The NZ Taxpayers Union has just released an opinion poll they commissioned last week. The Curia poll was taken during the current Covid lockdown and not only tells us how the parties are standing but delves a bit deeper into the voters preferences.
- Labour has rebounded to 45.8%, up about 6% from pre-lockdown ratings. This is unsurprising and likely reflects a large proportion of the public’s approval of the virus elimination strategy.
- ACT are at an all-time high of 14.9%, up another 2% on recent polls. This is probably due to the relatively favourable media coverage that they have enjoyed recently and the lacklustre performance of the National Party.
- The Greens polled 9.6%, so steady as she goes.
- The Maori Party scored 1.2% indicating that, as usual, most Maori don’t want a bar of what they advocate.
- NZ First got 2.7% and other small parties collectively polled 4.5%.
- National are the big losers, attracting only 21.3%, down about 8% on recent polls. Needless to say, this is a terrible result and signals a party which lacks strong leadership and direction, only appealing to its die-hard supporters.
Based on these results, we would get a Labour-Greens coalition government with 70 seats in parliament - a very comfortable majority. This would allow Labour to progress its He Puapua agenda unchecked and would also lead to more extreme environmental, climate change and social policies from the Greens - the perfect storm, you might say.