the influential stuff that should, if implemented fully, reverse the rot of the far-Left has come from ACT and NZFirst.

I haven't seen anything about the PIJF or state funding of the media though, which is desperately disappointing. Maybe they're keeping their powder dry.

Jack must be getting very excited, preparing for his first Q & A interview. Totally balanced and unbiased, of course.
Let's disappoint him shall we.
The new government should go for one of the independent media platforms instead. It's the least he deserves!

Anonymous said...

I completely disagree jack. Please go to reality radio and listen to the coalition breakdown by rodney hide. He reads out all the wins by act and nz fiist to reverse co-goverance, 3 waters, race -based preferences and others. i would like to see a more balanced view taken by people like you. You are entitled to your views, but not with my tax payer dollars.

Anonymous said...

Perfectly summed up by”Jack Tame is a well known TV presenter”