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Monday, March 4, 2024

David Farrar: Excess mortality data was flawed


A fascinating article by John Gibson who reveals that the data reported widely in the media that NZ had negative excess mortality was in fact wrong, as it did not take into account population growth.

Click to view

This graph shows the difference between what was reported, and how it looks adjusted for population. Still better than many countries but around equal to Denmark, Germany and Belgium and higher than Luxembourg, Canada, the Netherlands, Iceland, Israel and Australia.

David Farrar runs Curia Market Research, a specialist opinion polling and research agency, and the popular Kiwiblog where this article was sourced. He previously worked in the Parliament for eight years, serving two National Party Prime Ministers and three Opposition Leaders.

2 comments:

Erica said...

Lies, Big Lies and Statistics - well there you are.Thank goodness we have people who can correct these shoddy official stats.Another platitude is of course a little knowledge is a dangerous thing. i suspect the original graph creators are perfectly aware of what they were doing by not considering growth rates.
Thank you for your very excellent illustration of deception.

Barend Vlaardingerbroek said...

This would make for an excellent article if the author could be bothered to elaborate on the case he is making.
I am well qualified in these matters but have some difficulty in making out what the writer's case is without his unravelling his database and arguing his case.