Sunday, March 31, 2024

David Farrar: Ipsos Issues Monitor Feb 24

Ipsos has published their excellent Issues Monitor for February 2024. Below I look at key findings, and compare them to 12 months ago.

Top Issues (can choose three)

1. Inflation 59% (-6%)
2. Housing 33% (nc)
3. Health 33% (+6%)
4. Crime 27% (-6%)
5. Economy 25% (+3%)
6. Climate change 18% (-9%)
7. Poverty 18% (nc)
8. Fuel prices 13% (-3%)
9. Transport10% (+2%)
10. Education 9% (+2%)

Govt performance is at 4.6/10 – just below the 4.7 the last Govt had. The Govt will want to see that improve quickly.

The party deemed best (and margin to next party) on each of the top 10 issues is:

1. Inflation National +16% (+13%)
2. Housing National +9% (+10%)
3. Health National +5% (+16%)
4. Crime National +22% (+17%)
5. Economy National +25% (+16%)
6. Climate change Greens
7. Poverty Labour
8. Fuel prices National
9. Transport National
10. Education National

This is very good for National. They lead Labour on all the top five issues and eight of the top ten issues. And they lead Labour by far greater margins than a year ago.

David Farrar runs Curia Market Research, a specialist opinion polling and research agency, and the popular Kiwiblog where this article was sourced. He previously worked in the Parliament for eight years, serving two National Party Prime Ministers and three Opposition Leaders.

1 comment:

Basil Walker said...

David . Does NZ have to remind you that National is name only ?. NZ has a coalition government and while several election manifesto issues have been scrapped ie Maori Health and Three Waters, they are still there in another form and the real issue has NOT been addressed .
There has NOT been a definitive closing of a Ministry as promised before the election. David Seymour elequently described previous National governments as quasi Labour during the election cycle and if Mr Luxon does not step up and dominate the media, ACT will be absolutely correct in their analysis of National.