Normally, the pendulum of public support swings only slightly, often not enough to remove the incumbent and defeat at the polls usually only happens when voters just tire of those who occupy the treasury benches and vote for change.
The end result for an electorate such as New Zealand is
that in most elections, the bulk of the votes are cast based on traditional ideological
or social alliance preferences of the individual.
So, in this country, it is rare to see dramatic swings of
voter support within only one three year cycle.
Traditionally, the government of the day is given the
benefit of at least two concurrent 3yr terms in office in order to give it time
to fulfil its election promises.
We are generally a magnanimous lot when it comes to
picking our leaders.
Actually, we don’t expect them to do too much when they
get the chance, which in itself says quite a lot about how much notice we take
of their campaign rhetoric. But we do expect them to be competent managers of
the economy and make a reasonable attempt at helping those who are on the
bottom rung of the social ladder.
However this time the parameters around which campaigns
are fought are dramatically different to all but a few held during the last 100
years.
And there are very good reasons why records are about to
be broken showing the change of voter preference in such a short electoral
timeframe.
We are about to see a mass rejection of a governing party
that, less than three years ago, had enjoyed the confidence of more than 50% of
the voting population.
That result was a reflection of the almost “Saint like”
reverence bestowed on the Prime Minister at the time but the truth is that she,
more than any other, had hoodwinked the electorate with a deliberate deception
about her real agenda. We were conned!
Dishonesty is something that will not be tolerated by
voters of any description.
In this country it is a hangable offence and my guess is
that the former Prime Minister knew her government’s fate was sealed the day
her party’s treachery was exposed with the publication of the He Puapua report.
Her voluntary exit from the political stage was no doubt
based, not on the improbable reasons given at the time or even the broken
promises - but her realisation that the voters would be merciless when
discovering they had been lied to.
She obviously didn’t have the stomach to face their
wrath.
But she must now live having been exposed as the “Empress
with no clothes” - a fitting analogy that may well become her legacy.
How are the mighty fallen!
Clive Bibby is a commentator, consultant, farmer and community leader, who lives in Tolaga Bay.
5 comments:
The role of the media has played a significant part in this deception. The next Government needs to hold an Inquiry into this if we want the country back on a normal footing.
Fallen? Yes, Forgotten? No. Forgiven? Never!
A succinct analysis which explains my attitude, but not sure if it represents the majority. I suspect many have no idea what He Puapua is, or UNDRIP, or the structure of the new Health body (whatever it is now called) etc. And even allowing for the fact that RNZ and the other msm screen all views not pro maori, and allowing for the deterrent of expression influence of widespread fear of cancellation, I do not get the impression that vast numbers are concerned by the trend to maorification, maori (paid) involvement and influence in everything, and pending total maori control via co governance. All the opposition parties have been circumspect in their observations, if not downright timid. If the topic was emphasised and presented clearly, near all the opposition except the race based Te Pati would be near eliminated.
I suspect law and order, the vast number of state accommodated (whether in motels or the flash new units), the ceaseless concessions to non contributing beneficiaries, the housing muddle, immigration policy driving same, inflation, medical shortages are the major influences.
Well said Clive. Many traditional Labour voters will go to the polls perplexed. They know that their party has been hijacked by a bunch of Marxists and will have trouble voting for a continuation of this disaster. I say to you, be brave and vote with your head and not your heart. Vote them out of power and into oblivion for the sake of the country we were once proud of.
We have been bare-face lied to and shat on by this government. What can explain the divided and angry people we have become in three short years?
More people are daily becoming aware of the details of the maorification agenda and the neglect of everything that is important.
I won't vote for ACT but I think we need their influence to wipe the slate clean and start again. However we need someone with more tact than Seymour to pull it off without starting a grudge movement. There are a lot of (unrealistic) expectations of the gravy train continuing.
MC
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