Roy Morgan: Support for National-led Government and Labour-led Opposition remains tied in April

Roy Morgan’s New Zealand Poll for April 2026 shows the National-led Government (National, ACT & NZ First) on 47.5%, unchanged, and effectively tied with the Labour-Greens-Te Pāti Māori Parliamentary Opposition on 48%, unchanged, the latest Roy Morgan New Zealand Poll finds.

Chris Lynch: Labour Greens Māori bloc pulls ahead of National ACT NZ First coalition – Poll

Labour Greens Māori bloc overtakes Government in new Roy Morgan poll

Labour and its allies have pulled ahead of the Government in the latest Roy Morgan New Zealand Poll, with opposition parties reaching 50 percent support in August, up four points from July.

Cam Slater: Roy Morgan Poll: Steady as She Goes

The latest Roy Morgan Poll is out and it is a ‘steady as she goes’ poll, with a slight gain for National and a slight drop for Labour.

Cam Slater: It Looks Like National Have a Problem

The latest Roy Morgan Poll should sound a warning to the Government, particularly the National Party. It is unpleasant reading but is not at all surprising given the constant media attacks on this Government.

Cam Slater: Roy Morgan Poll Tells a Different Story

While Maiki Sherman was getting sticky knickers over the 1News/Verian Poll on Monday night, Roy Morgan released their poll the very next day, and it tells a different story from the gushing fantasy of 1News.

Cam Slater: Poll Shows How Out of Touch Media Are

The latest Roy Morgan poll is out and, despite the relentless negative pressure from the media and the failed opposition, public sentiment toward the Government is increasing in positivity. Labour is sinking into oblivion, while the coalition continues to soar.

JC: Roy Morgan Poll Shows up Left

Tuesday’s Roy Morgan poll was fairly accurate in reflecting the current political mood of the country. It showed the coalition parties on a sound footing with a combined 58 per cent support of voters. National was virtually unchanged at 37.5% (down 0.6%), ACT increased 3.9% to 12.5% and NZ First rose 1.9% to 8%. The alternative ‘coalition of chaos’ on the other side could only manage 36%, down 5.6% from the election. Labour’s support has morphed to a disastrous 21%, the lowest ever recorded in a Roy Morgan poll. As a result the objectionable Greens received a minor boost. The Maori Party also lost support.

Bryce Edwards: Poll results, micro-budget, foreign affairs

The Labour Party’s decline continues, according to the latest opinion poll released by Roy Morgan, which shows its support has slipped to just 21% support – down from 5.9 percentage points since the election. This result is the lowest the party has ever received in a Roy Morgan poll. Act, by contrast, are up nearly 4%.

Here are the full results, with the changes noted since the election:

Cam Slater: Last Poll of the Year

Labour is in the doldrums in the last poll of the year. It is the Roy Morgan though, but it does show how much Kiwis have fallen out of love with Labour.

Cam Slater: Roy Morgan Poll Shows Labour Bleeding Out

The August Roy Morgan Poll is out, and blood is flowing out in vast quantities. Labour is staring down the barrel of a massive rout. But the news is not all good for the Right; National remains stalled and it is Act that is ascendant.

Point of Order: Latest Morgan poll might shock politicians on the Left

But can those on the Right exploit the trend?

Labour politicians might have risked heart attacks as they read the latest Roy Morgan poll.

According to the poll data, the party vote for Labour has fallen to 26%, down 4.5% from the June sampling . That would mean it holds only 33 seats in the next Parliament, 32 fewer than it won in 2020.

The Roy Morgan poll showed the gap between the parties of the Right and Left widening.

National was 3.5% up at 33.5%, and ACT was on 14%, down 1%. Together they would hold 61 seats in the next Parliament while Labour and the Greens would have would have only 45. Even with Te Pati Maori, which might have eight seats (up from six) the Left might have only 53 seats.

Heather du Plessis-Allan: All eyes on the Maori Party

If polling out today is anything to go by, the Maori Party are going to be a force at this election.

The Roy Morgan poll has the Party at 7 percent. Which is huge, it’s the highest level of support the Party has ever registered.

But that’s not the thing that’s convinced me they’ll do well. What's convinced me is the movement of the voters in the poll. You can see clearly see voters moving from the Greens to the Maori Party. Greens down 2.5 percent, Maori Party up 2.5 percent.

Cam Slater: Latest Poll Shows Election Still a Close Run Thing

The latest Roy Morgan poll is out and it shows that the election is still a close-run thing. National, with everything that is happening in the economy, should be pulling ahead, but they aren’t; they are static.

Point of Order: Poll shows the National bounce-back has been checked

Will the Ardern Govt carry on with its blunders?

Ardern government ministers must have been pleasantly surprised by the latest Roy Morgan political poll showing Labour has 35% in support. Not so happy would be the 20 or so backbenchers who would lose their seats if that translated to the outcome at the election next year.

National MPs who may have thought their party has been consolidating its advance since Christopher Luxon took over would have been disappointed, too. Their party’s support at 35% means that – even in coalition with ACT – it would fall short of the number of seats needed to outgun the parties on the Left including the Maori Party.

Peter Dunne: National Still Missing The Mark

The latest Roy Morgan political opinion poll mirrors other polls in showing a narrowing gap between the main blocs, with National and ACT still slightly ahead of Labour and the Greens, but with neither able to form a majority government, without the support of Te Pati Māori.

The poll also shows a widening majority of voters believe the country is on the wrong track. Most polls in recent months have shown voters evenly split on that question, but with an increasing number believing that the country is heading in the wrong direction. Seasoned political observers know that the “right track/wrong track” question is often more relevant in determining the political state of the nation than the so-called horse race between the major blocs. It is very difficult for governments to win re-election if most voters believe they are taking the country in the wrong direction.

Cam Slater: Eighth Roy Morgan in a Row Shows a Change of Government

The eighth Roy Morgan poll in a row shows that there would be a change of government if an election were held today. The poll also shows just how soft National’s support is, and how prone to self-inflicted negative stories Christopher Luxon has become.

Frank Newman: Roy Morgan poll confirms continued slide for Labour

Labour's support is continuing to slide. An historic defeat in 2023 now seems likely for Labour and Jacinda Ardern.

The latest Roy Morgan poll taken last month, has Labour down 2% in May to 31.5%, its lowest level since gaining 50% of the vote in the 2020 general election. It is the eighth month in a row that Labour has lost support.

Assuming this poll result translates to the 2023 election, National and ACT could form the next government with 64 seats, 51 and 13 respectively. A Labour/Greens/Maori Party block would have 54 seats (assuming the Maori Party retains its electorate seat). With only 1.1% of the party vote the Maori Party would lose its second MP.

Point of Order: A Cabinet reshuffle must be among the options as Ardern considers how to halt growing public disenchantment

After the excitement of her US visit and White House call, PM Jacinda Ardern is now engaged in the harsh realities of running a government that appears to be crumbling by the week.

Ministers are tripping over themselves – this week it was Police Minister Poto Williams who became the butt of Opposition calls for her to be sacked. Then there were the polls charting a governing party’s falling popularity, despite a huge spend-up in the latest budget.

The One News Kantar poll at the end of May put Labour’s support down at 35%. Then came the Roy Morgan poll which had Labour even lower, at 31.5%.

Point of Order: New poll (does the mainstream media know about it?) affirms Ardern govt is on the back foot

The Ardern government may feel pleased it hasn’t fallen lower in the latest Roy Morgan poll, but there wasn’t much to cheer about, particularly for those MPs who it indicates face being banished to the political wilderness come election day.

The key element in the poll – the fourth in a row in the Roy Morgan sampling to show a change of government, were there to be an election now – is the decline in net country direction from -5% to -12.5%, as has been pointed out by another pollster, David Farrar.

The gender breakdown of the direction question is also pertinent: in February women were + 8% but are now -6%.

Of course, Covid is still dominating the headlines in the mainstream media, few of which level any kind of criticism at the Prime Minister – and there was barely a mention to be found in the media of the Roy Morgan poll.